Table Of ContentMonetary Policy with
fl
Very Low In ation
in the Pacific Rim
NBER–East Asia Seminar on Economics
Volume 15
Monetary Policy with
fl
Very Low In ation
in the Pacific Rim
Takatoshi Ito and
Edited by
Andrew K. Rose
The University of Chicago Press
Chicago and London
T Iis professor of economics at the Research Center
for Advanced Science and Technology, University of Tokyo, and a
research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research.
A K. Ris the Bernard T. Rocca Jr. Professor of
International Trade at the Haas School of Business, University of
California, Berkeley, the director of its Clausen Center for
International Business and Policy, and a research associate of the
National Bureau of Economic Research.
The University of Chicago Press, Chicago 60637
The University of Chicago Press, Ltd., London
© 2006 by the National Bureau of Economic Research
All rights reserved. Published 2006
Printed in the United States of America
15 14 13 12 11 10 09 08 07 06 1 2 3 4 5
ISBN-10: 0-226-37897-7 (cloth)
ISBN-13: 978-0-226-37897-8 (cloth)
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Monetary policy with very low inflation in the Pacific Rim / edited by
Takatoshi Ito and Andrew K. Rose.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 0-226-37897-7 (alk. paper)
1. Monetary policy—Pacific Area. 2. Inflation (Finance)—Pacific
Area. I. Ito, Takatoshi, 1950– II. Rose, Andrew, 1959–
HG1480.7.M662 2006
339.5′3091823—dc22
2005054661
oThe paper used in this publication meets the minimum requirements of
the American National Standard for Information Sciences—Permanence
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Contents
Acknowledgments ix
Introduction 1
Takatoshi Ito and Andrew K. Rose
I. MP S
1. A Monetary Policy Rule for Automatic
Preventionofa Liquidity Trap 9
Bennett T. McCallum
Comment:James Harrigan
2. Monetary Policy, Asset-price Bubbles, and
the ZeroLower Bound 43
Tim Robinson and Andrew Stone
Comment:Piti Disyatat
Comment:Kenneth Kuttner
3. Money Growth and Interest Rates 91
Seok-Kyun Hur
Comment:R. Anton Braun
Comment:Yuzo Honda
II. T JE
4. Two Decades of Japanese Monetary Policy
and theDeflation Problem 131
Takatoshi Ito and Frederic S. Mishkin
Comment:Kenneth Kuttner
Comment:Kazuo Ueda
vii
viii Contents
5. Financial Strains and the Zero Lower Bound:
TheJapanese Experience 203
Mitsuhiro Fukao
Comment:Piti Disyatat
Comment:James Harrigan
6. Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Liquidity Trap:
TheJapanese Experience 1999–2004 233
Mitsuru Iwamura, Takeshi Kudo, and
Tsutomu Watanabe
Comment:Fumio Hayashi
7. Fiscal Remedies for Japan’s Slump 279
Laurence Ball
Comment:Mitsuru Iwamura
III. CS
8. Stock Market Liquidity and the Macroeconomy:
Evidence from Japan 309
Woon Gyu Choi and David Cook
Comment:Shin-ichi Fukuda
Comment:Makoto Saito
9. Interest Rate, Inflation, and Housing Price:
WithanEmphasis on ChonseiPrice in Korea 341
Dongchul Cho
Comment:Toshiki Jinushi
Comment:Mario B. Lamberte
10. Deflation and Monetary Policy in Taiwan 371
Ya-Hwei Yang and Jia-Dong Shea
Comment:Toshiki Jinushi
Comment:Shigenori Shiratsuka
Contributors 405
Author Index 409
Subject Index 413
Acknowledgments
The East Asia Seminar on Economics (EASE) is co-organized by the Na-
tional Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) in Cambridge, MA; the Pro-
ductivity Commission of Australia; the Hong Kong University of Science
and Technology; the Korea Development Institute in Seoul; the Chung-
Hua Institution for Economic Research in Taipei; and the Tokyo Center for
Economic Research. We thank all our co-organizers.
The local sponsor was the Tokyo Center for Economic Research
(TCER), and we also gratefully acknowledge support from Academy Hills
for a wonderful meeting facility, and the Center for Global Partnership
(CGP), which is part of the Japan Foundation, for generous financial sup-
port. All Nippon Airways (ANA) also provided partial support for the
NBER economists for their travel to Japan.
The NBER helped us organize the program and prepare manuscript into
publication. Brett Maranjian and Helena Fitz-Patrick have been quite effi-
cient in their respective work at the NBER. Chieko Ishizaka and Naoko
Tamiya provided executive assistant services in hosting the conference in
Tokyo. We are thankful for their efforts.
ix
