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About Timing The Mexican 1994-95 Financial Crisis Using A Markov Switching Approach
This document analyzes the 1994-95 Mexican financial crisis using a Markov switching autoregressive model. It uses the ratio of broad money to international reserves (M2/R) as a variable to capture changes in private agents' confidence. Applying this model, the analysis times the start of the crisis to November 1993 and the end to May 1995. It establishes that changes in private confidence, not subsequent events like currency abandonment or export growth, determined the beginning and end of the crisis. The results also indicate that reinforcing financial liberalization policies was necessary to recover private confidence but limited authorities' ability to set macroeconomic policy.
Detailed Information
| Author: | ['Viver'] |
|---|---|
| Publication Year: | 2019 |
| Pages: | 21 |
| Language: | English |
| Format: | |
| Price: | FREE |
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