A framework for incorporating battlefield purpose and intelligence.

98 Pages·1.3 MB·en_US

by  Bonomo, James A.;Parry, Samuel H.

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A Frameworkfor Incorporating Battlefield Purposeand Intelligence
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BONOMO, JamesAllan
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Master'sthesis FROM TO 1992, SEPTEMBER 89
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Theviews expressed inthisthesisarethose oftheauthorand do not reflectthe official policy or position ofthe
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FIELD GROUP SUB-GROUP Wargame, Command and Control, Reconnaissance, Intelligence
19.ABSTRACT(Continueonreverseifnecessaryand identifybyblocknumber)
Thisthesis involvesa methodologyforthe development ofstand-alone artificial intelligence programsfor inclusion
in a yetto bedeveloped theatre level wargameforthe Conventional ForcesAnalysis Division (CFAD) ofthe Force
Structure, Resources, and Assessment Directorate (J-8) of The Joint Staff. It uniquely addresses some of the
limitations observed in the Tactical Warfare Model (TACWAR), extending the current research effort at the Naval
PostgradauteSchool. Theartificial intelligence programswill simulatethedecision making processesthatatheatre
level con.manderwould make according to his perception ofthe environment, aware that his intelligence may be
incomplete and possibly incorrect. The decision process is based on military doctrine derived from Clausewitz,
Jomini, and Napoleon, and involves allocating reconnaissance assets, acquiring and validating intelligence data,
maneuveringforces, command and control, and assigning specific mission objectives.
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22i NAMEOFRESPONSIBLEINDIVIDUAL 22b.TELEPHONE (IncludeAreaCode) 22c. OFFICESYMBOL
Samuel H. Parry [phone] OR/Py
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A Framework for Incorporating
Battlefield Purpose and
Intelligence
by
James A. Bonomo
Lieutenant, United States Navy
B.S., United States Naval Academy, 1985
Submitted in partial fulfillment
of the requirements for the degree of
MASTER OF SCIENCE IN OPERATIONS RESEARCH
from the
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL
September_1992
ABSTRACT
This thesis involves a methodology for the development of
stand-alone artificial intelligence programs for inclusion in
a yet to be developed theatre level wargame for the
Conventional Forces Analysis Division (CFAD) of the Force
Structure, Resources, and Assessment Directorate (J-8) of The
Joint Staff. It uniquely addresses some of the limitations
observed in the Tactical Warfare Model (TACWAR) extending the
,
current research effort at the Naval Postgraduate School. The
artificial intelligence programs will simulate the decision
making processes that a theatre level commander would make
according to his perception of the environment, aware that his
intelligence may be incomplete and possibly incorrect. The
decision process is based on military doctrine derived from
Clausewitz, Jomini, and Napoleon, and involves allocating
reconnaissance assets, acquiring and validating intelligence
data, maneuvering forces, command and control, and assigning
specific mission objectives.
111
THESIS DISCLAIMER
The reader is cautioned that computer programs developed
in this research may not have been exercised for all cases of
interest. While every effort has been made, within the time
available, to ensure that the programs are free of
computational and logic errors, they cannot be considered
validated. Any application of these programs without
additional verification is at the risk of the user.
IV
-
TABLE OF CONTENTS
I. INTRODUCTION 1
A. PURPOSE 1
B. METHODOLOGY 1
C. SCOPE OF THESIS 1
II. BACKGROUND 4
A. THE TACTICAL WARFARE (TACWAR) THEATRE-LEVEL
MODEL 4
III. THE MODEL FRAMEWORK 10
A. INTRODUCTION 10
B. THE BATTLEFIELD 10
1. Representation of the Geography 10
2. Identification of Unit Types 13
3. The Missions 15
C. RECONNAISSANCE AND INTELLIGENCE 17
1. Reconnaissance, Detection, And Intelligence 17
2. Reconnaissance Assets 18
3. Reconnaissance Operating Areas 20
4. Scheduling Reconnaissance Assets 21
5. The Stochastic Process of Detection and
...
Identification within Operating Areas 25
6. The Process of Intelligence Validation 26
. .
....
D. THE THEATRE LEVEL COMMANDER'S DECISION 27
1. The Strategic Action Model 27
2. Procedure and the Mechanics of Military
Engagements
33
E. COMMAND, CONTROL, AND COMMUNICATIONS 34
F. DETERMINATION OF ROUTE OF MARCH 36
1. The Route of March Module 36
2. Tactical Concerns 39
IV. METHODOLOGY DEMONSTRATION 4
A. THE SCENARIO 4
B. THE PROCEDURE 4
C. ANALYSIS 46
1. Program Run One 46
2. Program Run Two 49
3. Program Run Three 50
4. Program Run Four 51
V. SUMMARY 54
A. CONCLUSIONS 54
B. AREAS FOR FURTHER STUDY 56
APPENDIX A: ORIGINS OF PRESENT DAY US STRATEGY (1980-
2000) 58
A. WHAT IS STRATEGY? 58
VI