Table Of Content(cid:1)(cid:2)(cid:3)(cid:2)(cid:4)(cid:5)(cid:6)(cid:7)(cid:8)(cid:6)(cid:7)(cid:9)(cid:10)(cid:6)(cid:11)(cid:9)(cid:12)(cid:13)(cid:13)(cid:10)(cid:4)(cid:5)(cid:10)(cid:14)(cid:6)(cid:11)(cid:9)(cid:2)(cid:4)(cid:12)(cid:15)(cid:3)(cid:6)(cid:16)(cid:17)(cid:12)(cid:4)(cid:18)(cid:6)(cid:19)(cid:7)(cid:17)(cid:12)(cid:7)(cid:10)(cid:5)(cid:20)
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Muthiah Alagappa
Director, East-West Center Washington
Itty Abraham Victor D. Cha
Social Science Research Council Georgetown University
Amitav Acharya Alastair Iain Johnston
Nanyang Technological University Harvard University
Dewi Fortuna Anwar Chung-in Moon
Indonesian Institute of Sciences Yonsei University
Thomas J. Christensen Sukh Deo Muni
Princeton University Jawaharlal Nehru University
Stephen P. Cohen T. V. Paul
Brookings Institution McGill University
Aaron L. Friedberg Christian Reus-Smit
Princeton University Australian National University
G. John Ikenberry Sheila Smith
Princeton University East-West Center
Miles Kahler Yoshihide Soeya
University of California-San Diego Keio University
Peter J. Katzenstein Ramesh Thakur
Cornell University United Nations University
Khong Yuen Foong Wang Yizhou
Oxford University Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
Michael Mastanduno Wu Xinbo
Dartmouth College Fudan University
Mike Mochizuki
George Washington University
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Muthiah Alagappa, Chief Editor
The aim of the Asian Security series is to promote analysis, understanding,
and explanation of the dynamics of domestic, transnational, and international
security challenges in Asia. The peer-reviewed books in this series will analyze
contemporary security issues and problems to clarify debates in the scholarly
and policy communities, provide new insights and perspectives, and identify
new research and policy directions related to conflict management and
security in Asia. Security is defined broadly to include the traditional political
and military dimensions as well as the non-traditional dimensions that affect
the survival and well being of political communities. Asia, too, is defined
broadly, to include Northeast, Southeast, South, and Central Asia.
Designed to encourage original and rigorous scholarship, books in the
Asian Security series seek to engage scholars, educators, and practitioners.
Wide-ranging in scope and method, the series welcomes an extensive array of
paradigms, programs, traditions, and methodologies now employed in the
social sciences.
* * *
The East-West Center, with offices in Honolulu, Hawaii, and in
Washington, D.C., is a public, nonprofit educational and research institution
established by the U.S. Congress in to foster understanding and
cooperation among the governments and peoples of the Asia-Pacific region,
including the United States.
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China’s Grand Strategy and International Security
Avery Goldstein
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Stanford University Press (cid:127) Stanford, California
Published with the partial support of the
Sasakawa Peace Foundation (USA)
Stanford University Press
Stanford, California
© by the Board of Trustees of the
Leland Stanford Junior University
All rights reserved
No part of this book may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means,
electronic or mechanical, including photocopying and recording, or in any information
storage or retrieval system without the prior written permission of Stanford University Press
Printed in the United States of America
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Goldstein, Avery
Rising to the challenge : China’s grand strategy and international security / Avery
Goldstein.
p. cm. — (Studies in Asian security)
Includes bibliographical references and index.
--- (cloth : alk. paper) — --- (pbk. : alk. paper)
. China—Foreign relations—–. I. Title: China’s grand strategy and
international security. II. Title. III. Series.
..
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This book is printed on acid-free, archival-quality paper.
Original printing
La st figu r e b e low i ndic a tes y ear o f th is pri n ting:
Typeset at Stanford University Press in ⁄ Bembo
For Karen
Acknowledgments
In addition to the publications cited, this book draws on approximately
hours of interviews the author conducted in Beijing ( hours in June–July
, March–April and October , and March ), Shanghai ( hours
in June–July ), Washington, D.C. ( hours in February ), and To-
kyo ( hours in March ). I thank all of my interlocutors and their in-
stitutions for their hospitality.
The interview subjects, all promised confidentiality, were civilian officials
and military officers, as well as advisers and independent analysts. In Tokyo,
these included individuals affiliated with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the
Nomura Institute, the Okazaki Institute, and Japan’s self-defense forces, as
well as journalists and academics. In Beijing, these included individuals affili-
ated with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of National Defense,
the PLA’s Academy of Military Sciences, the PLA’s National Defense Uni-
versity, the China Institute for International Strategic Studies, the China In-
stitute for Contemporary International Relations, the Foundation for Interna-
tional and Strategic Studies, the China Institute of International Studies, the
China Society for Strategy and Management Research, four institutes within
the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (the Institute of American Studies,
Institute for the Study of World Politics and Economics, Institute for Asia-
Pacific Studies, and Institute of East European, Russian, and Central Asian
Studies), Beijing University, Qinghua University, and the Foreign Affairs
College. In Shanghai, these included individuals at the Shanghai Academy of
Social Sciences, the Shanghai Institute for International Studies, the Shanghai
Institute for International Strategic Studies, the School of International Rela-
tions and Public Affairs and Center for American Studies at Fudan University,
the Center for RimPac Strategic and International Studies, and the Pudong
Institute for the US Economy.
x Acknowledgments
For helpful comments, criticisms, and suggestions at various stages in this
book’s development, I thank Muthiah Alagappa, Jean-Marc Blanchard, Tom
Christensen, Iain Johnston, Jonathan Kirshner, Ed Mansfield, Pat McDonald,
Evan Medeiros, Samantha Ravitch, Alan Romberg, David Rousseau, Mi-
chael Swaine, Tang Wei, and several anonymous reviewers. I also thank Tang
Wei, Cheng Chen, and Yanbo Wang for their research assistance. Once
again, I have had the good fortune to work with Muriel Bell and John Fen-
eron at Stanford University Press. They have provided invaluable editorial as-
sistance and advice. I am especially indebted to Sharron Wood for her mas-
terly copyediting.
I gratefully acknowledge the financial support this project received from
the Smith Richardson Foundation, the East West Center, and the Research
Foundation and the Center for East Asian Studies at the University of Penn-
sylvania. Earlier versions of some of the material in this book appeared in arti-
cles published in the journals International Security, China Quarterly, and Orbis,
and in a chapter of International Relations Theory and the Asia-Pacific (Columbia
University Press). This material is included here with their permission.
As ever, my work has benefited in immeasurable ways from the support of
my family, including my wife, Karen Tulis, our children, Julia and Loren, and
our dog, Dreyfus.