Nuclear power's Global Expansion: Weighing Its Costs and Risks

665 Pages·2010·15.9 MB·English

by  Henry Sokolski Editor

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Henry Sokolski
Editor
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NUCLEAR POWER’S GLOBAL EXPANSION:
WEIGHING ITS COSTS AND RISKS
Henry Sokolski
Editor
December 2010
The views expressed in this report are those of the authors and
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ISBN 1-58487-478-3
ii
CONTENTS
Foreword……………….........................................…vii
Overview……………….........................................…..1
1. Nuclear Power, Energy Markets,
and Proliferation.....................................................3
Henry Sokolski
Part I: Nuclear Power’s Economic,
Environmental, and Political Prospects …........... 51
2. Mapping Nuclear Power’s Future Spread........53
Sharon Squassoni
3. Nuclear Power: Climate Fix or Folly?................93
Amory B. Lovins, Imran Sheikh,
Alex Markevich
4. The Credit Crunch and
Nuclear Power ……………………................... 125
Stephen Thomas
5. Taxpayer Financing for Nuclear Power:
Precedents and Consequences…..................... 149
Peter A. Bradford
Part II: Expanding Nuclear Power in Existing
and to Future Nuclear States ................................187
iii
6. Nuclear Power Made in France:
A Model? …………………………………........ 189
Mycle Schneider
7. What Will Be Required of the British
Government to Build the Next Nuclear
Power Plant?” ………………………………… 279
Stephen Thomas
8. A Case Study of Subsidies to
Calvert Cliffs ………………………………..… 335
Doug Koplow
9. Nuclear Power in Saudi Arabia, Egypt,
and Turkey: How Cost Effective? ................... 383
Peter Tynan and John Stephenson
10. Civilian Nuclear Power in the Middle East:
The Technical Requirements ……………...… 423
James M. Acton and Wyn Q. Bowen
Part III: Making and Disposing
of Nuclear Fuel ……………................................... 477
11. Nuclear Fuel: Myths and
Realities ………………………………...........…479
Steve Kidd
12. The Costs and Benefits of Reprocessing …….525
Frank Von Hippel
iv
Part IV: Using Market Economics
to Price Nuclear Power and Its Risks …..............553
13. Third Party Insurance: The Nuclear Sector’s
‘Silent’ Subsidy in Europe …............................ 555
Antony Froggatt and Simon Carroll
14. Market-Based Nuclear
Nonproliferation …............................................627
Henry Sokolski
About the Contributors ...........................................641
v

FOREWORD
This volume consists of research that the Nonpro-
liferation Policy Education Center (NPEC) commis-
sioned in 2007 and 2008. The work was critiqued at
a set of international conferences held in 2009 at the
offices of the Carnegie Corporation of New York in
New York City; at Chatham House in London, Eng-
land; at the headquarters of Radio Liberty Europe
in Prague, the Czech Republic; and at the Carnegie
Endowment for International Peace in Washington,
DC. Anthony Froggatt, Stephen Del Rosso, Carl Ro-
bichaud, Jeffrey Gedmin, and George Perkovich gen-
erously served as co-hosts for these events. Funding
for the project came from the Carnegie Corporation of
New York, Ploughshares Fund, and other charitable
foundations. NPEC’s project manager, Tamara Mitch-
ell, and research intern, Kristen M. Gehringer, and the
staff of the U.S. Army War College’s Strategic Studies
Institute (SSI) helped prepare the book manuscript;
without their help, the book would not have been pos-
sible. Finally, heartfelt thanks are due to the project’s
authors and participants who contributed their time
and ideas.

HENRY SOKOLSKI
Executive Director
The Nonproliferation Policy
Education Center
vii

OVERVIEW
1