The Day After Mugabe

216 Pages·2011·8.42 MB·English

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The Day After Mugabe
ProspectsforChange inZimbabwe
EditedbyGugulethuMayo and MarkAshurst
Publishedwith financial supportfrom
AfricaResearchInstitute

THEEDITORS
GugulethuMoyo isaZimbabweanlawyerwho works onsouthernAfricanissues
forthe InternationalBarAssociation. She previouslyworkedinHarareasalawyer
forAssociatedNewspapersofZimbabwe,publisherofTheDailyNews.
MarkAshurstisdirectoroftheAfricaResearchInstitute. He spent sixyears asthe
BBC'sAfricabusinesseditor, andworkedasaforeign correspondentinAfricafor
theFinancial Times,TheEconomistandNewsweek.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The editors wouldlike torecord their deep appreciationtoallthe contributorsto
thisbook. No paymenthasbeen made fortheir work.
Most ofthearticles inthis bookappearedinearlierversionsintheMail &
Guardian newspaper, SouthAfrica, inthe supplements"ANew Zimbabwe:
ImaginingThe Future". AfricaResearchInstitute isgratefultotheMail &
Guardian foritssupportinthepublicationofthis book.
Thearticle byMorgan Tsvangirai first appearedinthe WashingtonTimes.
The interviewwith GideonGono, governorofthe ReserveBankofZimbabwe,
firstappearedinNewAfricanmagazine.
STEPublisherskindly gave permissiontopublishextracts fromFit to Govern: The
native intelligenceofThaboMbeki byRonald Suresh Roberts.
The directorsand staffofthe RoyalAfricanSociety, Royal CommonwealthSociety
and the InternationalBarAssociationhave givengenerouslyoftheir time and
expertiseto assist the publicationofthis book.
PublishedbyAfricaResearch Institute,2007.
ISBNNo.978 I906329006
TheAfricaResearch Institutewasfounded inFebruary2007todrawattentiontoideaswhichhave
worked inAfrica. Formore information, please visitourwebsite:www.africaresearchinstitute.org
AfricaResearch Institute
43OldQueen Street
London
SWIH9JA
3

CONTENTS
ListofContributors 11
FOREWORDS 15
1.Longliveourfreedom!RobertMugabe 17
2.OntyrannyA.C. Grayling 20
INTRODUCTION 23
MarkAshurstandGugulethuMoyo
1. THE HOME FRONT
Will ZANU-PFsurvive? 38
IbboMandaza
An assessmentoftheprospectsforZANU-PF.
TheMugabeway 46
JonathanMoyo,Mail& Guardian.April2007
Backtothefuture 47
StephenChan
Thegreatnationalistprojecthaserodedhard-won sovereignty.
ThereisstilltimeforMugabe...butnotmuch! 52
Morgan Tsvangirai, Washington TImes.May 2007
Lessonsinviolence 53
Brian Raftopoulos
Bothpartiesaredividedandonlyregionalmediationcandeterconflict.
AnewZANU-PFisnotenough 57
StatementbyArthurMutambara,June 2007
Acredibleopposition? 58
JoramNyathi
TheMDChasfailedtoarticulateanalternativevisionofdemocracy.
Callinginthegenerals 62
Martin Rupiya
Soldiers havegainedinfluenceandpatronage. butthey cannotsolve thecrisis.
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Contents
Abadcaseofwriter's block 68
BrianChikwava,Mail & Guardian, May2007
2. ECOI\lOMYAND LAND
TheWaronPrices 71
NothandoNdebele
How torestoreconfidenceaftertheravagesofhyperinflation.
Thenandnow 76
SamMoyo, Mail & Guardian,April2007
Howmanyfarmsisenough? 78
Phillan Zamchiya
Landrestitution mustnotignore theimperativeofsocialjustice.
Noquickfix 82
EricBloch, Mail & Guardian, May 2007
"Weareprintingmoneytobuildroadsanddams" 84
GideonGono
AninterviewwiththeReserveBankgovernorbyBaffourAnkomah
Neighbourlyadvice SO
Excerptfrom textagreedattheSADCsummit, August2007
Didthefarmersdeserveit? S1
Diana Mitchell
LiberalsmistrustedthepactbetweenAfricannationalistsandwhitefarmers.
Kithandkin 94
Thabo Mbeki,ANCToday, December2003
Zimbabwe'sgoldenleaf 95
AoiffeO'Brien
Thetobacco cropcanstilldriveanagriculturalrecovery.
Bewareforeignaid 101
BeaconMbiba
Zimbabweneedsdonors, butpolicy-makersshouldbewaryofforeign "help
H.
FarmsinZimbabwemaybeconfiscated 104
ArticlefromtheNew YorkTimes,November1980
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Contents
3. AN AFRICAN DILEMMA
TakingAfrica'sname invain 109
TawandaMutasah
s
Thehighstandardsofthecontinent newinstitutionsareinjeopardy.
Theupside-downviewofAfrica 116
ThaboMbeki,ANCToday,December2003
Theblame game 117
PeterKagwanja
Theinternationalcommunityshouldkeepfaith with theSADCmediation.
TheABCoffairelections 123
MunaNdulo
Sendingobserversisonlythelaststep inacomplexprocess.
TheOldBogey 127
RonaldSureshRoberts,
ExcerptfromFittoGovern: Thenative intelligenceofThaboMbeki.
Betweenanostrichandaflamingo 12B
AdamKahane
Zimbabweneedsfrankdiscussions, justlikeapartheidSouthAfrica.
Tempersflareoverrecoveryplan 130
ThaboMbeki,ANCToday,andDumisaniMuleya,
BusinessDay,August-September2007
Roughjustice 132
MarkAshurst
OntheMozambicanborder,aglimpseofhistoryrepeating.
4. ZIMBABWE AND THE WORLD
British policieshavenothelpedZimbabwe- yet 139
RichardDowden
s
Byignoringpastbetrayals, British ministersplayedintoMugabe hands.
BritishheartenedbyRhodesiavoting 143
Articlefrom theNew YorkTimes,March 1980
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Contents
SmallfishinaChinesesea 144
Lindsey Hilsum
Fromapositionofweakness, Harareshouldadopt atough stancewithBeijing.
Dizzywormsandotherdisasters 150
Michael Holman
s
Thedubiousprecedentsforoutside interventioninAfrica crises.
NotbeingNelsonMandela 157
Robert I.Rotberg, Mail & Guardian,April2007
Sleightsofhandat LancasterHouse 158
Shridath"Sonny"Ramphal
Aninterviewwiththeformersecretary-generalofthe Commonwealth
"Wehavenowobtainedassurances" 164
Excerptfrom statementbythePatrioticFrontonpromisesmade
atLancasterHouse, October1979.
Graspingthenettle 165
Derek Ingram
TheCommonwealthshouldstrive toregainlostinfluence.
Abroadlyheldview? 170
Thabo Mbeki,ANCToday,December2003
5. TRANSITION
Processmattersasmuchassubstance 173
GugulethuMoyo
Anewconstitutionneedspublicconsent.
Arecordofhistory 177
AninterviewwithRichard Goldstone,chiefprosecutoroftheInternational
CriminalCourtbyNicoleFritz,Mail & Guardian, May 2007
Thepriceoftruth 178
George Bizos
s
An interviewwithNelson Mandela defencelawyer.byGugulethuMoyo.
8eatingthewatchdog 182
BillSaidi,Mail& Guardian, May 2007
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Contents
Inaroughneighbourhood 183
GeoffHill
Policy-makersinZimbabwecanlearnfrom RwandaandSomaliland.
Amediaworththe trouble 186
TawanaKupe, www.mg.co.zalnewzimbabwe
Aftertheplunder 188
Hennie vanVuurenandCharlesGoredema
Thefirsthundreddays arevital totherecoveryofstolen assets.
Norefuge for Mugabe 193
InterviewwithMark Ellis, chiefexecutiveoftheInternationalBar
AssociationbyGugulethuMoyo,Mail& Guardian, May 2007
Theroadto free andfairelections 194
WelshmanNcube
Newlawsandrevampedinstitutionsareneededtopreparetheground.
Newrightsforwomen 198
FaredaBanda, www.mg.co.za/newzimbabwe
Varietiesofjustice 199
PriscillaHayner
Therearemanyrecentprecedentsforreconciliation.
ANINVITATIONTOTHEGOVERNMENTOFZIMBABWE 207
Aletterto PresidentRobertMugabe. 209
NOTES&REFERENCES 211
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