What to Expect When No One's Expecting: America's Coming Demographic Disaster

241 Pages·2013·3.408 MB·English

by  Jonathan V. Last

WHAT TO EXPECT WHEN NO ONE’S EXPECTING
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What to Expect
When No One’s
Expecting
America’s Coming
Demographic Disaster
Jonathan V. Last
ENCOUNTER BOOKS New York • LoNdoN
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© 2013 by Jonathan V. Last
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced,
stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by
any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording,
or otherwise, without the prior written permission of
Encounter Books, 900 Broadway, Suite 601,
New York, New York, 10003.
First American edition published in 2013 by Encounter Books,
an activity of Encounter for Culture and Education, Inc.,
a nonprofit, tax exempt corporation.
Encounter Books website address: www.encounterbooks.com
Manufactured in the United States and printed on
acid-free paper. The paper used in this publication meets
the minimum requirements of ANSI/NISO Z39.48 1992
(R 1997) (Permanence of Paper).
FIRST AMERICAN EDITION
LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CATALOGING-IN-PUBLICATION DATA

Last, Jonathan V., 1974–
What to expect when no one’s expecting: America’s coming
demographic disaster/Jonathan V. Last.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 978–1–59403–641–5 (hbk.: alk. paper)
ISBN 978–1–59403–654–5 (ebook)
1. United States--Population. 2. Population forecasting--United States.
3. Age distribution (Demography)--United States. I. Title.
HB3505.L37 2013
304.60973’01—dc23
2012010870
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For Shannon Leigh Mary Last
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Demography is the key factor. If you are not able to maintain
yourself biologically, how do you expect to maintain yourself
economically, politically, and militarily? It’s impossible. The
answer of letting people from other countries come in . . . that
could be an economic solution, but it’s not a solution of your
real sickness, that you are not able to maintain your own
civilization.
—VIKTOR ORBÁN, PRIME MINISTER OF HUNGARY, 2012
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Contents
Introduction: One Child for All! ...........................1
Chapter One: America’s Falling Fertility ....................12
Chapter Two: The Roots of One-Child .....................37
Chapter Three: SEX! (and maybe marriage) .................52
Chapter Four: What You Can, and Cannot, Measure ..........70
Chapter Five: Very Bad Things ...........................88
Chapter Six: The Bright Side .............................111
Chapter Seven: Domestic Politics, Foreign Policy ............ 125
Chapter Eight: Losing Battles (What Not to Do) ............ 139
Chapter Nine: How to Make Babies ...................... 156
Acknowledgments ....................................... 176
Notes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179
Index ................................................222
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