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About Modeling Sustainable Earnings and PE Ratios With FSA
This paper develops a model to assess the sustainability of reported earnings using financial statement information. The model identifies unsustainable earnings by exploiting relationships between earnings and other financial statement numbers required by accounting rules. Earnings that are not sustainable leave a trail in the accounts. The paper also builds a price-earnings ratio model that incorporates the sustainability measure, recognizing investors value future rather than current earnings. Empirical tests show the model reliably identifies unsustainable earnings and explains differences in price-earnings ratios across companies. Deviations between actual and model-predicted price-earnings ratios also predict future stock returns.
Detailed Information
Author: | ['mrscuttlebutt'] |
---|---|
Publication Year: | 2011 |
Pages: | 57 |
Language: | English |
Format: | |
Price: | FREE |
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