Table Of ContentMultiple Criteria Analysis
in Strategic Siting Problems
Multiple Criteria Analysis
in Strategic Siting Problems
by
Oleg I. Larichev
RussianAcademyofSciences, Moscow, Russia
and
David L. Olson
Texas A&MUniversity, Texas, USA
,
•
Springer-Science+Business Media, B.V
ISBN 978-1-4419-4899-1 ISBN 978-1-4757-3245-0 (eBook)
DOI 10.1007/978-1-4757-3245-0
.
~
• ~ Electronic Services <http://www.wkap.nl>
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
A C.I.P. Catalogue record for this book is available from the Library of Congress.
Copyright © 2001 by Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
Originally published by Kluwer Academic Publishers in 2001 .
Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2001
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval
system or transmitted in any form or by any means, mechanical, photo-copying, recording,
or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher,
Springer-Science+Business Media, B.Y.
Printed on acidjree paper.
Table of Contents
1INTRODUCTION 1
FacilityLocation Problems 1
zo"
SpecificFeatures of CenturyLocation Problems 3
The Goaland Organization of theBook 5
2 METHODSAND DECISIONPROCESSES: DESCRIPTIVE
AND NORMATIVE 15
TheDescriptive Studies 15
SampleProblem 21
SitingProjectAnalysis 24
Cost-Benefit Analysis 25
Multiattribute UtilityTheory 27
Analytic Hierarchy Process 32
Outranking Method 40
Verbal Decision Analysis 46
Summary 52
3 HIGHLEVELWASTE REPOSITORY SELECTION 55
MultiattributeUtilityAnalysis 56
Objective Development 57
RiskScenarios 60
Performance Measures 60
Multiattribute UtilityFunction 62
Utility Analysis Results 64
SensitivityAnalysis 66
StudyReviews 68
Results 68
4ANALYSISOF ALTERNATIVEMETHODS TO DISPOSEOF
PLUTONIUM 73
PhaseIStudy 74
Phase II Study 78
Measures andUtilities 81
Multiple Attributes, MultipleParties 88
Multiattribute Utility Analysis 89
Monte Carlo Simulation 90
ReactorOptions 91
Vitrification Options 93
Borehole Options 94
Insights fromSensitivityAnalysis Methods 94
Conclusions 95
5 PROJECTSELECTION AND CONTROL 99
Petroleum Pipeline Project Analysis 99
Multiple Attributes, MultipleParties 100
Water Resource Planning 101
ChaliyarRiver BasinPlanning 103
MultipleAttributes, MultipleParties 104
Hierarchy 105
SubjectivePairwiseComparisons 106
Summary 108
6 SOLID WASTE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM SELECTION 111
Uusimaa Region Study 112
Criteria Development 112
Weights 113
Measures 114
Multiple Attributes, Multiple Actors 116
ELECTRE IIRanking 117
Sensitivity 123
Oulu Region Study 123
Objectives 125
Measures 126
Multiple Attributes,MultipleActors 127
Weights andParameters 129
ELECTRE Ranking 129
Sensitivity Analysis 131
Post-Study Success 131
Kirkkonummi Study 131
Generation ofAlternatives 132
CriteriaSelection 133
Multiple Attributes,MultipleActors 133
AlternativeMeasuresonCriteria 133
Multicriteria Analysis 134
Conclusions 136
7 PIPELINE LOCATION DECISIONS 141
Case 1: Pipeline Route Selectioninthe Southern SovietUnion
143
Decision Problem 143
Alternatives 144
Conventional Practice 145
Special Permissions 148
Evaluation ofAlternativesOverCriteria 148
Overall Analysis 151
Multiple Attributes, MultipleActors 151
The Choice Process 153
Creation ofaNew VersionandFinalChoice 153
Case 2: Gas Pipeline RouteSelectionin Northern Siberia 154
Alternatives 155
Criteria 155
Evaluation ofAlternativesbyCriteria 157
Multiple Attributes,MultipleActors 159
The Choice Process 161
Development ofaNewOption 163
Case 3: Oil Pipeline Route SelectioninAlaska, U.S. 165
The Alternatives 166
Multiple Attributes, MultipleActors 167
Criteria and Evaluation 167
The Choice Process 169
Summary 170
8 PROBLEMS AND TOOLS 173
SpecificFeatures of Multicriteria Location Selection as Decision
Problems 174
TheDifferent ParadigmsinDecisionMaking 175
Comparisonof MethodsinLaboratoryExperiments 176
Comparisonon PracticalTasks 181
MAUT andOutrankingApproaches 182
Comparison ofMAUTandVDA 183
Institutional Criteria 187
Personal Criteria 188
CommonStagefor All Approaches:Systems Analysis 189
ProponentsandOpponents 190
MAUT 190
AHP 191
Outranking Methods 192
VDA 193
PrimaryRequirements ofaNormativeMethod 193
Completeness ofRelationsoverAlternatives 194
Transitivity andSensitivityto Human Error 194
Conclusion 196
9SUPPORTTO THE MULTIATTRIBUTE DECISION PROCESS
201
TheMixture of IndividualandCollective Choice in Multicriteria
Location Decisions 202
TheRoleof Expertsin SitingDecisions 205
Generating ImprovedAlternatives 206
ExistingMultiattribute Toolsfor Choices 207
TechnicalSupport Availablefor Location Decisions 208
Summary 208
AUTHOR INDEX 211
SUBJECT INDEX 215
Multiple Criteria Analysis in StrategicSitingProblems
1
INTRODUCTION
Facility Location Problems
The location problem has been with humans forall oftheir history. In the
past, many rulers had the decision of locating their capital. Reasons for
selecting various locations included central location,transportation benefits
to foster trade, and defensibility. The development of industry involved
location problems for production facilities and trade outlets. Obvious
criteria for location ofbusiness facilities includedprofit impact. In the 19th
century, there seemed to be a focus onthe costoftransportingraw materials
versus the cost of transporting goods to consumers. Location decisions
were made considering all potential gains and expenses. Some judgment
was required, because while most benefits and costs could be measured
accurately, not all could be. Successful businesspractice depended on the
soundjudgment ofthe decision-maker insolvinglocationproblems.
Each ofthese enterprises produced some wastes. Finding a location to
dispose ofthese wastes was not a difficult task. In less-enlightened times,
governmentsresorted to fiat and land-condemnationto takethesites needed
for disposal. In the 19th century, industry grewrapidlyin Great Britain and
elsewhere as mass production served expandingpopulations ofconsumers.
The by-products of mass-production were often simply discarded in the
most expeditious manner. There are still mountains in the United States
