Table Of ContentPeople, Population Change and Policies
European Studies of Population
Volume 16/2
The book series European Studies of Population (ESPO) aims at disseminating
populationand family research,with specialrelevancefor Europe.Itmay analyse
past,presentand/orfuturetrends,aswellastheirdeterminantsandconsequences.
The character of the series is multidisciplinary, including formal demographic
analyses,aswellassocial,economicand/orhistoricalpopulationandfamilystudies.
The following types of studies are of primary importance: (a) internationally rel-
evant studies, (b) European comparative studies, (c) innovative theoretical and
methodological studies, and (d) policy-relevant scientific studies. The series may
includemonographs,editedvolumesandreferenceworks.
The book series is published under the auspices of the European Association for
PopulationStudies(EAPS).
EditorialBoard:
CharlotteHöhn,BundesinstitutfürBevölkerungsforschung,(BiB),Wiesbaden,Germany
JaninaJó´zwiak,EuropeanAssociationforPopulationStudies(EAPS)
NicoKeilman,StatisticsNorway,Oslo,Norway
MauraMisiti,IstitutodiRecerchesullaPopolazioneelePoliticheSociali(IRPPS),Roma,Italy
Jean-MarcRohrbasser,InstitutNationald’EtudesDémographiques(INED),Paris,France
ZsoltSpéder,DemographicResearchInstitute(DRI),Budapest,Hungary
AndresVikat,PopulationActivitiesUnit,(ECE,UnitedNations),Geneva,Switzerland
FransWillekens,NetherlandsInterdisciplinaryDemographicInstitute(NIDI),TheHague,Netherlands
AdvisoryBoard:
InesAlberdi(UniversidadComplutense,Madrid,Spain),HerwigBirg(InstitutfürBevölkerungsforschung,
Bielefeld, Germany), Graziella Caselli (Università degli studi di Roma“La Sapienza”, Rome, Italy),
DavidColeman(DepartmentofAppliedSocialStudiesandSocialResearch,Oxford,UnitedKingdom),
JackHabib(Brookdate Institute, Jerusalem,Israel), Kalev Katus(EstonianInteruniversity Population
ResearchCentre,Talinn,Estonia),MáireNíBhrolcháin(DepartmentofSocialStatistics,Southampton,
UnitedKingdom),VitaPruzan(DanishNationalInstituteofSocialResearch,Copenhagen,Denmark),
Serge Scherbov (Vienna Institute ofDemography, Vienna, Austria), DavidSly (Florida State Univer-
sity,Tallahassee,USA),TapaniValkonen(UniversityofHelsinki,Finland),JamesVaupel(MaxPlanck
InstituteforDemographicResearch,Rostock,Germany).
EditorialOffice:
GijsBeets
NetherlandsInterdisciplinary
DemographicInstitute(NIDI)
P.O.Box11650
NL–2502ARTheHague,Netherlands
Phone.:+31703565200
Fax.:+31703647187
E-mail:[email protected]
TechnicalEditor:
JacquelinevanderHelm(NIDI)
· ·
Charlotte Höhn Dragana Avramov
Irena E. Kotowska
Editors
People, Population Change
and Policies
Lessons from the Population Policy
Acceptance Study Vol. 2: Demographic
Knowledge – Gender – Ageing
Editors
CharlotteHöhn
FederalInstituteforPopulationResearch
Wiesbaden
Germany
DraganaAvramov
PopulationandSocialPolicyConsultants(PSPC)
Brussels
Belgium
IrenaE.Kotowska
WarsawSchoolofEconomics
Warsaw
Poland
ISBN:978-1-4020-6610-8 e-ISBN:978-1-4020-6611-5
LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2007938400
(cid:2)c 2008SpringerScience+BusinessMediaB.V.
Nopartofthisworkmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmitted
inanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,microfilming,recording
orotherwise,withoutwrittenpermissionfromthePublisher,withtheexception
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andexecutedonacomputersystem,forexclusiveusebythepurchaserofthework.
Printedonacid-freepaper.
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Acknowledgement
The two volumes of the work “People, Population Change and Policies: Lessons
from PopulationPolicy AcceptanceStudy” are the finaloutcome of the DIALOG
project.ThisprojectwasfundedbyEuropeanCommissionforthreeyearsinthe5th
FrameworkProgramme.
v
Contents
Part I Demographic Trends, Population Related Policies and General
Attitudes
1 DemographicChangeandFamilyPolicyRegimes.................. 3
OsmoKontulaandIsmoSöderling
2 Demographic Knowledge and Evaluation
ofDemographicTrends ......................................... 21
JürgenDorbritz
3 WhoShouldTakeCareforThem? ............................... 45
RalfMai,RobertNaderi,andPeterSchimany
4 ChangingAttitudesonPopulationTrendsandPolicies? ............ 65
JürgenDorbritz
PartII ComparativeDelphi-study
5 2030:AnotherEurope? ......................................... 93
RossellaPalombaandPieroDell’Anno
6 ActionProgramsofSocio-politicalActors.........................109
AlfredBertschinger
7 MakingDialogPossible .........................................131
AdeleMennitiandMauraMisiti
PartIII GenderRoles
8 Family-relatedGenderAttitudes.................................153
DimiterPhilipov
9 GenderandFertility............................................175
KerstinRuckdeschel
vii
viii Contents
PartIV IntergenerationalSolidarityandElderly
10 AttitudesTowardsPopulationAgeingandOlderPeople ............195
Ronald C. Schoenmaeckers,Marc Callens, Lieve Vanderleyden,
andLucieVidovi´cová
11 ActivatingOlderWorkers:PoliciesVersusOpinions
andExpectations...............................................221
JaninaJó´zwiak,IrenaE.Kotowska,andAnitaAbramowska
12 OnlyFoolsRushIn?............................................245
LucieVidovi´cová,BeatriceElenaManea,andLadislavRabuˇsic
PartV PolicyImplicationsandConclusions
13 The NeedtoAdaptandReformSocialPolicy:SettingtheStage
forEffectivePopulation-friendlyPolicies..........................267
DraganaAvramovandRobertCliquet
14 Conclusions ...................................................287
CharlotteHöhn
References.........................................................325
Index .............................................................335
Annex:CD-Rom
Contributors
AnitaAbramowska
Institute of Statistics and Demography, Warsaw School of Economics, Poland
[email protected]
DraganaAvramov
PopulationandSocialPolicyConsultants(PSPC),Brussels,Belgium
[email protected]
AlfredBertschinger
SociologicalInstituteoftheUniversityofZurich,Zurich,Switzerland
[email protected]
MarcCallens
ResearchCentreoftheFlemishGovernment(SVR),Brussels,Belgium
[email protected]
RobertCliquet
PopulationandSocialPolicyConsultants(PSPC),Brussels,Belgium
[email protected]
PieroDell’Anno
Istituto di ricerche sulla Popolazione e le Politiche Sociali, Consiglio Nazionale
delleRicerche,Rome,Italy
JürgenDorbritz
FederalInstituteforPopulationResearch,Wiesbaden,Germany
[email protected]
CharlotteHöhn
FederalInstituteforPopulationResearch,Wiesbaden,Germany
[email protected]
ix
x Contributors
JaninaJó´zwiak
InstituteofStatisticsandDemography,WarsawSchoolofEconomics,
Warsaw,Poland
[email protected]
OsmoKontula
ThePopulationResearchInstitute,FamilyFederationofFinland,Helsinki,Finland
osmo.kontula@vaestoliitto.fi
IrenaE.Kotowska
InstituteofStatisticsandDemography,WarsawSchoolofEconomics,
Warsaw,Poland
[email protected]
RalfMai
FederalInstituteforPopulationResearch,Wiesbaden,Germany
[email protected]
BeatriceElenaManea
FacultyofSocialStudies,MasarykUniversity,Brno,CzechRepublic
[email protected]
AdeleMenniti
Istituto di ricerche sulla Popolazione e le Politiche Sociali, Consiglio Nazionale
delleRicerche,Rome,Italy
[email protected]
MauraMisiti
Istituto di ricerche sulla Popolazione e le Politiche Sociali, Consiglio Nazionale
delleRicerche,Rome,Italy
[email protected]
RobertNaderi
FederalInstituteforPopulationResearch,Wiesbaden,Germany
[email protected]
RossellaPalomba
Istituto di ricerche sulla Popolazione e le Politiche Sociali, Consiglio Nazionale
delleRicerche,Rome,Italy
[email protected]
DimiterPhilipovÖsterreichischeAkademiederWissenschaften–Institutfür
Demographie,Vienna,Austria
[email protected]
Contributors xi
LadislavRabuˇsic
FacultyofSocialStudies,MasarykUniversity,Brno,CzechRepublic
[email protected]
KerstinRuckdeschel
FederalInstituteforPopulationResearch,Wiesbaden,Germany
[email protected]
PeterSchimany
FederalOfficeforMigrationandRefugees,Nuremberg,Germany
[email protected]
RonaldC.Schoenmaeckers
StudiedienstVlaamseRegering,Brussels,Belgium
[email protected]
IsmoSöderling
ThePopulationResearchInstitute,FamilyFederationofFinland,Helsinki,Finland
ismo.soderling@vaestoliitto.fi
LieveVanderleyden
StudiedienstVlaamseRegering,Brussels,Belgium
[email protected]
LucieVidovi´cová
FacultyofSocialStudies,MasarykUniversity,Brno,CzechRepublic
[email protected]
Description:This two-volume work presents social cohesion and demographic challenges that are associated with low birth rates and population ageing. It does so from the perspective of citizens and key policy actors. The work analyses peoples’ attitudes about demographic trends and expectations towards private