Table Of ContentContributions to Economics
Lucía Martínez Ordóñez
Military
Operational
Planning and
Strategic Moves
Contributions to Economics
Moreinformationaboutthisseriesathttp://www.springer.com/series/1262
Q
Lucía Martínez Ordónez
Military Operational
Planning and Strategic
Moves
123
LucíaMartínezOrdónQez
FacultyofEconomics
RuhrUniversityBochum
Bochum,Germany
ISSN1431-1933 ISSN2197-7178 (electronic)
ContributionstoEconomics
ISBN978-3-319-56107-3 ISBN978-3-319-56108-0 (eBook)
DOI10.1007/978-3-319-56108-0
LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2017940402
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To thememoryof mydearestfriend,
Ilka Reichel,who Iknowwouldhavebeen
veryhappyto celebratethefinalizationof
thisworkwithme.
Contents
1 Introduction ................................................................... 1
2 GameTheoryandtheDecision-MakingProcess
inMilitaryAffairs............................................................. 3
2.1 GameTheory:ATheoryofInterdependentDecision.................. 3
2.2 SomeCommentsonUsingGameTheorytoModelTactics........... 5
3 StrategiesandTactics......................................................... 11
3.1 ABriefHistoryofMilitaryThought.................................... 11
3.2 DoctrineandtheOrganizationalLevelsofConflicts................... 16
3.3 SomeWarStrategies..................................................... 17
3.4 Network-CentricWarfare................................................ 19
4 ConflictsasZero-SumGames ............................................... 25
4.1 AsymmetricConflicts.................................................... 25
4.2 Zero-SumGames......................................................... 29
4.3 Max-Min Strategies and Mixed Strategies Equilibrium
withOrdinalPayoffs..................................................... 32
5 TheAdvantageofMovingFirstVersusaFirst-MoverAdvantage...... 37
5.1 Anti-Access/AreaDenial(A2/AD)...................................... 38
5.2 Mining.................................................................... 40
5.3 A2/ADandtheChinaSeas:AWiderPerspective...................... 43
6 IrregularWarfare............................................................. 49
6.1 AspectsofIrregularWarfare ............................................ 50
6.2 Defining Irregular Warfare? Some Comments
onObjectivesinIrregularWarfare ...................................... 55
6.3 DesigningOperationsinCounterinsurgencyWarfare.................. 56
vii
viii Contents
7 Modelling Specific Aspects of COIN Operations:
OnthePossibilityofaFirstMoverAdvantage............................ 59
7.1 “TheSurge”VersusaSurge............................................. 59
7.1.1 “TheSurge”...................................................... 63
7.1.2 TheModel........................................................ 64
7.2 “ClearHoldandBuild”vs“SearchandDestroy”...................... 66
7.2.1 TheModel........................................................ 68
7.3 “Clear,HoldandBuild”and“TheSurge”.............................. 71
7.4 Surge:AnEnemy-CentricApproach.................................... 72
7.4.1 SimultaneousGame ............................................. 74
7.5 Conclusions .............................................................. 78
8 TheWarAgainsttheTaliban:TacticalOperations
andStrategicMoves .......................................................... 81
8.1 Introduction .............................................................. 81
8.2 ScenariosandEvaluation................................................ 83
8.3 SolvingtheSimultaneousGame ........................................ 85
8.4 RealityCheck ............................................................ 87
8.5 AWiderView:StrategicMoves?........................................ 88
8.6 ConcludingRemarks..................................................... 89
9 LessonsLearned .............................................................. 91
Acknowledgements................................................................ 93
References.......................................................................... 95
List of Abbreviations
A2/AD Anti-Access/AreaDenial
AQI Al-QaedaIraq
BCA BudgetControlAct
CAS CloseAirSupport
CHB Clear,HoldandBuild
COIN Counterinsurgency
DoD DepartmentofDefense
EDA EuropeanDefenceAgency
EU EuropeanUnion
FAC ForwardAirController
FM3-24 FieldManual3-24:Counterinsurgency
FOB ForwardOperatingBases
GWS GuerrillaWarfareStrategy
IDA InstituteforDefenseAnalyses
IED ImprovisedExplosiveDevice
ISAF InternationalSecurityAssistanceForce
ISIS IslamicStateofIraqandAl-Sham
ISS InstituteforSecurityStudies
IW IrregularWarfare
JAM-GC JointConceptforAccessandManeuverintheGlobalCommons
JP3-24 JointPublication3-24:CounterinsurgencyOperations
JTAC JointTerminalAirController
NATO NorthAtlanticTreatyOrganization
NCW Network-CentricWarfare
OCO OverseasContingencyOperations
OFT OfficeofForceTransformation
OOTW OperationsOtherThanWar
PSC PrivateSecurityContractors
RRC RaisingRivals’Costs
S&D SearchandDestroy
SACEUR SupremeAlliedCommanderEurope
ix
x ListofAbbreviations
UCDP UppsalaConflictDataProgram
WWI FirstWorldWar
WWII SecondWorldWar
