Pastoral Community Development Project

123 Pages·2016·3.18 MB·English

by  Cheryl Marie Toksoz

ETHIOPIA
Pastoral Community Development
Project:
Phases I and II
Report No. 104210-ET
MARCH 30, 2016
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Report No. 104210-ET

PROJECT PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT REPORT

FEDERAL DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF ETHIOPIA

PASTORAL COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT PROJECT PHASE I
(COFN-04500, IDAH0380, TF- 52888)

PASTORAL COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT PROJECT PHASE II
(COFN-C1210, COFN-C1220, IDA-44580, IDA-H3950)

March 30, 2016
IEG Sustainable Development
Independent Evaluation Group
ii
Currency Equivalent
Currency Unit = Ethiopian Birr
USD 1.00 = Br 19 (Jan 2014)

2003 US$1.00 Br 8.55000032
2004 US$1.00 Br 8.69365037
2005 US$1.00 Br 8.72360031
2006 US$1.00 Br 8.79835034
2007 US$1.00 Br 9.20000018
2008 US$1.00 Br 9.92499975

Abbreviations and Acronyms

APL Adaptable program loan
CAP Community action plan
CAS Country assistance strategy
CDD Community-driven development
CIF Community Investment Fund
DPCF Disaster Preparedness and Contingency Fund
DPCP Disaster Preparedness and Contingency Plan
DPSIP Disaster Preparedness Strategic Investment Plan
EWR Early warning and response
EWRB Early warning and response bureau
EWRD Early warning and response desk
EWS Early warning system
FAO Food and Agriculture Organization
FPCU Federal Project Coordination Unit
GDP Gross domestic product
GNI Gross national income
GTP Growth and Transformation Plan
HDI Human Development Index
HICE Household, Income, Consumption, and Expenditure (survey)
ICR Implementation Completion and Results Report
IDA International Development Association
IEG Independent Evaluation Group
IFAD International Fund for Agricultural Development
IGA Income-generating activities
M&E Monitoring and evaluation
MoA Ministry of Agriculture
MoFA Ministry of Federal Affairs
MST Mobile support team
MTR Mid-term review
NGO Nongovernmental organization
PAD Project appraisal document
PASDEP Plan for Accelerated and Sustained Development Program
PCDP I Pastoral Community Development Project – Phase I
PCDP II Pastoral Community Development Project – Phase II
PDO Project development objective
PMU Project management unit
iii

PPAR Project Performance Assessment Report
RUSACCO Rural savings and credit cooperative
SNNPR Southern Nations, Nationalities and People's Region
WDC Woreda Development Committee

Glossary
Woreda District
Kebele A local community consisting of one or more villages

Fiscal Year
Government: July 8–July 7

Director-General, Independent Evaluation : Ms. Caroline Heider
Director, IEG Financial, Private Sector & Sustainable Development : Mr. Marvin Taylor-Dormond
Manager, IEG Sustainable Development (IEGSD) : Ms. Midori Makino
Task Manager, IEGSD : Ms. Lauren Kelly

v

Contents
Principal Ratings ............................................................................................................... vii
Key Staff Responsible...................................................................................................... viii
Preface................................................................................................................................. x
Executive Summary ........................................................................................................... xi
1. Background and Context................................................................................................. 1
2. The Pastoral Community Development Program ........................................................... 5
Beneficiaries and Targeting ............................................................................................ 6
Financing......................................................................................................................... 6
Implementation Arrangements........................................................................................ 7
3. Pastoral Community Development Project – Phase I ..................................................... 8
Relevance of Project Objectives ..................................................................................... 9
Relevance of Project Design ......................................................................................... 10
Implementation ............................................................................................................. 11
Achievement of Objectives ........................................................................................... 14
Objective (1): Establish effective models of public service delivery and investment .. 17
Objective (2): Establish effective models of disaster management in pastoral areas. .. 22
Efficiency ...................................................................................................................... 24
Outcome ........................................................................................................................ 25
Risk to Development Outcome ..................................................................................... 25
Bank Performance ......................................................................................................... 26
Borrower Performance .................................................................................................. 27
4. Pastoral Community Development Project – Phase II .................................................. 28
Relevance of Project Objectives ................................................................................... 28
Relevance of Project Design ......................................................................................... 28
Implementation ............................................................................................................. 31
Objective (1): Improve the livelihoods of beneficiary communities ............................ 34
Objective (2): Increase the pastoralist communities’ resilience to external shocks ..... 41
Efficiency ...................................................................................................................... 44
Outcome ........................................................................................................................ 45
Risk to Development Outcomes ................................................................................... 46
Bank Performance ......................................................................................................... 48
This report was report was prepared by Lauren Kelly, Task Team Leader, Kendra White and Inder Sud,
Consultants, IEG. It was peer and panel reviewed, respectively, by Marjory-Anne-Bromhead and Judy
Twigg, Consultants, IEG. Marie Charles and Vibhuti Narang Khanna provided administrative support.
vi

Borrower Performance .................................................................................................. 48
5. Lessons .......................................................................................................................... 49
Bibliography ..................................................................................................................... 51
Annex A: Basic Data Sheet for Ethiopia Pastoral Community Development Project Phase
I ......................................................................................................................................... 53
Annex B: Basic Data Sheet for the Ethiopia Pastoral Community Development Project
Phase II.............................................................................................................................. 56
Annex C: Survey Data Sources on Income, Poverty, and Welfare in Ethiopia ................ 59
Annex D: Methodology for the PPAR Fieldwork: Unit of Analysis, Sampling Frame,
Scope, and Tools ............................................................................................................... 63
Annex E: Semi-Structured Interview Tool ....................................................................... 66
Annex F: IEG Findings from Community Investment Fund Site Visits .......................... 71
Annex G: List of Persons Met .......................................................................................... 94
Annex H: Borrower Comments ........................................................................................ 97

Boxes
Box 1.1: Applying Livelihoods Analysis to Understand the Characteristics of Pastoral
Communities ....................................................................................................................... 4
Box 2.1. The Pastoral Community Development Program ................................................ 6
Box 3.1. Assessment of Income-Generating Activities Financed During Phase I of
the PCDP.......................................................................................................................... 21

Tables
Table 1.1. Select Human Development Indicators ............................................................. 2
Table 2.1. Project Costs by Component.............................................................................. 7
Table 3.1. Total Beneficiaries, 2003–08 ........................................................................... 18
Table 3.2. Status of Subprojects by Region at Project Closing (2003–08) ....................... 19
Table 3.3. Major IGA Activities under the CIF ................................................................ 20
Table 3.4. Status of Subprojects under the DPCF at Project Completion (2003–08) ....... 22
Table 4.1. Sequencing of Project Activities across the Three Phases .............................. 29
Table 4.2. Types of Rural Non-Farm Activities Engaged in by Loan Beneficiaries ........ 40
Table 4.3. Achievement of PDO Indicators Relating to Imroved Resilience ................... 41
Table 4.4. Construction of Cost Comparision .................................................................. 45

Figures
Figure 4.1. Amount of Capital Mobilized from Saving and Paid Capital by Region ....... 38
Figure 4.2. Cooperative Members Who Have Active Saving Account (N=29,527
members)........................................................................................................................... 39
vii

Principal Ratings
Ethiopia Pastoral Community Development Project, Phase I
(COFN-04500, IDAH0380, TF- 52888)

PCDP I ICR* ICR Review* PPAR
Outcome Moderately Moderately Moderately
satisfactory unsatisfactory unsatisfactory
Risk to development Moderate Significant Significant
outcome
Bank performance Moderately Unsatisfactory Moderately
unsatisfactory unsatisfactory
Borrower performance Moderately Unsatisfactory Moderately
unsatisfactory unsatisfactory
* The Implementation Completion Report (ICR) is a self-evaluation by the responsible Bank department. The ICR
Review is an intermediate IEGWB product that seeks to independently verify the findings of the ICR.

Ethiopia Pastoral Community Development Project, Phase II
(COFN-C1210, COFN-C1220, IDA-44580, IDA-H3950)

PCDP II ICR* ICR Review* PPAR
Outcome Moderately Moderately Moderately
satisfactory satisfactory satisfactory
Risk to development Significant Significant Significant
outcome
Bank performance Moderately Moderately Moderately
satisfactory satisfactory satisfactory
Borrower performance Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory
satisfactory
* The Implementation Completion Report (ICR) is a self-evaluation by the responsible Bank department. The ICR
Review is an intermediate IEGWB product that seeks to independently verify the findings of the ICR.
viii

Key Staff Responsible
Ethiopia Pastoral Community Development Project, Phase I
(COFN-04500, IDAH0380, TF- 52888)

Project Division Chief/
Task Manager/Leader Country Director
PCDP I Sector Director
Appraisal Daniel M. Sellen Karen Brooks Ishac Diwan
Completion Assaye Legesse Karen Mcconnell Brooks Kenichi Ohashi

Ethiopia Pastoral Community Development Project, Phase II
(COFN-C1210, COFN-C1220, IDA-44580, IDA-H3950)

Project Division Chief/
Task Manager/Leader Country Director
PCDP II Sector Director
Appraisal Ingo Wiederhofer Karen Mcconnell Brooks Kenichi Ohashi
Completion Assaye Legesse Tijan M. Sallah/Juergen Guang Zhe Chen
Voegele