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more information - www.cambridge.org/9781107035522 InfluencefromAbroad ForeignVoices,theMedia,andU.S.PublicOpinion InInfluencefromAbroad,DannyHayesandMattGuardinoshow thatUnitedStatespublicopinionaboutAmericanforeignpolicycan be shaped by foreign leaders and representatives of international organizations. By studying news coverage, elite debate, and public opinion prior to the Iraq War, the authors demonstrate that U.S. media outlets aired and published a significant amount of opposi- tiontotheinvasionfromofficialsourcesabroad,includingBritish, French, and United Nations representatives. In turn, these foreign voices–towhichmillionsofAmericanswereexposed–drovemany Democratsandindependentstosignaloppositiontothewar,evenas domestic elites supported it. Contrary to the conventional wisdom that Americans care little about the views of foreigners, this book showsthatinternationalofficialscanalterdomesticpublicopinion, butonlywhenthemediadeemthemnewsworthy.Theauthors’con- clusions raise significant questions about the democratic quality of U.S.foreignpolicydebates. Danny Hayes is Assistant Professor of Political Science at George WashingtonUniversity.ProfessorHayesisaformerjournalistwhose research focuses on how information from the media and other political actors influences citizens’ attitudes during public policy debates and election campaigns. His work has been supported by theNationalScienceFoundationandhasappearedintheAmerican Journal of Political Science, Political Research Quarterly, Political Behavior, Political Communication, Politics & Gender, American PoliticsResearch,andPresidentialStudiesQuarterly. Matt Guardino is Assistant Professor of Political Science at Prov- idence College. Professor Guardino is a former journalist whose research focuses on the political-economic forces that shape news coverageofpublicpolicydebates,howmediacoverageaffectspub- licopinion,andhowthesedynamicsimpactthehealthofdemocracy. HisworkhasappearedintheAmericanJournalofPoliticalScience, PoliticalCommunication,andNewPoliticalScience. Influence from Abroad Foreign Voices, the Media, and U.S. Public Opinion DANNY HAYES GeorgeWashingtonUniversity MATT GUARDINO ProvidenceCollege cambridgeuniversitypress Cambridge,NewYork,Melbourne,Madrid,CapeTown, Singapore,SaõPaulo,Delhi,MexicoCity CambridgeUniversityPress 32AvenueoftheAmericas,NewYork,ny10013-2473,usa www.cambridge.org Informationonthistitle:www.cambridge.org/9781107691025 ©DannyHayesandMattGuardino2013 Thispublicationisincopyright.Subjecttostatutoryexception andtotheprovisionsofrelevantcollectivelicensingagreements, noreproductionofanypartmaytakeplacewithoutthewritten permissionofCambridgeUniversityPress. Firstpublished2013 PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica AcatalogrecordforthispublicationisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary. LibraryofCongressCataloginginPublicationData Hayes,Danny. Influencefromabroad:foreignvoices,themedia,andU.S.publicopinion/Danny Hayes,GeorgeWashingtonUniversity,MattGuardino,ProvidenceCollege. pagescm Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. isbn978-1-107-03552-2(hardback)–isbn978-1-107-69102-5(pbk.) 1.UnitedStates–Foreignrelations–Publicopinion. 2.UnitedStates–Military policy–Publicopinion. 3.UnitedStates–Foreignpublicopinion. 4.Foreignnews–UnitedStates–Publicopinion. 5.Massmediaandpublic opinion–UnitedStates. 6.Publicopinion–UnitedStates. 7.IraqWar, 2003–2011–Publicopinion. 8.IraqWar,2003–2011–Foreignpublicopinion. I.Guardino,Matt. II.Title. e840.h385 2013 327.73–dc23 2012047923 isbn978-1-107-03552-2Hardback isbn978-1-107-69102-5Paperback CambridgeUniversityPresshasnoresponsibilityforthepersistenceoraccuracyof urlsforexternalorthird-partyInternetWebsitesreferredtointhispublicationand doesnotguaranteethatanycontentonsuchWebsitesis,orwillremain,accurateor appropriate. To our parents: Dan and Charlotte Hayes, the best a kid could luck into Francis and Estelle Guardino: for your love, patience, and support Contents ListofTables pageviii ListofFigures ix Acknowledgments xi 1 ThePuzzleofPolarizedOpinion:EliteDiscourse, MassMedia,andU.S.ForeignPolicyAttitudes 1 2 UsversusThem:DomesticSupportandForeign OppositioninMediaCoverageoftheIraqWar Debate 17 3 ByrdGetsNoWord:JournalisticNormsandthe ReplacementofDomesticDissentwithForeign Opposition 51 4 WhenForeignVoicesPersuade:Predispositions, Partisanship,andInternationalInfluenceonU.S. PublicOpinion 85 5 Conclusion:ForeignVoices,NewMedia,and DemocraticAccountabilityinU.S.ForeignPolicy 129 AppendixA:VariableInformation 151 AppendixB:StatisticalModels 159 WorksCited 169 Index 179 vii List of Tables 4.1 ViewsofUseofMilitaryForce,byPartisanship page96 4.2 Multilateralism,byPartisanship 100 4.3 ViewsoftheUnitedNationsandEuropeanUnion, byPartisanship 103 viii

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In Influence from Abroad, Danny Hayes and Matt Guardino show that United States public opinion about American foreign policy can be shaped by foreign leaders and representatives of international organizations. By studying news coverage, elite debate, and public opinion prior to the Iraq War, the aut

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