Table Of ContentEarthquake Prediction
TThhiiss ppaaggee iinntteennttiioonnaallllyy lleefftt bbllaannkk
EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION
Edited by
SAUMITRA MUKHERJEE
BRILL
Leiden · Boston
2006
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DEDICATED TO MY BELOVED PARENTS
The Late Shri Arun Prakash Mukherjee
Smt. Bela Rani Mukherjee
TThhiiss ppaaggee iinntteennttiioonnaallllyy lleefftt bbllaannkk
Contents
Acknowledgements ix
Preface
S. Mukherjee xi
Detection of the non-random component in the earthquake distribution between
the Northern and Southern part of the Pacific: observations and modeling
E. V. Sasorova, B. W Levin and 0. N. Emelyanova 1
The within-year variability in the earthquake distributions for some regions of
the Earth
E. V. Sasorova and S. A. Zhuravlev 9
Earthquake vapor, a reliable precursor
Z. Shou 21
Possible influence of helio-geophysical factors on the realization of rockbursts
0. I. Shumilov, E. A. Kasatkina and N.-A. Marner 53
Abnormal temperature increase and astro-tidal triggering in the tsunami
earthquake in Indonesia magnitude 9.0
W Ma, X. Xu, B. Xu and H. Zhang 61
Starstorm influence on earth rotation leads tsunami and earthquakes
S. Mukherjee and L. Ki.irtvelyessy 69
The Gujarat, India earthquake of 26 January 2001 was triggered by a change in
Kp index and electron flux induced by sun
S. Mukherjee 77
TThhiiss ppaaggee iinntteennttiioonnaallllyy lleefftt bbllaannkk
Earthquake Prediction, pp. ix-x (2006)
©VSP2006
Acknowledgements
I was inspired to start on this work in 1987 by Professor U. R. Rao, former Chairman
of Indian Space Research Organization. Earthquake prediction was considered to
be the most difficult task for the scientists across the world. Further, the concept of
this book was revived in 2005 when I was working in the University of Liverpool
as Visiting Professor in the Department of Earth and Ocean Sciences and discussed
the topic with the eminent scientists of the world, like Rogers Bilham of Colorado
University (USA), F. W. Wenzel of University of Karlshruhe (Germany), Dimitar
Ouzonav of NASA, Dr. Richard Worden of University of Liverpool (UK) and
R. P. Singh of liT Kanpur (India). The tsunami and earthquake in Indonesia on
26 December 2004 compelled me to consider the offer of European Geosciences
Union to accept the position of Convener of Earthquake Prediction. World leaders
of earthquake prediction expressed several new ideas in the scientific meetings and
conferences. It was possible to select some of the eminent scientists from USA,
Germany, Japan, China and India to contribute to this book.
I am thankful to my mentor Professor A. K. Roy, former Head of Geosciences
Division, Indian Institute of Remote Sensing, ISRO for his encouragement during
the study. I am thankful to my colleagues at the school of Environmental Sciences,
Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi and Department of Earth and Ocean
Sciences, The University of Liverpool, UK, for lending me their moral support
during the completion of this book.
I am thankful to C. Alex Young, scientist, NASA for his kind encouragement
during various levels of discussion. Data used in various studies of earthquake
prediction were received from NASA and ESA, which are duly acknowledged.
I am also highly grateful to Professor Asis Dutta, Ex-Vice Chancellor, Jawaharlal
Nehru University (JNU) for his encouragement to develop the new hypothesis of
earthquake prediction over the last couple of years. Moral support and recognition
received from Professor G. K. Chadha, Ex-Vice Chancellor (JNU) and Professor
B. B. Bhattacharya, Vice Chancellor JNU are duly acknowledged.
The present book could not have been made possible without the co-operation
of a host of people, particularly the scientists and academicians from the Shirshov
Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia, Institute
of North Industrial Ecology Problems, Kola Science Centre, Apatity, Russia. De
partment of Paleogeophysics and Geodynamics, Stockholm University, Stockholm,
Sweden, Earthquake Prediction Center, New York, USA, Zhejiang University, Zhe-
