Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future: Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies

300 Pages·2013·4.184 MB·English

by  Dirk Meissner, Leonid Gokhberg, Alexander Sokolov (auth.), Dirk Meissner, Leonid Gokhberg, Alexander Sokolov (eds.)

Dirk Meissner
Leonid Gokhberg
Alexander Sokolov Editors
Science, Technology
and Innovation
Policy for the Future
Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies
Science, Technology and Innovation Policy
for the Future
.
Dirk Meissner (cid:129) Leonid Gokhberg (cid:129)
Alexander Sokolov
Editors
Science, Technology and
Innovation Policy
for the Future
Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies
Editors
DirkMeissner
LeonidGokhberg
AlexanderSokolov
NationalResearchUniversity-
HigherSchoolofEconomics(HSE)
InstituteforStatisticalStudiesand
EconomicsofKnowledge
Moscow
Russia
ISBN978-3-642-31826-9 ISBN978-3-642-31827-6(eBook)
DOI10.1007/978-3-642-31827-6
SpringerHeidelbergNewYorkDordrechtLondon
LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2013940189
©Springer-VerlagBerlinHeidelberg2013
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Contents
1 TheMeaningofForesightforScience,TechnologyandInnovation
Policy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
DirkMeissner,LeonidGokhberg,andAlexanderSokolov
PartI InstrumentsandToolsforForesightStudies
2 IntegratedFrameworkforEvaluationofNationalForesight
Studies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
AnnaSokolovaandEkaterinaMakarova
3 ResultsandImpactofNationalForesight-Studies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
DirkMeissner
4 InstrumentstomeasureForesight. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
DirkMeissner
5 InteractiveImpacts–ForesightasaProduct,Service
andCoproductionProcess. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63
IanMiles
6 SystemicForesightMethodology. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83
OzcanSaritas
PartII ForesightInstrumentsforInnovativeMarkets
7 SectoralForesightStudies:FuturePerspectives
ofNanotechnologies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121
OlegKarasevandAnastasiaEdelkina
8 AToolkitforIntegratedRoadmaps:EmployingNanotechnologies
inWaterandWastewaterTreatment. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137
OlegKarasevandKonstantinVishnevskiy
v
vi Contents
9 EarlyPatternsofCommercializationinGraphene. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161
PhilipShapira,JanYoutie,andSanjayArora
PartIII CountryForesightStudies
10 ForesightinRussia:ImplicationsforPolicyMaking. . . . . . . . . . . . 183
AlexanderSokolov
11 ForesightinGermany:ImplicationsforPolicyMaking. . . . . . . . . . 199
KerstinCuhls
12 ImplementingForesightStudyResultsinPolicyAction
andMeasures:EUExperiences. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 219
JenniferCassingenaHarper
PartIV ForesightStudies:InstrumentforInnovationPolicy?
13 ChallengesforScienceandInnovationPolicy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 233
LukeGeorghiou
14 InnovationPolicyorPolicyforInnovation?–InSearchofthe
OptimalSolutionforPolicyApproachandOrganisation. . . . . . . . . 247
DirkMeissner,VitalyRoud,andMarioCervantes
15 IndicatorsforScience,TechnologyandInnovationonthe
CrossroadtoForesight. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257
LeonidGokhberg
16 Summary–TargetingSTIPolicyInterventions–Future
ChallengesforForesight. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289
LeonidGokhbergandAlexanderSokolov
List of Contributors
SanjayArora SchoolofPublicPolicy,GeorgiaInstituteofTechnology,Atlanta,
USA
Mario Cervantes Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development,
Paris,France
Kerstin Cuhls Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research,
Karlsruhe,Germany
AnastasiaEdelkina NationalResearchUniversity-HigherSchoolofEconomics
(HSE),Moscow,Russia
Luke Georghiou Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, Manchester
BusinessSchool,UniversityofManchester,Manchester,UK
Leonid Gokhberg National Research University - Higher School of Economics
(HSE),Moscow,Russia
Jennifer Cassingena Harper Malta Council for Science and Technology,
Kalkara,Malta
Oleg Karasev National Research University - Higher School of Economics
(HSE),Moscow,Russia
EkaterinaMakarova NationalResearchUniversity-HigherSchoolofEconomics
(HSE),Moscow,Russia
Dirk Meissner National Research University - Higher School of Economics
(HSE),Moscow,Russia
Ian Miles National Research University - Higher School of Economics (HSE),
Moscow,Russia
CentreforServiceResearch,UniversityofManchester,Manchester,UK
VitalyRoud NationalResearchUniversity-HigherSchoolofEconomics(HSE),
Moscow,Russia
vii
viii ListofContributors
OzcanSaritas ManchesterInstituteofInnovationResearch,ManchesterBusiness
School,UniversityofManchester,Manchester,UK
NationalResearchUniversity-HigherSchoolofEconomics(HSE),Moscow,Russia
Philip Shapira Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, Manchester
BusinessSchool,UniversityofManchester,Manchester,UK
GeorgiaInstituteofTechnology,Atlanta,USA
AlexanderSokolov NationalResearchUniversity-HigherSchoolofEconomics
(HSE),Moscow,Russia
Anna Sokolova National Research University - Higher School of Economics
(HSE),Moscow,Russia
Konstantin Vishnevskiy National Research University - Higher School of Eco-
nomics(HSE),Moscow,Russia
Jan Youtie Enterprise Innovation Institute at Georgia Institute of Technology,
Atlanta,USA
About the Authors
Sanjay. Arora is a doctoral student at
the School of Public Policy at Georgia
InstituteofTechnologywithresearchinterests
in innovation, strategic management, entre-
preneurship, and science and technology
policy. Sanjay has worked for JSTOR, the
not-for-profit digital scholarly archive, as
Data Manager and more recently for IBM
Global Business Services as a Public Sector
Consultant. He holds a BA in Information
Systems from Wayne State University and a
master’sinInformationSystemsManagement
from Carnegie Mellon University. Email:
[email protected]
Mario Cervantes Senior Economist, Sci-
ence and Technology Policy Division,
Directorate for Science, Technology and
Industry, Organisation for Economic Co-
operationandDevelopment(OECD),Paris
Mario Cervantes is senior economist/
principal administrator at OECD’s Science
and Technology Policy Division. In partic-
ular,heisresponsiblefortheWorkingParty
on Innovation and Technology Policy
(TIP). With more than 15 years of experi-
ence in innovation policy, Mr. Cervantes
has writtenonarangeoftopics fromindustry–sciencerelations,humanresources
inS&T,technologyincubators,universitypatentingandlicensing,openinnovation
ix