Table Of ContentSCENARIO INNOVATION –
EXPERIENCES FROM A EUROPEAN
EXPERIMENTAL GARDEN
Scenario Innovation
Experiences from a European Experimental Garden
M. B. A. Van Asselt, J. Rotmans & D. Rothman
Maastricht University, the Netherlands
Integrated Assessment Studies
LONDON/LEIDEN/NEW
YORK/PHILADELPHIA/SINGAPORE
First published 2005 by Taylor & Francis, The Netherlands Schipholweg 107C, 2316XC Leiden,
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ISBN 0-203-02558-X Master e-book ISBN
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Contents
Acknowledgements vi
Preface: Visions of Europe x
Carlo Trojan
1. The Experimental Garden 1
2. The Global Context 7
3. The VISIONS Approach 22
4. Regional and European Scenarios 66
5. Integrated Visions 138
6. Experiences from an Experimental Garden 161
References 174
Index 179
Acknowledgements
This book, describing our experiences with a multi-scale participatory envisioning
experiment, refers to the VISIONS project, which was a research project in the Fourth
Framework Programme of the European Union—Environment and Climate Research
Programme—Research Theme 4: Human Dimensions of Environmental Change. The
financial support of the European Union is gratefully acknowledged.
The VISIONS project was a collaborative project involving nine institutes from
throughout Europe, i.e., International Centre for Integrative Studies (ICIS), Maastricht
University, the Netherlands (coordinator); National Institute for Public Health and the
Environment (RIVM), the Netherlands; Research Methods Consultancy Ltd (RMC),
United Kingdom; University of Manchester, Department of Planning and Landscape,
United Kingdom; Manchester School of Management, UMIST, United Kingdom;
Université de Versailles Saint-Quintin en Yvelines, Centre d’Economie et d’Ethique pour
L’Environnement et le Developpement (C3ED), France; Research Institute for
Knowledge Systems (RIKS BV), the Netherlands; European Commission, Joint Research
Centre, Institute for Systems, Informatics & Safety (ISIS), Italy; and Eidgenoessische
Anstalt für Wasserversorgung, Abwasserreinigung und Gewässerschutz, Human Ecology
Department (EAWAG), Switzerland. The financial and material support of these various
institutes is also gratefully acknowledged.
The VISIONS project resulted in an overall final report by the coordinator, final
reports by all partner institutes and more than 20 working papers. In writing the current
book, we have made extensive use of all this background material. By the end of the
project, the partners decided not to produce collectively a book, and they left it to the
coordinator and principal investigators to decide whether to further process the material.
We finally processed the material and took time to reflect on what was produced. The
current book is, therefore, our reflection of an inspiring and challenging envisioning
endeavour. Nevertheless, we could never have written it without the contributions of the
people, affiliated with the various partner institutes, over the course of the project.
Although the list is long, we consider it necessary to mention each individually.
We would like to acknowledge in this way the contributions to the VISIONS project
of the following individuals:
• At the International Centre for Integrative Studies (ICIS), Maastricht University, the
Netherlands
– Chris Anastasi (visiting scholar)
– Jo Mellors
– Caroline van Bers
– Sandra Greeuw
– Susan van ’t Klooster
– Philip van Notten
– Jasper Grosskurt
– Chantal Timmermans
• Nicole Rijkens-Klomp
• Mita Patel
• At the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), the
Netherlands:
– Guus de Hollander
– Raymond de Niet
– Ton de Nijs
• At the Research Methods Consultancy Ltd (RMC), United Kingdom:
– Jerry Ravetz
• At the University of Manchester, Department of Planning and Landscape, United
Kingdom:
– Joe Ravetz
• At the Manchester School of Management, UMIST, United Kingdom:
– Simon Shackley
– Clair Gough
• At the Université de Versailles Saint-Quintin en Yvelines, Centre d’Économie et
d’Ethique pour L’Environnement et le Developpement (C3ED), France:
– Sylvie Faucheux
– Martin O’Connor
• At the Research Institute for Knowledge Systems (RIKS BV), the Netherlands:
– Guy Engelen
– Inge Uljee
– Alex Hagen
– Bas Straatman
• At the European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Systems, Informatics
& Safety (ISIS), Italy:
– Ângela Guimarães Pereira
– Silvio Funtowicz
– Serafin Corral Quintana
– Bruna De Marchi (ISIG, Gorizia, Italy)
– Gilberto Gallopín (SEI, Stockholm, Sweden)
– Bruno Maltoni (University of Trieste, Italy)
• At the Eidgenoessische Anstalt für Wasserversorgung, Abwasserreinigung und
Gewässerschutz, Human Ecology Department (EAWAG), Switzerland:
– Carlo Jaeger
– Bernd Kasemir
– Ralf Schüle
We would also like to thank those colleagues who did not directly participate in the
project, but who contributed to the project, for example, by (co)authoring working papers
(sometimes as subcontractors):
• Raffael Pulli and Rolf Iten: INFRAS, Switzerland
• Michael Thompson: The Musgrave Institute, United Kingdom, and the University of
Bergen, Norway
• Dieter Imboden: Swiss Federal Institute of Technology
• Ferenc Toth: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Germany
• Arjan Lejour, Guido van Steen, and Paul Tang: Netherlands Bureau for Economic
Policy Analysis (CPB), the Netherlands
More than a hundred regional and European policy-makers, businesspeople,
representatives of NGOs or other stakeholder organisations, experts, artists, media people
and citizens participated in the numerous workshops that have been organised over the
course of the project. We cannot mention them all, but without their ideas, knowledge
and input we could not have envisioned futures for Europe, the Northwest of the United
Kingdom, the Green Heart in the Netherlands and the Venice region in Italy. We give our
thanks to all.
Ambassador Trojan (former Secretary-General of the European Commission) opened
the VISIONS final forum (May 2001). We are very happy that he agreed that a
translation of his speech could be taken up as a preface to this book.
The actual writing of the book took place within the context of the ‘Methodology for
Future Studies’ programme, a research project led by Marjolein van Asselt and funded by
the Dutch Science Foundation (NWO). The necessary financial support and the freedom
to follow one’s own path, which is associated with this particular funding scheme, are
more than valued.
Marjolein van Asselt, Jan Rotmans and Dale Rothman
April 2004
Maastricht, the Netherlands
