Table Of ContentTHE CONTINUING
DEMOGRAPHIC
TRANSITION
Edited by
GAVIN W.JONES
ROBERT M. DOUGLAS
JOHN C. CALDWELL
RENNIE M. D'SOUZA
CLARENDON PRESS OXFORD
THE CONTINUING DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION
The Continuing
Demographic Transition
Edited by
G. W. JONES
R. M. DOUGLAS
J. C. CALDWELL
R. M. D'SOUZA
CLARENDON PRESS • OXFORD
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in order to ensure its continuing availability
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Acknowledgements
The editors are warmly appreciative of the contributions of a large
group of sponsors and committee members who made the Caldwell
Symposium, on which this volume is based, possible. The sponsors
included the Academy of the Social Sciences in Australia, the Andrew W.
Mellon Foundation, the Australian Population Association, the Australian
Agency for International Development, the Commonwealth Department of
Human Services and Health in Australia, the Ford Foundation, the Inter-
national Union of Scientific Study of Population, the National Centre for
Epidemiology and Population Health at the Australian National Univer-
sity, the Overseas Development Administration, the Population Council,
the Research School of Social Sciences at the Australian National Univer-
sity, and the Rockefeller Foundation.
Dr Gigi Santow played a particularly important role in drawing the
intellectual threads of the meeting together, and Ms Wendy Cosford has
played a major role in copyediting.
We also acknowledge the key role played by staff of the National
Centre of Epidemiology and Population Health at the Australian National
University including especially Ms Peggy Daroesman, Ms Kaye Devlin,
and Mr Ron D'Souza.
Contents
List of Contributors and Editors ix
Introduction 1
Gavin W. Jones and R. M. Douglas
PART I FERTILITY TRANSITION 13
1. What Do We Now Know about Fertility Transition? 15
John C. Caldwell and Pat Caldwell
PART II RECENT INSIGHTS INTO
DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION 27
2. The First Health Transition in Australia, 1880-1910 29
P. B. Smith
3. The Demise of Universal Marriage in East and
South-East Asia 51
Gavin W. Jones
4. An Analysis of Parity-Dependent Fertility Falls in
Tropical Africa 80
William Brass, Fatima Juarez, and Anne Scott
5. Replacement-Level Fertility: The Implausible Endpoint of
the Demographic Transition 94
Paul Demeny
6. Intergenerational Wealth Flows and the Elderly in Indonesia 111
Graeme Hugo
PART III THE PLACE OF CULTURE IN THE
EXPLANATION OF DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION 135
7. The Proper Role of Culture in Demographic Explanation 137
David I. Kertzer
8. Gender and Demographic Change: What Do We Know? 158
Karen Oppenheim Mason
viii Contents
9. Marriage Change as Moral Change: Culture, Virtue, and
Demographic Transition 183
Tom Fricke
10. Orderly Theories, Disorderly Women 213
Susan Cotts Watkins, Naomi Rutenberg, and David Wilkinson
11. Numerators and Denominators in the Study of High
Fertility Populations: Past and Potential Contributions from
Cultural Anthropology 246
Caroline Bledsoe and Fatou Banja Camara
12. Contraception and Religiosity in Bangladesh 268
Sajeda Amin, lan Diamond, and Fiona Steele
13. The Rise of Dowry in Bangladesh 290
Sajeda Amin and Mead Cain
14. Underinvestment in Children: A Reorganization of the
Evidence on the Determinants of Child Mortality 307
Alaka Malwade Basu
15. Health Treatment Behaviour in Sri Lanka 332
Indrani Pieris
PART IV THE PLACE OF POLICY IN THE
EXPLANATION OF RECENT FERTILITY DECLINES 363
16. The Governance of Fertility Transition: Reflections on the
Asian Experience 365
Geoffrey McNicoll
17. Politics, Culture, and Fertility: Transitions in Indonesia 383
Terence H. Hull and Valerie J. Hull
18. The Role of Family Planning Programmes in Contemporary
Fertility Transitions 422
John Bongaarts
Index 445
List of Contributors and Editors
Sajeda Amin is an Associate in the Research Division at the Population
Council, One Dag Hammarskjold Plaza, New York, NY 10017, USA.
Fatoumatta Banja, formerly with Save the Children USA in The Gambia,
is at the School for International Training, Brattleboro, Vermont, USA.
Alaka Malwade Basu is a Senior Research Associate in the Division of
Nutritional Sciences, Cornell University, Savage Hall, Ithaca, NY 14853
6501, USA.
Caroline Bledsoe is Professor of Anthropology at Northwestern Uni-
versity, Evanston, 111 60208-1310, USA.
John Bongaarts is Vice-President of the Population Council and Direc-
tor of its Research Division, One Dag Hammarskjdld Plaza, New York,
NY 10017, USA.
William Brass is Emeritus Professor of Medical Demography at the
Centre for Population Studies, London School of Hygiene and Tropical
Medicine, Keppel Street, London WCIE 7HT, UK.
Mead Cain is an independent consultant living in New York.
John Caldwell is Emeritus Professor of Demography and Coordinator,
Health Transition Centre, National Centre for Epidemiology and Popu-
lation Health, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200,
Australia.
Pat Caldwell is an anthropological demographer and a Centre Visitor
at the National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Aus-
tralian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia.
Paul Demeny is Distinguished Scholar at the Population Council, One
Dag Hammarskjold Plaza, New York, NY 10017, USA.
Ian Diamond is Professor at the Department of Social Statistics, Univer-
sity of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton, Hants S09 5NH, UK.
Robert M. Douglas is the Director of the National Centre for Epidemio-
logy and Population Health, Australian National University, Canberra,
ACT 0200, Australia.
Rennie M. D'Souza is a Fellow at the National Centre for Epidemiology
and Population Health, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT
0200, Australia.
