Table Of ContentAdditional Praise for The Second Term of George W. Bush: Prospects and
Perils
“This collection of scholarship is timely and much-needed. It is a well-written,
well-researched, and worthwhile addition to the scholarly literature on the
presidency in general and on George W. Bush in particular. I believe this text
is well-suited to advanced undergraduates as well as graduate students.”
––Denise von Herrmann, University of Southern Mississippi
“This book lays to bare key questions and issues that plague all second term
presidents and provides a powerful lens to understand the context, con-
straints and capacities which presidents must confront. This book will
appeal to an advanced undergraduate audience and find a home in political
science and history courses on the presidency.”
––Victoria A. Farrar-Myers, The University of Texas at Arlington
The Evolving American Presidency Series
The Second Term of George W. Bush: Prospects and Perils
Edited by
Robert Maranto, Douglas M. Brattebo, and Tom Lansford
The Second Term of George W.
Bush: Prospects and Perils
Book Editors
Robert Maranto
Associate Professor, Political Science
Villanova University
Douglas M. Brattebo
Assistant Professor, Political Science
United States Naval Academy
Tom Lansford
Associate Professor, Political Science
University of Southern Mississippi
THESECONDTERMOFGEORGEW.BUSH
© Robert Maranto,Douglas M.Brattebo,Tom Lansford,2006.
Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2006 978-1-4039-7291-0
All rights reserved.No part of this book may be used or reproduced in any
manner whatsoever without written permission except in the case of brief
quotations embodied in critical articles or reviews.
First published in 2006 by
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Union and other countries.
ISBN 978-1-349-53412-8 I SBN 978-1-4039-8441-8 (eBook)
DOI 10.1057/9781403984418
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
The second term of George W.Bush :prospects and perils / book
editors,Robert Maranto,Douglas M.Brattebo,Tom Lansford.
p.cm.—(The evolving American presidency)
Includes bibliographical references and index.
1.United States—Politics and government,2001.2.Bush,George W.
(George Walker),1946–.3.United States Foreign relations—2001–.
I.Maranto,Robert,1958–.II.Brattebo,Douglas M.III.Lansford,Tom.
IV.Series.
JK275.S43 2006
973.931092—dc22 2005040164
A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library.
Design by Newgen Imaging Systems (P) Ltd.,Chennai,India.
First edition:June 2006
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Contents
List of Figures vii
List of Tables ix
Series Foreword xi
Notes on Contributors xiii
Part I The Setting
One Are Second Terms Second Best? Why George W. Bush
Might (or Might Not) Beat the Expectations 3
Jeremy Johnson, Douglas Brattebo, Robert Maranto,
and Tom Lansford
Two Public Opinion, Presidential Campaigns,
and Presidential Governance 21
Roger H. Davidson
Part II The Institutions
Three The Bush White House Staff in the Second Term:
New Structures? New Faces? New Processes? 47
Bradley H. Patterson
Four Choices for the President: Structuring
the Second-Term Cabinet of President George W. Bush 63
Shirley Anne Warshaw
Five George W. Bush and Congress in the Second Term:
New Problems—Same Results? 79
Andrew Rudalevige
Six Crusade: The Rhetorical Presidency of George Bush 101
John Robert Greene
Part III Domestic Policy
Seven Judges, Courts, and Policy in President George W. Bush’s
Second Term 115
Amy Steigerwalt and Lori A. Johnson
vi Contents
Part IV The Policies
Eight Domestic Policy in the Second Bush Term:
The Un-Hidden Hand Leadership of a Conviction
President 135
Michael A. Genovese
Nine Economic Policy: Responsibility but with
Limited Authority 157
Jeffrey E. Cohen
Part V Foreign and Security Policy
Ten Homeland (In) Security 179
Anne M. Khademian
Eleven The Best Defense? Iraq and Beyond 201
Tom Lansford and Jack Covarrubias
Twelve Problematic Policies Toward the Middle East 221
Ann M. Lesch
Part VI Presidential Leadership
Thirteen George W. Bush: A Transformational
Leader at Midterm 239
Stanley A. Renshon
Index 259
List of Figures
5.1 Presidential success on roll-call votes, 1953–2004 80
5.2 Presidential support in 107th–108th congresses,
2001–2004 88
9.1 S&P 500 index, 1995–2004 160
9.2 Unemployment, the 1990–1991 and 2001 recessions 161
9.3 Federal deficit/surplus as a percentage of GDP,
1976–2003 162
9.4 The public’s most important problem,
January–September 2004, Gallup polls 163
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List of Tables
1.1 Reelected presidents of the twentieth and
twenty-first centuries 4
2.1 Exit poll: Groups’ voting for president, 2004 31
2.2 Exit polls: How the presidential candidates fared
2000–2004: Bush’s performance, 2004
compared with 2000 33
2.3 Intended voters’ views of the candidates 37
4.1 President George W. Bush’s first-term cabinet 64
4.2 Background of second-term Bush cabinet 70
4.3 Cabinet diversity of George W. Bush 72
4.4 Relation between administration and key electoral states 74
8.1 President George W. Bush’s approval ratings: Gallup poll
andCNN/USA Today. “Do you approve or disapprove
of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?” 140
9.1 Most important issue and the 2004 vote 164
9.2 Republican minus Democratic vote by income category,
1992–2004 presidential elections 165
