Defence Against Weapons of Mass Destruction Terrorism: Volume 56 NATO Science for Peace and Security Series - E: Human and Societal Dynamics

185 Pages·2009·23.52 MB·English

by  O. Aytac

NATO Science for Peace and Security Series
-
E: Human and Societal Dynamics Vol. 56
a s Destruction &mod
Edited by
Osman Ayta~
Mustafa Kibaroglu
DEFENCE AGAINST WEAPONS OF MASS
DESTRUCTION TERRORISM
NAlO Science for Peace and Security Series
This Series presents the results of scientific meetings supported under the N.ATO Programme:
Science for Peace and Security (SPS).
The VAT0 SPS Programme supports meetings in the following Ke) Priorin- areas: ( I ) Defence
Against Terrorism; (2) Countering other Threats to Securi~a nd (3) NATO, Partner and
Med~terranean Dialogue Country Priorities. The vpes of meeting supported are generall)
"Ad\anced Study Institutes" and "Advanced Research Workshops". The N.4TO SPS Series
collects together the results of these meetings. The meetings are co-organized by scientists from
NAT 0 countries and scientists from NATO's "Partner" or "Mediterranean Dialogue" countries.
The observations and recommendations made at the meetings. as uell as the contents of the
volumes in the Series, reflect those of participants and contributors only; they should not
necessarily be regarded as reflecting NATO view or polic) .
Advanced Study Institutes (ASI) are high-level tutorial courses to conve the latest
developments in a subject to an advanced-level audience.
Advanced Research Workshops (ARW) are expert meetings uhere an intense but informal
exchange of views at the frontiers of a subject aims at identifi ing directions for future action.
Following a transformation of the programme in 2006 the Series has been re-named and re-
organised. Recent volumes on topics not related to securie, ~hichre sult from meetings
supported under the programme earlier, may be found in the NATO Science Series.
The Series is published bj IOS Press, Amsterdam, and Springer Science and Business Media,
Dordrecht, in conjunction with the NATO Public Diplomacy Division.
Sub-Series
A. Chemistry and Biology Springer Science and Business Media
B. Physics and Biophysics Springer Science and Business Media
C. Environmental Security Springer Science and Business Media
D. Information and Communication Security 10s Press
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Sub-Series E: Human and Societal Dynamics - Vol. 56
Defence Against Weapons of Mass
Destruction Terrorism
Edited by
Osman Aytaq
and
Mustafa Kibaroglu
Centre ofExcellence Defence Against Terrorism
-
Ankara, Turkey
P r e s s
Amsterdam Berlin Tokyo Washington, DC
Published in cooperation with NATO Public Diplomacy Division
Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Research Workshop on Defence Against Weapons of
Mass Destruction Terrorism
Ankara, Turkey
l GI l April 2008
02 009 10s Press.
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system,
or transmitted. in any form or by any means, without prior \\+itten permission from the publisher.
ISBh 978-1 -60750-01 5-5
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Defince Against We~zpnnso fMms Destruction Terrorism vii
0.A ~ tuqnd M. Kihuroglu (Eds.)
10s Prmv. 2009
0 2009 IOS Prc.ss. All rights resrn~rd.
Preface
This study is the result of the Defence Against Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)
Terrorism Advanced Research Workshop hnded by NATO's Security Through Sci-
ence Programme held on 10-1 1 April 2008 in Ankara, Turkey under the guidance and
the direction of the Centre of Excellence Defence Against Terrorism (COE-DAT).
The workshop aimed to provide a forum for exchanging information on WMD re-
lated issues, to enhance understanding of the nature of the threat posed by WMD terror-
ism and to discuss ways and means to counter the threat. This book project should be
seen as an attempt to lay the basic groundwork for future research and study of the sub-
ject.
The editors would like to acknowledge the contributions of the co-director of the
workshop, Col. Teimur Zavrashvili from the Georgian Ministry of Defense.
The Centre of Excellence Defence Against Terrorism was established in 2005
-
with the purpose of supporting NATO on defence issues related to terrorism. In addi-
tion to the framework nation Turkey, there are currently six other sponsoring nations,
namely the United States, the United Kingdom, Bulgaria, Romania, the Netherlands
and Germany, which contribute to the activities of the Centre by providing staff as well
as funds. The COE-DAT organizes numerous workshops, seminars, and courses every
year with the goal of advancing academic, institutional and practical knowledge, exper-
tise and information on terrorism to interested parties in NATO members states, Part-
nership for Peace (PfP), and Mediterranean Dialogue countries, as well as Non-Triple
nations and others.
The merit this volume is ultimately due to the arguments and insights of the au-
thors whose essays are collected here. We are gratehl to them for their contributions
to this volume.

Contents
Preface vii
Introduction 1
Osman Aytq and Mustctfa Kiharoglu
Preventing Weapons of Mass Destruction Terrorism: Building International
Partnerships to Meet the Challenge 9
Guy Roberts
The Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons and Missiles 17
Haruld Miiller
The Proliferation of Chemical and Biological Weapons: Past, Present and Future 29
Jonuthan B. Tucker
The Credibility of the Nuclear Terrorist Threat: A Call for Cooperation 45
Murtin Bagley
How Credible Is the Threat of Chemical and Biological Weapons? 63
Cbnszn Ardu
Improvised NBCR Attacks on Civilian and Military Infrastructure 69
Peter D. Zimmerman
EU Approaches to WMD Proliferation and WMD Terrorism 79
Andrea Ellner
The Anticipated Role of Armed Forces Combating WMD Terrorism 97
Ivo Marinov
Flexible Response: First Response to Chemical and Biological Terrorist Threats 109
Martin Bugley
Nuclear Forensic Analysis as a Response Tool to Nuclear Terrorism Events 127
Vitaly Fedchenko
Defending Against Nuclear Terrorism: Future Threats and Concepts 135
Lewis A. Dzrnn
Chemical-Biological Terrorism: Threats and Responses 147
Jonuthun B. Tucker
Dealing with the Threat Posed by Non-State Armed Groups Aspiring to Weapons
of Mass Destruction 16 1
Mustufu Kibaro$u
Subject Index 171
Author Index 173