Indochina in Transition: Confrontation or Co-prosperity

266 Pages·1989·14.137 MB·English

by  Mio Tadashi

Indochina in Transition
Confrontation or Co-prosperity
Edited by MIO Tadashi
7
4 _ Japan Institute of International Affairs
Digitized by the Internet Archive
in 2023 with funding from
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Indochina in Transition
Confrontation or Co-prosperity
Edited by MIO Tadashi
Japan Institute of International Affairs
About the JIJA
The Japan Institute of International Affairs (IIA), founded in 1959 by the late
Prime Minister Yoshida Shigeru, is a private research institution specializing in
international affairs. The Institute’s main areas of research are the Southeast Asian
countries, China, Korea, the United States, the Soviet Union and East European
countries, and Japan’s relations with these countries. The JIIA is involved in a wide
range of international cooperation activities, including, among others, the Pacific
Economic Cooperation Conference (PECC), for which the Institute serves as the
national secretariat.
Research output is published in the form of books and monographs or in
articles in one of the Institute’s five periodicals, including the monthly Kokusai
Mondai (International Affairs), the semiannual Soren Kenkyu (Soviet Studies),
and the Japan Review of International Affairs.
ISBN4-8193-0202-7 C3031
Copyright © 1989 by The Japan Institute of International Affairs
Published by The Japan Institute of International Affairs
1-2-20 Toranomon, Minatoku, Tokyo 105, JAPAN
Indochina in Transition: Confrontation or Co-prosperity is a revised English version of
Indoshina wo meguru Kokusai Kankei — Taiketu to Taiwa, published by The Japan Institute
of International Affairs, 1988
English version produced by UMES Corporation
Printed in Japan ¥3,000 2,913 plus 3% Tax)
Contents
Page
Contributors
FOREWORD NISEKI Kinya i
INTRODUCTION MIO Tadashi ii
Chapter 1
The 6th Congress of The Communist Party of Vietnam:
A Turning Point in the History of .
the Vietnamese Communist FURUTA Motoo
I. Vietnam in Transition 1
II. Regional Reform and Central Consensus 3
III. The Path Leading to the 6th Congress 8
IV. The 6th Party Congress and “Renovation in Thinking” 2,
V. Conclusion 16
Chapter 2
Vietnamese Economic Reforms: A Period of Trial and
Error And the Present Situation MIO Tadashi
Introduction 20
I. The Process of Implementing Economic Reforms 22,
II. Issues and Trends in the Economic Policy Debate 46
II. Conclusion 50
Chapter 3
Relations Among the Three Indochinese Countries:
A Decade of Rise and Fall of “Strategic Alliance” MIO Tadashi
I. The Development of Vietnam’s Strategy for Indochina 57
II. What Changed Vietnam’s Attitude 64
Ill. The End of the “Strategic Alliance” Period
Of the Three Indochinese Countries (al
Chapter 4
Soviet-Vietnamese Relations: An Uneasy Alliance MIO Tadashi
Introduction 80
I. USSR-SRV Relations During the Vietnam War 81
II. USSR-SRV Relations After the Vietnam War 83
II. Postscript 93
Chapter 5
The Soviet-Vietnam Alliance and
Regional Security NISHIHARA Masashi
I. Southern Vietnam as a Springboard
For Great Powers’ Expansion 100
II. The Vietnamese Defense Strategy and The Alliance
With the Soviet Union 102
Ill. Soviet Strategy for Asia and the Pacific and the Alliance
With Vietnam 106
IV. Gorbachev’s “Peace Offensives” and The Soviet-Vietnam
Alliance 109
V. The Prospect of Regional Security 110
Chapter 6
Indochinese Nations and the Soviet Bloc AKINO Yutaka
I. Joining the Soviet Bloc 114
II. The Internal Relations of the Soviet Bloc 116
Ill. Relations Between the Soviet Union and the Individual
Indochinese Nations 119
IV. The Solidarity of Socialist Indochina 120
V. The Cambodia Problem for the Soviet Bloc 123
VI. COMECON and the Indochinese Nations 126
Chapter 7
The Transitions and Prospects of Sino-Vietnam
Relations MIO Tadashi
Introduction Si
I. The Period Vietnam Joined With China Against
“Modern Revisionism” 132
II. The Period Vietnam Opposed Brezhnev’s Detente and Mao’s
“Three Worlds,” “Soviet Socialist Imperialism” Theories 134
III. The Emergence of Gorbachev and Changes in Vietnam’s
Attitude Toward China 143
IV. Conclusion 147
Chapter 8
The Cambodia Problem and China-Vietnam
Relations OKABE Tatsumi
I. China in a Deadlock 152
II. China’s Two Logic on the Cambodia Problem 153
II. China in a Dilemma 159
IV. Tentative Conclusions 161
Chapter 9
The Cambodian International Civil War and
ASEAN Nations: Long Prologue To A Political
Settlement KUROYANAGI Yoneji
Introduction 166
I. The Development Process of the Cambodia Conflict 167
II. Structure and Psychology of the Protracted Conflict WZ
III. An Approach Run to “Post Cambodia” 177
Conclusion 180
Chapter 10 184
U.S.-Vietnam Relations:
The Long Journey to Rapprochement OGASAWARA Takayuki
I. The Legacies of the War 185
Il. The “China Card” and the “Asian Cuba” 186
II. Hanoi’s “MIA Card” 189
IV. “Neutralization of Cambodia” and Its Impact 189
V. Conclusion 192
Chapter 11
Japan’s Aid Freeze to Vietnam: Historical Process And
Its Diplomatic Implications INADA Juichi
I. Introduction 195
IJ. Charges in Japanese Policy on Aid to Vietnam 196
III. Diplomatic Implications of (Freezing) Aid to Vietnam 204
IV. Prospects for Aid to Vietnam in a “Post-Cambodia” Era 209
Chapter 12
Australia’s Policy Toward Indochina:
Focusing on the Cambodia Problem KIKUCHI Tsutomu
I. The Indochina Policy of the Fraser Administration 215
II. The Hawke Labor Party Administration and
the Cambodia Problem 222
III. Conclusion 228
Chapter 13
Southeast Asian Policy of Vietnam NAKANO Ari
Introduction: Vietnam’s Diplomatic Line After the Unification DESY,
I. Vietnam’s Southeast Asian Policy At the Time of Unification 233
Il. The Cambodia Problem and
The Policy Toward Southeast Asia 236
III. Improvement in China-Soviet Relation and
Vietnam’s Policies Toward ASEAN and China 239
Conclusion 243
Contributors
MIO Tadashi
Professor, Faculty of International Relations, Daito Bunka University, Saitama
FURUTA Motoo
Associate Professor, Faculty of Arts and Sciences, University of Tokyo, Tokyo
NISHIHARA Masashi
Professor, Department of Social Science, National Defence Academy, Yokosuka
AKINO Yutaka
Associate Professor, Institute of Social Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki
OKABE Tatsumi
Professor, Faculty of Law, Tokyo Metropolitan University, Tokyo
Senior Visiting Research Fellow, Japan Institute of International Affairs, Tokyo
KUROYANAGI Yoneji
Professor, Toyo Eiwa Junior College, Kanagawa
Visiting Research Fellow, Japan Institute of International Affairs, Tokyo
OGASAWARA Takayuki
Research Fellow, Japan Institute of International Affairs, Tokyo
INADA Juichi
Research Fellow, Japan Institute of International Affairs, Tokyo
KIKUCHI Tsutomu
Associate Professor, College of International Studies, Chubu University, Aichi
Visiting Research Fellow, Japan Institute of International Affairs, Tokyo
NAKANO Ari
Research Fellow, Institute of World Economy, Tokyo