Table Of ContentPolitical Institutions and Elderly Care Policy
Political Institutions and
Elderly Care Policy
Comparative Politics of Long-Term Care 
in Advanced Democracies 
Takeshi Hieda
Associate Professor, Graduate School of Law, Osaka City University
© Takeshi Hieda 2012  
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DOI 10.1057/9781137031051
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Contents
List of Tables  vii
   List of Figures viii
L   ist of Abbreviations  ix
Acknowledgements  xi 
  1  Introduction   1
1.1  Outline of the argument   3
1.2  Methodology   5
  1.3  Contributions of the book   7
  1.4  Plan of the book   9
  2 Understanding the Politics of Universalistic Social 
Care Services: A Theoretical Framework  12 
  2.1   Rationality and historical contingency: 
analytical framework  14 
  2.2  Political competition and universalistic welfare 
programs: theoretical model  16
  3     Political Institutional Conditions for the Development of 
Elderly Care Programs: Quantitative Evidence 28 
  3.1  Hypotheses 28 
  3.2  Data and variables  29 
3.3  Analytical method 34
3.4  Results 37 
3.5  Discussion 45 
4    Sweden: The Manipulative State  49
  4.1  The characteristics of political institutions in Sweden   51 
4.2  Elderly care programs in Sweden 62 
4.3  The development of elderly care in Sweden 64 
4.4   The transformation of elderly care system in Sweden I: 
Ädel reform  73
4.5   The transformation of elderly care system in Sweden II: 
privatization and decentralization 83 
4.6  Conclusion  89 
v
vi  Contents
5     Japan: ‘MHW and the Japanese Miracle’, in a Sense  91
5.1   The characteristics of the constitution, 
the electoral system, and party organizations in Japan   93
5.2   Elderly care in Japan 104
5.3   The politics of elderly care policy in Japan   110
5.4  Conclusion 136 
6       The United States of America: Evolution without Revolution 140
6.1   The characteristics of political institutions in
the United States  142
  6.2   Elderly care programs in the United States   151
  6.3   The legislative history of long-term care policy 
in the United States 159
  6.4  Conclusion 177
7   C   onclusion: Political Institutions, Voter–Politician Linkage,
and Universalistic Social Policy  182
7.1  Overview 182
7.2  Alternative explanations  187
7.3 Implications 193
Notes 196
Bibliography 209
Index 227
Tables 
2.1  Typology of social protection programs 19
3.1  The strength of personal vote 32 
3.2  Mean value of dependent and independent 
variables, by country  35 
3.3  Regression of public elderly care spending as a per cent 
of GDP on explanatory variables with pooled-OLS 
models, 1980–2001 38
3.4  R  egression of other public spending programs on
explanatory variables with pooled-OLS models, 1980–2001  46
4.1  S wedish electoral systems of the second chamber 
(((Andra Kammaren) 53 
4.2  The percentage of seats in the second chamber and
the formal governing coalitions, 1921–2006 56 
4.3  T  he social democrats’ parliamentary bases in
the two chambers, 1932–1970  57 
4.4  Bed blockers in acute-care hospitals in Sweden, 1989–1992  7 5
4.5  T  he list of members in Ädel Committee  79
5.1  Japanese electoral systems  96 
5.2  Long-term care system before and after 2000  106
5.3  Contents of ‘Gold Plan’ 129 
  6.1  The U.S. electoral systems 145 
  6.2  N  ursing home care expenditures in millions by
source of funds, 1970–2005 152 
6.3  Coverage of institutional and home care services for 
aged 65 and over 155 
6.4  Legislative history of Medicaid long-term care 
coverage, 1965–2005  179 
7.1  Public attitudes towards expected and preferred care 
forms in selected European countries in 2007 191 
7.2   Desirable form of care at home in Japan, 1995 and 2003 192
vii
Figures 
2.1  S catter plot between aged population rates and public
in-kind benefits for the aged as a per cent of GDP,
17 countries, in 2005  13
3.1  T ime-series changes in public spending for elderly care 
as a per cent of GDP, by country, 1980–2001 31
3.2  P redicted effects of population aging, interacted with
the degree of personal vote and the degree of federalism,
with 95 per cent confidence interval, in Model A2   41
4.1  Demographic trend in Sweden, 1900–2008  64
4.2  Nursing homes and old people’s homes,
the number of residents 70
4.3  T  he number of recipients of elderly care services
in Sweden, 1960–2000  72
4.4  P ublic expenditures for elderly care and
health care programs in Sweden, 1980–2003   74
4.5   Personnel employed in the private sector of 
state-subsidized care for elderly people 84
5.1   Coordination problems under SNTV in a four-seat district   98
5.2   Time trend of elderly care expenditures in Japan, 
1980–2006 108
5.3  Percentage of old age people in care institutions   109
5.4  T ime trend of home helpers in Japan, 1965–2009   116
  5.5   Time trend of health care for the aged 118
  5.6  Time trend of social expenditures by items   121
viii
Abbreviations 
Sweden
C   Centre Party 
FP  Liberal Party 
KD  Christian Democrats 
M  Conservative Party 
MP   Green Party 
SAP   Social Democratic Party 
VPK   L eft Party Communists
Japan 
DSP   Democratic Socialist Party 
JCP   Japan Communist Party
JMA  Japan Medical Association
JSP Japan Socialist Party
LDP   Liberal Democratic Party 
LTCI   Long-Term Care Insurance
MHW    Ministry of Health and Welfare
MMD   Multi-Member District
MOF  Ministry of Finance 
PARC   Policy Affairs Research Council 
SNTV  Single Non-Transferable Vote 
United States 
AARP   American Association of Retired Persons
ADA   Americans with Disabilities Act
AHA   American Hospital Association 
AMA  American Medical Association
ANHA   American Nursing Home Association
HCBC  home and community-based care 
HEW  Department of Health, Education and Welfare 
HHS   Department of Health and Human Services 
HIPAA  Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act 
ICF  intermediate care facility
ix