Measuring and Sustaining the New Economy, Software, Growth, and the Future of the U.S Economy: Report of a Symposium

226 Pages·2006·0.73 MB·English

by  Growth, and the Future of the U.S Economy Committee on Software, Committee on Measuring and Sustaini

MEASURING AND SUSTAINING THE NEW ECONOMY
SOFTWARE,GROWTH, AND
THE FUTURE OF THE
U.S. ECONOMY
Report of a Symposium
DALE W. JORGENSON AND CHARLES W. WESSNER, EDITORS
Committee on Software, Growth, and the Future of the U.S. Economy
Committee on Measuring and Sustaining the New Economy
Board on Science, Technology, and Economic Policy
Policy and Global Affairs
THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS
Washington, D.C.
www.nap.edu
THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS 500 Fifth Street, N.W. Washington, DC 20001
NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing
Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of
the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Insti-
tute of Medicine. The members of the committee responsible for the report were chosen
for their special competences and with regard for appropriate balance.
This study was supported by: Contract/Grant No. CMRC-50SBNB9C1080 between the
National Academy of Sciences and the U.S. Department of Commerce; Contract/Grant
No. NASW-99037, Task Order 103, between the National Academy of Sciences and
the National Aeronautics and Space Administration; Contract/Grant No. CMRC-
SB134105C0038 between the National Academy of Sciences and the U.S. Department of
Commerce; OFED-13416 between the National Academy of Sciences and Sandia National
Laboratories; Contract/Grant No. N00014-00-G-0230, DO #23, between the National
Academy of Sciences and the Department of the Navy; Contract/Grant No. NSF-EIA-
0119063 between the National Academy of Sciences and the National Science Founda-
tion; and Contract/Grant No. DOE-DE-FG02-01ER30315 between the National Academy
of Sciences and the U.S. Department of Energy. Additional support was provided by Intel
Corporation. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this
publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the
organizations or agencies that provided support for the project.
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Limited copies are available from Board on Science, Technology, and Economic Policy,
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The National Academy of Engineering was established in 1964, under the charter of the
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autonomous in its administration and in the selection of its members, sharing with the
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ments of engineers. Dr. Wm. A. Wulf is president of the National Academy of Engineering.
The Institute of Medicine was established in 1970 by the National Academy of Sciences
to secure the services of eminent members of appropriate professions in the examination
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sibility given to the National Academy of Sciences by its congressional charter to be an
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Medicine.
The National Research Council was organized by the National Academy of Sciences in
1916 to associate the broad community of science and technology with the Academy’s
purposes of furthering knowledge and advising the federal government. Functioning in
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principal operating agency of both the National Academy of Sciences and the National
Academy of Engineering in providing services to the government, the public, and the
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emies and the Institute of Medicine. Dr. Ralph J. Cicerone and Dr. Wm. A. Wulf are chair
and vice chair, respectively, of the National Research Council.
www.national-academies.org
Committee on Software, Growth, and the
*
Future of the U.S. Economy
Dale W. Jorgenson, Chair William Raduchel
Samuel W. Morris University Professor
Harvard University Anthony E. Scott
Chief Information Technology Officer
Kenneth Flamm General Motors
Dean Rusk Chair in International Affairs
LBJ School of Public Affairs William J. Spencer
University of Texas at Austin Chairman Emeritus, retired
International SEMATECH
Jack Harding
Chairman, President, and CEO Hal R. Varian
eSilicon Corporation Class of 1944 Professor
School of Information Management
Monica S. Lam and Systems
Professor of Computer Science University of California at Berkeley
Stanford University
*As of February 2004.
v
Committee on Measuring and Sustaining the New Economy*
Dale Jorgenson, Chair William J. Spencer, Vice Chair
Samuel W. Morris University Professor Chairman Emeritus, retired
Harvard University International SEMATECH
M. Kathy Behrens David T. Morgenthaler
Managing Director of Medical Founding Partner
Technology Morgenthaler Ventures
Robertson Stephens Investment
Management Mark B. Myers
Visiting Executive Professor of
Kenneth Flamm Management
Dean Rusk Chair in International The Wharton School
Affairs University of Pennsylvania
LBJ School of Public Affairs
University of Texas at Austin Roger Noll
Morris M. Doyle
Bronwyn Hall Centennial Professor of Economics
Professor of Economics Stanford University
University of California at Berkeley
Edward E. Penhoet
James Heckman Chief Program Officer
Henry Schultz Distinguished Service Science and Higher Education
Professor of Economics Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation
University of Chicago
William Raduchel
Ralph Landau
Consulting Professor of Economics Alan Wm. Wolff
Stanford University Managing Partner
Dewey Ballantine
Richard Levin
President
Yale University
*As of February 2004.
vi
Project Staff*
Charles W. Wessner McAlister T. Clabaugh
Study Director Program Associate
Sujai J. Shivakumar David E. Dierksheide
Program Officer Program Associate
Ken Jacobson
Consultant
*As of February 2004.
vii
For the National Research Council (NRC), this project was overseen by the
Board on Science, Technology and Economic Policy (STEP), a standing board of
the NRC established by the National Academies of Sciences and Engineering and
the Institute of Medicine in 1991. The mandate of the STEP Board is to integrate
understanding of scientific, technological, and economic elements in the formu-
lation of national policies to promote the economic well-being of the United
States. A distinctive characteristic of STEP’s approach is its frequent interactions
with public- and private-sector decision makers. STEP bridges the disciplines of
business management, engineering, economics, and the social sciences to bring
diverse expertise to bear on pressing public policy questions. The members of
*
the STEP Board and the NRC staff are listed below:
Dale Jorgenson, Chair William J. Spencer, Vice Chair
Samuel W. Morris University Professor Chairman Emeritus, retired
Harvard University International SEMATECH
M. Kathy Behrens David T. Morgenthaler
Managing Director of Medical Founding Partner
Technology Morgenthaler
Robertson Stephens Investment
Management Mark B. Myers
Visiting Executive Professor of
Bronwyn Hall Management
Professor of Economics The Wharton School
University of California at Berkeley University of Pennsylvania
James Heckman Roger Noll
Henry Schultz Distinguished Service Morris M. Doyle
Professor of Economics Centennial Professor of Economics
University of Chicago Stanford University
Ralph Landau Edward E. Penhoet
Consulting Professor of Economics Chief Program Officer
Stanford University Science and Higher Education
Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation
Richard Levin
President William Raduchel
Yale University
Alan Wm. Wolff
Managing Partner
Dewey Ballantine
*As of February 2004.
viii
STEP Staff*
Stephen A. Merrill Charles W. Wessner
Executive Director Program Director
Russell Moy Sujai J. Shivakumar
Senior Program Officer Program Officer
Craig M. Schultz David E. Dierksheide
Research Associate Program Associate
McAlister T. Clabaugh
Program Associate
*As of February 2004.
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