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About Complexity Financial Markets
This document discusses complexity in economic and financial markets. It argues that standard economic analysis assumes rational expectations where all agents arrive at shared predictions, but this breaks down easily. Predictions depend on beliefs about others' predictions, creating self-referential expectations that are deductively indeterminate. The document illustrates this using guessing games where rational expectations cannot be sustained. It argues we should view the economy as an ecology of evolving subjective expectations and hypotheses that agents continually formulate, test, and update based on outcomes in a world shaped by others' expectations.
Detailed Information
Author: | ['manuelbriones'] |
---|---|
Publication Year: | 2011 |
Pages: | 16 |
Language: | English |
Format: | |
Price: | FREE |
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