Geostatistics for Environmental Applications: Proceedings of the Fifth European Conference on Geostatistics for Environmental Applications

481 Pages·2005·12.486 MB·English

by  Dr. Philippe Renard, Dr. Hélène Demougeot-Renard, Dr. Roland Froidevaux (auth.)

Philippe Renard
Hélène Demougeot-Renard
Roland Froidevaux
Geostatistics for Environmental Applications
Proceedings of the Fifth European Conference on
Geostatistics for Environmental Applications
Philippe Renard
Hélène Demougeot-Renard
Roland Froidevaux
(Editors)
Geostatistics for
Environmental
Applications
Proceedings of the Fifth European
Conference on Geostatistics for
Environmental Applications
With 218 Figures and a CD-ROM
123
Dr. Philippe Renard
University of Neuchâtel, Centre for Hydrogeology
11 Rue Emile Argand, 2007 Neuchâtel, Switzerland
E-mail: [email protected]
Dr. Hélène Demougeot-Renard
FSS International
7 Chemin de Mont-Riant, 2000 Neuchâtel, Switzerland
E-mail: [email protected]
Dr. Roland Froidevaux
FSS International
9 Rue Boissonnas, 1227 Geneva, Switzerland
E-mail: [email protected]
Library of Congress Control Number: 2005927607
ISBN-10 3-540-26533-3 Springer Berlin Heidelberg New York
ISBN-13 978-3-540-26533-7 Springer Berlin Heidelberg New York
This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved, whether the whole or part of the material is
concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitations,
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Foreword
While the society becomes everyday more aware of environmental problems, the
experts have to deal with a major issue: uncertainty due to incomplete data sets
and spatio-temporal variability. Among the techniques used to quantify this un-
certainty and to improve environmental management, geostatistics is becoming a
recognized standard, applied in fields as different as hydrogeology, remote sens-
ing, ecology or soil contamination. In recent years, the domain of application of
these techniques has regularly grown together with the wide availability of Geo-
graphical Information Systems and geostatistical software packages.
This book is the outcome of the fifth edition of the European Conference on
Geostatistics for Environmental Applications (geoENV V) held in Neuchâtel
(Switzerland) from October 13th to October 15th, 2004. The conference attracted
more than 100 participants, mostly from Europe, but also from North America,
South America, North Africa, Russia and Australia. Among the 140 abstracts
submitted to the conference, the organization committee selected 53 for oral pres-
entation and 40 for poster presentation.
The book reflects the current status of the research in the field of geostatistics
for environmental applications. It opens with one keynote paper by Carol Gotway-
Crawford, senior researcher at the Center for Disease Control and Prevention, At-
lanta, which emphasizes the problem of the size of the data support when making
spatial statistics. It is then followed by 38 research papers, classified according to
their main topics, that describe recent methodological advances and applications.
All these papers have been presented orally during the conference and accepted by
the reviewers. The final version of the papers were again checked by the editors.
Also included in the book is a CDROM containing the original posters and the
companion poster papers. This material has not been reviewed.
Finally, the editors wish to thank all the reviewers and the authors without
whom this book could not exist, as well as the sponsors of the conference: the
Swiss Federal Statistical Office (http://www.bfs.admin.ch), the Swiss Federal Of-
fice for Water and Geology (http://www.bwg.admin.ch/e/), the Swiss National
Science Foundation (http://www.snf.ch/), the University of Neuchâtel
(http://www.unine.ch), the Centre of Hydrogeology of the University of Neuchâtel
(http://www.unine.ch/chyn), the Banque Cantonale Neuchâteloise
(http://www.bcn.ch), and the NCCR Plant Survival (http://www.unine.ch/nccr/).

Neuchâtel, February 2005

The editors.

Philippe Renard
Hélène Demougeot-Renard
Roland Froidevaux
Organizing and scientific committees
Philippe Renard, University of Neuchâtel, Switzerland (Chairman)
Hélène Demougeot-Renard, FSS International, Neuchâtel, Switzerland
Roland Froidevaux, FSS International, Geneva, Switzerland
Denis Allard, INRA, Avignon, France
Jaime Gómez-Hernández, UPV, Valencia, Spain
Pascal Monestiez, INRA, Avignon, France
Xavier Sánchez-Vila, UPC, Barcelona, Spain
Amilcar Soares, IST, Lisbon, Portugal

The editors are grateful to the following persons for their work as referees:

Rachid Ababou, IMFT, Toulouse, France
Denis Allard, INRA, Avignon, France
Peter M. Atkinson, University of Southampton, United Kingdom
Ana Bio, Instituto Superior Tecnico, Portugal
Patrick Bogaert, Université Catholique de Louvain, Belgium
Josè Capilla, Universidad Politécnica de Valencia, Spain
Jesus Carrera, Universidad Politécnica de Catalunya, Spain
Eduardo Cassiraga, Universidad Politécnica de Valencia, Spain
Mario Chica-Olmo, University of Granada, Spain
Jean-Paul Chilès, Ecole des Mines de Paris, France
George Christakos, University of North Carolina, USA
Olaf Cirpka, University of Stuttgart, Germany
Noel Cressie, Ohio State University, USA
Hélène Demougeot-Renard, FSS International, Neuchâtel, Switzerland
Dimitri d'Or, Université Catholique de Louvain, Belgique
Souheil Ezzedine, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, USA
Chantal de Fouquet, Ecole des Mines de Paris, France
Luc Feyen, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium
Aldo Fiori, University of Roma Tre, Italy
Roland Froidevaux, FSS International, Geneva, Switzerland
Michel Garcia, FSS International, Paris, France
Marc Genton , North Carolina State University, USA
Tilmand Gneiting, University of Washington, USA
Jaime Gómez-Hernández, Universidad Politécnica de Valencia, Spain
Pierre Goovaerts, Biomedware, Ann Arbor, USA
Carol Gotway-Crawford, NCEH, Atlanta, USA
Alberto Guadagnini, Politecnico de Milano, Italy
Laura Guadagnini, Politecnico de Milano, Italy
Gilles Guillot, INRA, France
Harri-Jan Hendricks-Franssen, ETH Zürich, Switzerland
Olivier Jaquet, Colenco Power Consulting AG, Switzerland
André Journel, Stanford University, USA
viii
Phaedon Kiriakidis, University of California, USA
Denis Marcotte, Ecole Polytechnique Montréal, Canada
Peter Meier, NOK Baden, Switzerland
Pascal Monestiez, INRA, France
Carla Nunes, Instituto Superior Tecnico, Portugal
Maria João Pereira, Instituto Superior Tecnico, Portugal
Antonio Pulido-Bosch, University of Almeria, Spain
Monica Riva, Politecnico de Milano, Italy
Jacques Rivoirard, Ecole des Mines de Paris, France
Klaus-Jürgen Röhlig, GRS, Germany
Christian Roth, Airparif, France
Xavier Sánchez-Vila, Universidad Politécnica de Catalunya, Spain
Marc Serre, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, USA
Amilcar Soares, Instituto Superior Tecnico, Portugal
Mohan Srivastava, FSS Canada, Canada
Fritz Stauffer, ETH Zürich, Switzerland
Alfred Stein, University of Wageningen, The Netherland
Hans Wackernagel, Ecole des Mines de Paris, France
Richard Webster, Rothamsted Experimental Station, United Kingdom
Table of Contents

Keynote paper
Change of support: An inter-disciplinary challenge C.A. Gotway Crawford and
L.J. Young................................................................................................................1
Methods
Combining categorical and continuous information using Bayesian Maximum
Entropy P. Bogaert and M.-A. Wibrin..................................................................15
Geostatistical prediction of spatial extremes and their extent N. Cressie, J. Zhang
and P. F. Craigmile...............................................................................................27
Monitoring network optimisation using support vector machines A. Pozdnoukhov
and M. Kanevski....................................................................................................39
Bayesian kriging with lognormal data and uncertain covariance parameters J.
Pilz, P. Pluch and G. Spöck...................................................................................51
Kriging of scale-invariant data: optimal parameterization of the autocovariance
model R. Sidler and K. Holliger...........................................................................63
Scaling effects on finite-domain fractional brownian motion S. Cintoli, S. P.
Neuman and V. Di Federico..................................................................................75
Ecology, air and health

The delineation of fishing times and locations for the Shark Bay scallop fishery
U. Mueller, L. Bloom, M. Kangas, N. Caputi and T. Tran....................................87
A spatial extension of CART: application to classification of ecological data L.
Bel, J.M. Laurent, A. Bar-Hen, D. Allard and R. Cheddadi..................................99
Using a Markov-type model to combine trawl and acoustic data in fish surveys M.
Bouleau and N. Bez.............................................................................................111
Mapping unobserved factors on vine plant mortality N. Desassis, P. Monestiez, J.
N. Bacro, P. Lagacherie, J. M. Robbez-Masson..................................................125
Analysis and modelling of spatially and temporally varying phenological phases
D. Doktor, F. W. Badeck, F. Hattermann, J. Schaber and M. McAllister...........137
x
Detection of spatial clusters and outliers in cancer rates using geostatistical filters
and spatial neutral models P. Goovaerts............................................................149

Geostatistical assessment of long term human exposure to air pollution N.
Jeannée, V. Nedellec, S. Bouallala, J. Deraisme and H. Desqueyroux...............161

Air quality models resulting from multi-source emissions A. Russo, C. Nunes and
A. Bio..................................................................................................................173

Variogram estimation with noisy data in the space-time domain: application to air
quality modelling C. Nunes and A. Soares.........................................................185

Groundwater

Multiple-point geostatistics: a powerful tool to improve groundwater flow and
transport predictions in multi-modal formations L. Feyen and J.Caers.............197
Simulation of radionuclide mass fluxes in a heterogeneous clay formation locally
disturbed by excavation M. Huysmans, A. Berckmans and A. Dassargues........209
Modelling density-dependent flow using hydraulic conductivity distributions
obtained by means of non-stationary indicator simulation K.-J. Röhlig, H. Fischer
and B. Pöltl..........................................................................................................221
Random field approach to seawater intrusion in heterogeneous coastal aquifers:
unconditional simulations and statistical analysis A. Al-Bitar and R. Ababou...233
Uncertainty estimation of well catchments: semi-analytical post-processing
F. Stauffer and H.-J. Hendricks Franssen...........................................................249
Conditional moments of residence time of sorbent solutes under radial flow
C. Castillo-Cerdà, X. Sanchez-Vila, L. Nuñez-Calvet and A. Guadagnini..........261
Impact of the choice of the variogram model on flow and travel time predictors in
radial flows M. Riva, M. De Simoni and M. Willmann.......................................273
Strategies to determine dispersivities in heterogeneous aquifers
D. Fernàndez-Garcia and J. Jaime Gómez-Hernández......................................285
Solving the groundwater inverse problem by successive flux estimation
P. Pasquier and D. Marcotte...............................................................................297
Inverse problem for highly heterogeneous porous media: the factorial
geostatistical analysis in differential system method B. Ortuani........................309
Inverse stochastic estimation of well capture zones with application to the
Lauswiesen site (Tübingen, Germany) H.-J. Hendricks Franssen and F. Stauffer321
xi
Soil contamination

"Soft" geostatistical analysis of radioactive soil contamination
R. Parkin, E. Savelieva and M. Serre..................................................................331
Modelling the spatial distribution of copper in the soils around a metal smelter in
northwestern Switzerland A. Papritz, C. Herzig, F. Borer and R. Bono............343
Towards a real-time multi-phase sampling strategy optimization
D. D'Or................................................................................................................355
Spatio-temporal mapping of sea floor sediment pollution in the North Sea
E.J. Pebesma and R. N. M. Duin.........................................................................367
Remote sensing

Merging Landsat TM and SPOT-P images with geostatistical stochastic simulation
J. Carvalho; J. Delgado-garcía and H. Cateno..................................................379
Characterising spatial variation in land cover imagery using geostatistical
functions and the discrete wavelet transform C. Lloyd, P. Atkinson and P. Aplin391

Environment

Distinguishing features from outliers in automatic Kriging-based filtering of
MBES data: a comparative study P. Bottelier, C. Briese, N. Hennis, R.
Lindenbergh and N. Pfeifer.................................................................................403
Forecasting volcanic eruptions using geostatistical methods O. Jaquet, R. Carniel,
R.Namar and M. Di Cecca..................................................................................415
Delineation of estuarine management units: evaluation of an automatic procedure
F. Bação, S. Caeiro, M. Painho, P. Goovaerts and M. H. Costa........................429
Estimating indicators of river quality by geostatistics
C. Bernard-Michel and C. de Fouquet ...............................................................443
Stochastic simulation of rainfall using a space-time geostatistical algorithm
J. A. Almeida and M. Lopes.................................................................................455
Inferring the lateral subsurface correlation structure from georadar data:
methodological backround and experimental evidence
B. Dafflon, J. Tronicke and K. Holliger..............................................................467