Table Of ContentRising China:
PoweR and ReassuRanCe
Rising China:
PoweR and ReassuRanCe
edited by Ron Huisken
Published by ANU E Press
The Australian National University
Canberra ACT 0200, Australia
Email: [email protected]
This title is also available online at: http://epress.anu.edu.au/rising_china_citation.html
National Library of Australia
Cataloguing-in-Publication entry
Title: Rising China : power and reassurance / editor: Ron Huisken.
ISBN 9781921536588 (pbk.) 9781921536595 (pdf)
Notes: Bibliography.
Subjects: National interest--China.
Confidence and security building measures (International relations)--China.
Security, International.
International relations.
China--Foreign relations.
China--Politics and government--21st century
Other Authors/Contributors:
Huisken, R. H. (Ronald Herman), 1946-
Dewey Number: 327.51
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system
or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying or otherwise,
without the prior permission of the publisher.
Cover design by ANU E Press
Printed by University Printing Services, ANU
This edition © 2009 ANU E Press
Table of Contents
Acknowledgements vii
Contributors ix
Introduction 1
Ron Huisken
China’s key bilateral relationships: partners or just peers?
America
1. The outlook for US–China relations 9
Ron Huisken
2. Closer and more balanced: China–US relations in transition 21
Jia Qingguo
Japan
3. China–Japan relations at a new juncture 33
Zhang Tuosheng
4. Japanese perspectives on the rise of China 45
Koji Watanabe
India and Russia
5. Sino–Indian relations and the rise of China 51
Sandy Gordon
6. The rise of Chindia and its impact on the world system 65
Zhao Gancheng
7. Sino–Russian relations in the ‘post’-Putin era 79
Yu Bin
Alliances, military balances and strategic policy
8. How China thinks about national security 103
Xia Liping
9. China’s national defence: challenges and responses 119
Fan Gaoyue
10. China’s defence industries: change and continuity 125
Richard Bitzinger and J. D. Kenneth Boutin
v
Rising China: Power and Reassurance
Multilateral processes: countering or reflecting regional cleavages?
11. China’s participation in Asian multilateralism: pragmatism prevails 147
Mingjiang Li
12. The perils and prospects of dragon riding: reassurance and
‘costly signals’ in China–ASEAN relations 165
See Seng Tan
13. ‘Architectural alternatives or alternatives to architecture?’ 185
Robert Ayson and Brendan Taylor
vi
Acknowledgements
The conference on which this book is based was made possible by an Australian
Research Council (ARC) Linkage Grant (with the Department of Defence as
‘industry partner’), awarded to the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre in 2005.
The editor is indebted to the ARC and the Department of Defence for this support.
In addition to the authors represented in this volume, a number of people made
an invaluable contribution as panellists or discussants to the broader dialogue
that took place during the course of the conference. The editor would like to
express his gratitude to the following people in this regard: Dr Doug Kean from
the Office of National Assessments; Dr Rod Lyon and Dr Mark Thomson from
the Australian Strategic Policy Institute; Dr Malcolm Cook from the Lowy
Foundation; and Professor Robin Jeffrey, Professor Hugh White, Professor Paul
Dibb, Professor Geremie Barme, Professor Anthony Milner, Admiral (Rtd) Chris
Barrie and Dr Richard Brabin-Smith, all from The Australian National University.
vii
Contributors
See Seng Tan
See Seng Tan is an Associate Professor at the S. Rajaratnam School of International
Studies (RSIS), Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. He directs the
school’s research program on multilateralism and regionalism as well as its
executive education department. He previously served as the Deputy Head of
Graduate Studies. His most recent publication is Bandung Revisited: The legacy
of the 1955 Asian–African Conference for International Order (co-edited with
Amitav Acharya, 2008, National University of Singapore Press). He recently
completed a stint as Visiting Research Associate at the International Institute for
Strategic Studies, Asia (IISS-Asia).
Koji Watanabe
Koji Watanabe is Senior Fellow at the Japan Center for International Exchange.
Joining the Foreign Ministry in 1956, Koji served as Japanese Ambassador to
Saudi Arabia (1988–89), Italy (1992–93) and Russia (1993–96), and Minister in
Beijing (1981–84), Deputy Foreign Minister, Sherpa for the G7 Houston and
London summits and Japanese co-chairman of the US–Japan Structural
Impediments Initiative Talks. Now President of The Japan Forum, he was on
the Board of Governors of the Asia–Europe Foundation (ASEF) and the National
Public Safety Commission, and former Executive Advisor to the Japan Business
Federation (Keidanren).
Richard A. Bitzinger
Richard A. Bitzinger is a Senior Fellow with the S. Rajaratnam School of
International Studies (RSIS), Nanyang Technological University, Singapore,
where his work focuses on military and defence issues relating to the Asia-Pacific
region, including the challenges of defence transformation in the Asia-Pacific,
regional military modernisation activities and local defence industries, arms
production and weapons proliferation. Richard was previously an Associate
Professor with the Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies (APCSS), Honolulu,
Hawai’i, and also worked for the RAND Corporation, the Center for Strategic
and Budgetary Affairs and the US Government.
Fan Gaoyue
Fan Gaoyue, born in 1952, joined the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) in 1970
and has worked in the PLA Academy of Military Science since 1989. Now a
Senior Colonel and Research Fellow in the academy, Fan’s research and writing
has focused on American affairs, including joint operations, military training,
military strategy and military transformation.
ix
Rising China: Power and Reassurance
Li Mingjiang
Li Mingjiang is Assistant Professor at the S. Rajaratnam School of International
Studies (RSIS), Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. His main research
interests include the rise of China in the context of East Asian regional relations
and Sino–American relations, China’s diplomatic history and domestic sources
of China’s international strategies. He teaches two courses: the History and
International Politics of the Cold War and Chinese Security and Foreign Policy.
He received his PhD in Political Science from Boston University. He has also
studied at the Foreign Affairs University (Beijing) and the Hopkins-Nanjing
Center. He was a diplomatic correspondent for Xinhua News Agency from 1999
to 2001. Li has previously taught political science and Chinese politics at Boston
University, Tufts University and Suffolk University. He has published and
presented papers on China’s domestic politics and foreign policy.
Qingguo Jia
Qingguo Jia is Professor and Associate Dean of the School of International Studies
of Peking University. He received his PhD from Cornell University in 1988. He
was a Research Fellow at the Brookings Institution between 1985 and 1986. He
has taught at the University of Vermont, Cornell University, the University of
California at San Diego, the University of Sydney in Australia and Peking
University. He has published extensively on US–China relations, relations
between the Chinese mainland and Taiwan, Chinese foreign policy and Chinese
politics.
Zhang Tuosheng
Zhang Tuosheng is a Senior Fellow, Chairman of the Academic Assessments
Committee and Director of Research with the China Foundation for International
Strategic Studies. Formerly an officer in the PLA, he was posted to the United
Kingdom in the early 1990s as the Deputy Defence Attaché. His main research
interests are Sino–American relations, Sino–Japanese relations, Asia-Pacific
security and Chinese foreign policy.
Yu Bin
Yu Bin is Professor of Political Science at Wittenberg University (Ohio, United
States) and Senior Research Fellow at the Shanghai Association of American
Studies. Yu earned his PhD from Stanford University (1991) and his MA from
the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (1982). Yu’s professional activities have
included attachments to Fudan University, Stanford University and the East
West Center in Hawai’i. Yu is the author and co-author of several books and
more than 60 scholarly articles. His current research focus includes China–Russia
relations.
x
