A prototypical model for estimating high tech Navy recruiting markets.

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by  Uslar, Hans-Joachim.;Thomas, George W.;Gorman, Linda G.

NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL
Monterey, California
THESIS
A PROTOTYPICAL MODEL FOR ESTIMATING
HIGH TECH NAVY RECRUITING MARKETS
by
HANS-JOACHIM USLAR
December 1991
Thesis Co-Advisors: George W. Thomas
Linda Gorman
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
1260632

Unclassified
SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF THIS PAGE
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4. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBER(S) 5. MONITORING ORGANIZATION REPORT
6a. NAME OF PERFORMING ORGANIZATION pb. OFFICE SYMBOL 7a. NAME OF MONITORING
(Ifapplicable)
Naval Postgraduate School 036 Naval Postgraduate School
6c. ADDRESS (City.State,andZIPCode) 7b. ADDRESS (City,Stale,andZIPCode)
Monterey, California 93943-5000 Monterey, California 93943-5000
8a. NAME OF FUNDING/SPONSORING Bb. OFFICE SYMBOL 9. PROCUREMENT INSTRUMENT IDENTIFICATION
(Ifapplicable)
8c. ADDRESS (City,State.andZIPCode) 10. SOURCE OF FUNDING NUMBERS
PROGRAM PROJECT TASK WORK UNIT
Naval Postgraduate School ELEMENT NO. NO. NO. ACCESSION NO.
Monterey, California 93943-5000
11. TITLE (IncludeSecurityClassification)
A PROTOTYPICAL MODEL FOR ESTIMATING HIGH TECH NAVYRECRUITING MARKETS (UNCLASSIFIED)
12. PERSONAL AUTHOR(S)
Uslar, Hans-Joachim
13a. TYPE OF REPORT 13b. TIME COVERED 14. DATE OF REPORT (Year.Month. Day) 5. PAGE COUNT
Master'sThesis FROM TO December 1991 67
16. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTATION
The views expressed in this thesis arethose ofthe author and do not reflectthe official policy ofthe Department of
Defense orthe U.S. Government.
Me^rv"^/Mm^
17. COSATI CODES 1
FIELD GROUP SUB-GROUP Armed ForcesQualificationTest AFQT
National Longitudinal Survey ofYouth NLSY
19. ABSTRACT(Continueonreverseitnecessaryandidentifybyblocknumber)
This thesis presents a methodforidentifying and analyzingthe recruiting market for highlytechnical Navy ratings. A
basic model estimatesthe eligibilityforsix market segmentsforfourmental outcomes, (1) hightech, (2) high quality
and not high tech, (3) mental category 3B and (4) not eligibleforthe military labor market. A second model estimates
the interest in military employmentforeach market segment giventheirlikelihood of being qualifiedforthe highly
technical ratings. Thethird model is based onthe results ofthefirsttwo models and estimatesthe actualjoining
behavior of each market segment ofthe hightech market giventheirlevel of interest inthe military.
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22a. NAME OF RESPONSIBLE INDIVIDUAL 22b. TELEPHONE (hdudeAreaCode) 22c. OFFICE SYMBOL
GeorgeW. Thomas [phone] rXSfTE
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Approved forpublic release; distribution is unlimited.
A Prototypical Model ForEstimating
High Tech Navy Recruiting Markets
by
Hans-Joachim JJslar
Lieutenant Commander, German Navy
Diplom Paedagoge, University ofHamburg, 1983
Submitted in partial fulfillment
ofthe requirements for the degree of
MASTER OF SCIENCE IN MANPOWER MANAGEMENT
from the
NAVALPOSTGRADUATE SCHOOL
December, 1991