Newton Abbot

16 Pages·2015·2.11 MB·English

by  Rebecca Morgan

Newton Abbot Locality
Development
Newton Abbot Locality
Resident population (2013)
50,500
(population that live in the area)
Registered population (2015)
52,300
(population that are registered to a GP)
Source: Resident population estimates based on 2013 LSOA population estimates, ONS. Registered population estimates derived from practice lists Aug 2015
Registered Population Projections
Estimated registered population Change in estimated registered population
2015 2020 2025 2030 2015 to 2020 2015 to 2025 2015 to 2030
0 to 14 8,254 8,682 8,852 8,853 5.2% 7.2% 7.3%
15 to 29 8,938 8,492 8,393 8,660 -5.0% -6.1% -3.1%
30 to 44 8,578 8,651 9,071 9,229 0.8% 5.7% 7.6%
45 to 64 14,590 14,576 14,099 13,488 -0.1% -3.4% -7.6%
65 to 84 10,084 11,088 11,965 12,967 10.0% 18.7% 28.6%
85+ 1,835 2,054 2,457 3,081 11.9% 33.9% 67.9%
Total 52,279 53,542 54,837 56,277 2.4% 4.9% 7.6%
Source: local registered population modelled against Sub National Population Projections (ONS)
Registered Population Projections
Population pyramid for Newton Abbot Locality compared
to England average, 2020
85+
80 to 84
75 to 79
70 to 74
65 to 69
South
60 to 64 Average age Newton
55 to 59 Devon and England
(Years) Abbot
50 to 54
Torbay
45 to 49
40 to 44 2015 43.8 45.3 40.3
35 to 39
30 to 34 2020 44.4 46.0 41.0
25 to 29
20 to 24
2025 45.0 46.9 41.7
15 to 19
10 to 14
2030 45.7 47.6 42.4
5 to 9
0 to 4
5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5%
England average
Source: local registered population modelled against Sub National Population Projections (ONS)
2015 Index of Multiple Deprivation
Most deprived area is in Newton Abbot
Part of Buckland and Milber
Electoral Ward
Least deprived area is in Ogwell
Part of Ambrook Electoral Ward
Newton Abbot Resident Profile
Least vs Most Deprived Areas
Most deprived small
Least deprived small
Measure area (Buckland and
area (Ambrook)
Milber)
Life expectancy at birth (2011-2013) 94.8yrs 79.0yrs
Life expectancy at 65 (2011-2013) 31.0yrs 18.7yrs
Population under 16 (2013) 19.2% 22.6%
Population 85 and over (2013) 2.4% 2.2%
Index of Multiple Deprivation score (2015) 4.5 36.0
% income deprived (2015) 5.3% 28.1%
% employment deprived (2015) 5.1% 20.1%
Jobseekers Allowance Claimant rate (2011-2013) 1.6% 4.0%
Emergency admission rate per 10,000
720 1,194
(2011/12-2013/14)
General fertility rate per 1,000 (2009-2012) 51.3 62.8
Source: 2015 English Indices of multiple deprivation, Births data, ONS. PCMD, SUS, HSCIC.
Newton Abbot Resident Population Profile
Least vs Most Deprived Areas, 2013
Source: 2015 English Indices of Multiple Deprivation, 2013 Population estimates, ONS.
Newton Abbot – Least Deprived Small Area
Source: 2015 English Indices of Multiple Deprivation, ONS.
Newton Abbot – Most Deprived Small Area
Source: 2015 English Indices of Multiple Deprivation, ONS.
Estimated Burden of Disease
Estimated burden of disease

2015 to 2020 2015 to 2025
Number of patients with disease; known or not known to 2015 2020 2025
change change
primary care

Coronary heart disease 3,001 3,308 3,617 10.2% 20.5%
Chronic kidney disease 4,772 5,243 5,807 9.9% 21.7%
People aged 65 and over predicted to have:
Type 1 or Type 2 diabetes 1,481 1,632 1,785 10.2% 20.5%
A longstanding health condition caused by a stroke 275 308 345 12.0% 25.7%
Dementia 877 988 1,169 12.7% 33.4%
Depression 1,027 1,128 1,240 9.8% 20.7%
Severe depression 327 361 410 10.2% 25.3%
A longstanding health condition caused by
201 222 245 10.7% 21.9%
bronchitis and emphysema
A moderate or severe visual impairment 1,044 1,173 1,344 12.3% 28.7%
A moderate or severe, or profound, hearing
3,587 4,068 4,699 13.4% 31.0%
impairment
Source: Registered populations applied to: CHD, London Health Observatory. CKD prevalence, Public Health England. People aged 65 and over, POPPI