Rational Decision and Causality

230 Pages·2016·1.353 MB·English

by  Ellery Eells

Cambridge University Press
978-1-107-14481-1 — Rational Decision and Causality
Ellery Eells
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Rational Decision and Causality
© in this web service Cambridge University Press www.cambridge.org

Cambridge University Press
978-1-107-14481-1 — Rational Decision and Causality
Ellery Eells
Frontmatter
More Information
Rational Decision and Causality
B
ellery eells
© in this web service Cambridge University Press www.cambridge.org
Cambridge University Press
978-1-107-14481-1 — Rational Decision and Causality
Ellery Eells
Frontmatter
More Information
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© in this web service Cambridge University Press www.cambridge.org
Cambridge University Press
978-1-107-14481-1 — Rational Decision and Causality
Ellery Eells
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To my parents
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Cambridge University Press
978-1-107-14481-1 — Rational Decision and Causality
Ellery Eells
Frontmatter
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Contents
B
Preface to this edition bybrian skyrms page ix
Preface xi
Introduction 1
1. Bayesianism 3
Subjectiveexpectedutility 3
Foundationsofsubjectiveprobability 7
Learning 10
2. The philosophical and psychological significance of Bayesian
decisiontheory 22
Atheoryofhumanrationality 23
Atheoryofhumanbehavior 30
Foundationsandapplicationsofsubjectiveprobability 37
3. Bayesian decision theories: some details 59
Ramsey 59
Savage 64
Jeffrey 71
Acomparison 74
4. The counterexamples 79
5. Causaldecisiontheories 87
GibbardandHarper 87
Skyrms 97
Lewis 122
Discussion 133
6. Commoncauses, reasons and symptomatic acts 137
7. Ageneral defense ofPMCEU 155
The“tickledefense” 155
Themoregeneralsetting 159
Theweakerassumptions 163
Causes,reasonsandprobability 175
Thegeneraldefense 183
8. Newcomb’s paradox 188
vii
© in this web service Cambridge University Press www.cambridge.org
Cambridge University Press
978-1-107-14481-1 — Rational Decision and Causality
Ellery Eells
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viii contents
Appendix1 Logic 200
Appendix2 Probability 203
Bibliography 206
Index 212
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