An analysis of reenlistment intention and actual reenlistment of Army male second-term enlisted personnel.

96 Pages·1.4 MB·en_US

by  Kim, Byung Goo.;Thomas, George W.

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NAVAL r -STGRADUATE SCHOO!
MONTEREY CA 93943-5101

NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL
Monterey, California
THESIS
AN ANALYSIS OF REENLISTMENT INTENTION AND
ACTUAL REENLISTMENT OF ARMY MALE
SECOND-TERM ENLISTED PERSONNEL
by
Kim, Byung Goo
December, 1991
Thesis Advisor: George W. Thomas
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited

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4 PERFORMINGORGANIZATION REPORTNUMBER(S) 5 MONITORINGORGANIZATIONREPORTNUMBER(S)
6a NAMEOFPERFORMINGORGANIZATION 6b OFFICESYMBOL 7a NAMEOFMONITORINGORGANIZATION
NavalPostgraduateSchool (Ifapplicable) NavalPostgraduateSchool
CODEAS
6c ADDRESS(C/ty,State,andZIPCode) 7b ADDRESS(C/ty,State,andZIPCode)
Monterey,CA 93943-5000 Monterey,CA 93943-5000
8a NAMEOFFUNDING/SPONSORING 8b OFFICESYMBOL 9 PROCUREMENTINSTRUMENTIDENTIFICATIONNUMBER
ORGANIZATION (Ifapplicable)
8c ADDRESS(City,State,andZIPCode) 10 SOURCEOFFUNDINGNUMBERS
ProgramtlementNo ProieaNo WorkUnitAcceision
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11 TITLE(IncludeSecurityClassification)
ANANALYSISOFREENLISTMENTINTENTIONANDACTUALREENLISTMENTOFARMY MALESECOND-TERM ENLISTED
PERSONNEL
12 PERSONALAUTHOR(S) Kim.ByungGoo
13a.TYPEOFREPORT 13b TIMECOVERED 14 DATEOFREPORT(year,month,day) 15 PAGECOUNT
Master'sThesis From To December,1991 86
16 SUPPLEMENTARYNOTATION
TheviewsexpressedinthisthesisarethoseoftheauthoranddonotreflecttheofficialpolicyorpositionoftheDepartmentofDefenseortheU.S.
Government.
17 COSATICODES 18 SUBJECTTERMS(continueonreverseifnecessaryandidentifybyblocknumber)
FIELD GROUP SUBGROUP ReenlistmentIntention,ActualReenlistment,MilitaryManpowerPlanning,Army
ManpowerAnalysis,ArmySecond-TermEnlistedPersonnel,MilitaryAffiliation
19.ABSTRACT(continueonreverseifnecessaryandidentifybyblocknumber)
ThisthesisinvestigatedanArmymalesecond-termer'sintendedandactualreenlistmenttoidentifykeyfactorsthatsignificantlyaffecthis
decisiontoprolonghiscareerintheArmyusingthe1985DoDSurveyofOfficersandEnlistedPersonnelconductedfortheofficeoftheAssistant
SecretaryofDefense(ForceManagementandPersonnel).ThesamplewaslimitedtothoseinpaygradesE4-E6,with5-10yearsofservice,andwho
hadlessthanoneyearremainingintheircommitment.Psychological,economic,organizational,andpersonal/demographiccharacteristicswere
investigatedtodeterminetheireffectontheenlistees'careerdecision.Amuitivariatelogitregressionmodelwasestimatedutilizingthese
explanatoryvariables:Single/Wo/Dep.,Single/W/Dep.,Married/Wo/Dep.,Black,Hispanic,YOS,Medical,Admin/Supply,Probability of
Alternative,andCompositevariablesforsatisfactionwithworkenvironment,andsatisfactionwithpecuniarybenefits.Theresultindicatesthat
thereweresignificantdifferencesinthefactorsaffectingtheintendedandactualreenlistmentdecisions.Black,YOS, Medical,Probabilityof
Alternative,SatisfactionwithWorkEnvironment,andSatisfactionwithPecuniaryBenefitsweresignificantinexplaniningintentionswhile
Single/Wo/Dep.,Married/Wo/Dep.,Admin/Supply,andSatisfactionwithWorkEnvironmentweresignificantinexplaniningactual reenlistment.
20 DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITYOFABSTRACT 21 ABSTRACTSECURITYCLASSIFICATION
Pf UNCLASSIFIED/UNLIMITED J SAMEASREPORT J DTICUSERS UNCLASSIFIED
22a NAMEOFRESPONSIBLE INDIVIDUAL 22b TELEPHONE(IncludeAreacode) 22c OFFICE SYMBOL
Prof. GeorgeW.Thomas [phone] CODEAS/TE
DD FORM 1473,84 MAR 83APReditionmaybeuseduntilexhausted SECURITYCLASSIFICATIONOF THISPAGE
Allothereditionsareobsolete UNCLASSIFIED
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
AN ANALYSIS OF REENLISTMENT INTENTION AND ACTUAL
REENLISTMENT OF ARMY MALE SECOND-TERM ENLISTED PERSONNEL
by
Kim, Byung Goo
Major* Republic ofKorea Army
B.S., Republic ofKorea Military Academy, 1982
Submitted in partial fulfillment
ofthe requirements for the degree of
MASTER OF SCIENCE IN MANAGEMENT
from the
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL
December, 1991
11
ABSTRACT
This thesis investigated an Army male second-tenner's intended and actual
reenlistment to identify key factors that significantly affect his decision to prolong his
career in the Army using the 1985 DoD Survey of Officers and Enlisted Personnel
conducted for the office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense (Force Management and
Personnel). The sample was limited to those in paygrades E4-E6, with 5-10 years of
service, and who had less than one year remaining in their commitment. Psychological,
economic, organizational, and personal/demographic characteristics were investigated to
A
determine their effect on the enlistees' career decision. multivariate logit regression
model was estimated utilizing these explanatory variables: Single/Wo/Dep.,
Single/W/Dep., Married/Wo/Dep., Black, Hispanic, YOS, Technical, Medical,
Admin/Supply, Probability of Alternative, and Composite variables for satisfaction with
work environment, and satisfaction with pecuniary benefits. The result indicates that there
were significant differences in the factors affecting the intended and actual reenlistment
decisions. Black, YOS, Medical, Probability of Alternative, Satisfaction with Work
Environment, and Satisfaction with Pecuniary Benefits were significant in explaining
intentions while Single/Wo/Dep., Married/Wo/Dep., YOS, Admin/Supply, and Satisfaction
with Work Environment were significant in explaining actual reenlistment.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
I. INTRODUCTION 1
A. BACKGROUNDS 1
B. RESEARCH OBJECTIVES 3
C. DATA BASE 4
D. SCOPE and LIMITATIONS 5
E. METHODOLOGY 5
F. ORGANIZATION OF THE STUDY 6
II. LITERATURE REVIEW 8
A. BACKGROUND 8
B. TURNOVER RESEARCH 10
C. MILITARY RETENTION RESEARCH 19
III. DATA AND METHODOLOGY 24
A. RESEARCH OBJECTIVES 24
B. DATA BASE 24
C. SCOPE and LIMITATIONS 26
D. METHODOLOGY 28
E. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS 30
F. DEPENDENT VARIABLES 30
1. REENLISTMENT INTENTION (DEFENDENT VARIABLE 1:
REINTENT) 30
IV