Revolution in the Arab World: Tunisia, Egypt, And the Unmaking of an Era

227 Pages·2011·0.97 MB·English

Revolution
in the
ARAb WoRld
Tunisia, EgypT, and ThE unmaking of an Era
A SpeciAl
RepoRt FRom
foreifgonr epioglnic pyo •l irceyv •o lruetvioolnu itnio tnh ien a trhaeb awroarb lwd o•r Tludnisia
© 2011 Foreign Policy
Published by the Slate Group, a division of
The Washington Post Company
www.foreignpolicy.com
foreignfo proeligicny p•o rleicvyo l•u rteiovno liunt tiohne ainr atbh ew aorralbd w• orrulmdblings
Revolution
in the
ARAb WoRld
Tunisia, EgypT, and ThE unmaking of an Era
Exclusive coverage of the turmoil in the Middle East —
as it’s happening. By the world’s leading experts
and journalists on the ground.
A Middle East Channel Production
Edited by Marc Lynch, Susan B. Glasser, and Blake Hounshell
Produced by Britt Peterson
Art-directed by Dennis Brack with assistance
from Erin Aulov and Andrew Hughey
i
foreignfo proeligicny p•o rleicvyo l•u rteiovno liunt tiohne ainr atbh ew aorralbd w• orrulmdblings
“What is the perfect day for Hosni Mubarak?
A day when nothing happens.”
—Egyptian joke, December 2010
“A bunch of incognizant, ineffective
young people”
—Egyptian Interior Minister Habib al-Adly
on the Tahrir Square protesters, Jan. 25, 2011
ii
foreignfo proeligicny p•o rleicvyo l•u rteiovno liunt tiohne ainr atbh ew aorralbd w• orrulmdblings
Introduction
By Blake Hounshell and Marc Lynch
1
Chapter 1
Rumblings of Revolution
Introduction
10
January 2010: After Pharaoh
By Issandr El Amrani
11
June 2010: Even Iran’s Regime Hates Iran’s Regime
By Karim Sadjadpour
13
June 2010: The Hollow Arab Core
By Marc Lynch
16
June 2010: “Reform,” Saudi Style
By Toby C. Jones
19
July 2010: Can Egypt Change?
By Steven A. Cook
23
October 2010: Our Man in Sanaa
By Ellen Knickmeyer
26
October 2010: The Death of Egypt’s Free Press
By David Kenner
31
January 2011: Making Fun of Pharaoh
By Issandr El Amrani
33
iii
foreignfo proeligicny p•o rleicvyo l•u rteiovno liunt tiohne ainr atbh ew aorralbd w• orrulmdblings
Chapter 2
Tunisia: An Unlikely Spark
Introduction
41
The Wages of Arab Decay
By Marc Lynch
42
A Month Made for Drama
By Christopher Alexander
45
The Rise and Fall of Ben Ali
By Christopher Alexander
50
Where Have All the Islamists Gone?
By Michael Koplow
54
Did WikiLeaks Take Down Tunisia’s Government?
By Tom Malinowski
57
What Tunisia Will Mean for Arab Democracy
By Steven Heydemann
63
A Middle-Class Revolution
By Eric Goldstein
66
Chapter 3
18 Days in Cairo
Introduction
72
January 25: Tear Gas on the Day of Rage
By Ashraf Khalil
73
iv
foreignfo proeligicny p•o rleicvyo l•u rteiovno liunt tiohne ainr atbh ew aorralbd w• orrulmdblings
February 1: A Wounded Father Figure
By Ashraf Khalil
76
February 2: With Eyes Red from Rage
By Amil Khan
78
Later February 2: Day of the Thugs
By Ashraf Khalil
83
February 3: Sword vs. Pen
By Ashraf Khalil
86
February 4: Fortress Tahrir
By Ashraf Khalil
89
February 4: Two Cups of Tea
By Blake Hounshell
92
February 7: A New Leader for Egypt’s Protesters
By Blake Hounshell
96
February 8: The Revolution Is Not Over
By Blake Hounshell
100
February 9: Egypt’s Foreigner Blame Game
By Peter Bouckaert
102
February 10: ‘We Need to Drag Him from His Palace’
By Ashraf Khalil
107
v
foreignfo proeligicny p•o rleicvyo l•u rteiovno liunt tiohne ainr atbh ew aorralbd w• orrulmdblings
February 11: Pharaoh Is Dead, Long Live Pharaoh?
By Blake Hounshell
110
February 12: After the Party
By Ashraf Khalil
115
Chapter 4
Revolution-Makers
Introduction
121
The Arab World’s Youth Army
By Ellen Knickmeyer
122
Revolution U
By Tina Rosenberg
127
The Hopeful Network
By Maryam Ishani
143
We Need to ‘Keep Kicking Their Behinds’: Mohamed ElBaradei on His
New Life of Protest
Interview by Blake Hounshell
149
The Al Jazeera Effect
By Hugh Miles
160
Chapter 5
Barack Obama and the New Mideast
Introduction
167
vi
foreignfo proeligicny p•o rleicvyo l•u rteiovno liunt tiohne ainr atbh ew aorralbd w• orrulmdblings
RIP, Engagement
By James Traub
169
The New Arab World Order
By Robert D. Kaplan
173
Welcome to the Real World, Mr. Obama
By Gary Sick
175
Blogging Egypt: Marc Lynch on Obama’s Challenge
179
Returning Freedom to the Agenda
By Elliott Abrams
188
The Right Way to Engage
By Zalmay Khalilzad
190
Policy Fit for a Bumper Sticker
By Stephen Sestanovich
192
Cairo Wasn’t Obama’s to Lose
By Aaron David Miller
194
Chapter 6
Now What? Revolution and Its Discontents
Introduction
200
Winners, Losers, and the Still Unknown
By Stephen M. Walt
201
vii
foreignfo proeligicny p•o rleicvyo l•u rteiovno liunt tiohne ainr atbh ew aorralbd w• orrulmdblings
Revolutionary Triumph? Maybe.
By Nathan J. Brown
207
The Tyrant Is Dead, But What About His Tyranny?
By Mohammed Ayoob
211
The End of the Beginning
By David A. Bell
213
viii