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PPeettrrooll ffiiyyaattllaarrıı üüzzeerriinnee ssoohhbbeett Necdet Pamir, 27 Şubat 2015 PPeettrrooll FFiiyyaattllaarrıınnıınn SSeeyyrrii OOccaakk 22001144 –– ŞŞuubbaatt 22001155 Brent WTI 26 Şubat 2015, Borsa Kapanış: 61.62 $/v Kaynak: ABD Enerji Bakanlığı Raporu (Market Prices and Uncertainty Report), http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/steo/uncertainty/index.cfm ; February 10, 2015 HHaamm PPeettrrooll FFiiyyaattllaarrıı:: BBaaşşllııccaa EEttkkeennlleerr AAAArrrrzzzz TTTTaaaarrrraaaaffffıııı •••• •••• EEEEnnnneeeerrrrjjjjiiii ffffiiiiyyyyaaaattttllllaaaarrrrıııı •••• OOOOPPPPEEEECCCC aaaarrrrzzzz ((((üüüürrrreeeettttiiiimmmm)))) kkkkaaaappppaaaassssiiiitttteeeessssiiii •••• YYYYeeeeddddeeeekkkk üüüürrrreeeettttiiiimmmm ((((ssssppppaaaarrrreeee)))) kkkkaaaappppaaaassssiiiitttteeeessssiiii •••• OOOOPPPPEEEECCCC DDDDıııışşşşıııı aaaarrrrzzzz kkkkaaaappppaaaassssiiiitttteeeessssiiii •••• JJJJeeeeooooppppoooolllliiiittttiiiikkkk oooorrrrttttaaaammmm •••• HHHHaaaavvvvaaaa kkkkooooşşşşuuuullllllllaaaarrrrıııı •••• AAAArrrraaaammmmaaaa----ÜÜÜÜrrrreeeettttiiiimmmm mmmmaaaalllliiiiyyyyeeeettttlllleeeerrrriiii •••• AAAArrrraaaammmmaaaa----ÜÜÜÜrrrreeeettttiiiimmmm YYYYaaaattttıııırrrrıııımmmmllllaaaarrrrıııı •••• TTTTeeeekkkknnnnoooolllloooojjjjiiiikkkk GGGGeeeelllliiiişşşşmmmmeeeelllleeeerrrr •••• SSSSttttooookkkkllllaaaarrrrıııınnnn dddduuuurrrruuuummmmuuuu •••• PPPPeeeettttrrrroooollllüüüünnnn kkkkaaaalllliiiitttteeeessssiiii ((((aaaağğğğıııırrrr----hhhhaaaaffffiiiiffff,,,, kkkküüüükkkküüüürrrrttttllllüüüü----kkkküüüükkkküüüürrrrttttssssüüüüzzzz,,,, vvvvbbbb....)))) http://www.eia.gov/finance/markets/ HHaamm PPeettrrooll FFiiyyaattllaarrıı:: BBaaşşllııccaa EEttkkeennlleerr TTTTaaaalllleeeepppp TTTTaaaarrrraaaaffffıııı •••• •••• OOOOPPPPEEEECCCC aaaarrrrzzzz kkkkaaaappppaaaassssiiiitttteeeessssiiii •••• EEEEkkkkoooonnnnoooommmmiiiikkkk bbbbüüüüyyyyüüüümmmmeeee •••• SSSSaaaannnnaaaayyyyiiii üüüürrrreeeettttiiiimmmmiiii •••• JJJJeeeeooooppppoooolllliiiittttiiiikkkk oooorrrrttttaaaammmm •••• HHHHaaaavvvvaaaa kkkkooooşşşşuuuullllllllaaaarrrrıııı •••• MMMMaaaallll ttttaaaaşşşşıııımmmmaaaaccccııııllllıııığğğğıııı •••• İİİİnnnnssssaaaannnn ttttaaaaşşşşıııımmmmaaaaccccııııllllıııığğğğıııı •••• TTTTüüüükkkkeeeettttiiiicccciiii ddddaaaavvvvrrrraaaannnnıııışşşşllllaaaarrrrıııı •••• VVVVeeeerrrrggggiiiilllleeeerrrr •••• EEEEnnnneeeerrrrjjjjiiii ttttüüüükkkkeeeettttiiiimmmmiiiinnnnddddeeee kkkkuuuullllllllaaaannnnııııllllaaaannnn eeeekkkkiiiippppmmmmaaaannnnllllaaaa iiiillllggggiiiilllliiii tttteeeekkkknnnnoooolllloooojjjjiiiikkkk ggggeeeelllliiiişşşşmmmmeeeelllleeeerrrr http://www.eia.gov/finance/markets/ HHaamm PPeettrrooll FFiiyyaattllaarrıı:: BBaaşşllııccaa EEttkkeennlleerr EEEEkkkkoooonnnnoooommmmiiiikkkk EEEEttttkkkkeeeennnnlllleeeerrrr •••• •••• ÜÜÜÜrrrreeeettttiiiimmmm----TTTTüüüükkkkeeeettttiiiimmmm DDDDeeeennnnggggeeeessssiiii ((((AAAArrrrzzzz----TTTTaaaalllleeeepppp)))) •••• TTTTaaaaşşşşıııımmmmaaaa mmmmaaaalllliiiiyyyyeeeettttlllleeeerrrriiii •••• DDDDiiiiğğğğeeeerrrr yyyyaaaattttıııırrrrıııımmmm mmmmaaaalllliiiiyyyyeeeettttlllleeeerrrriiii •••• YYYYaaaattttıııırrrrıııımmmmllllaaaarrrrddddaaaa ggggeeeecccciiiikkkkmmmmeeee •••• DDDDoooollllaaaarrrrıııınnnn ddddüüüüşşşşüüüükkkk ddddeeeeğğğğeeeerrrrddddeeeekkkkiiii sssseeeeyyyyrrrriiii PPPPoooolllliiiittttiiiikkkk EEEEttttkkkkeeeennnnlllleeeerrrr •••• •••• PPPPiiiiyyyyaaaassssaaaa ddddüüüüzzzzeeeennnnlllleeeemmmmeeeelllleeeerrrriiii ((((YYYYaaaassssaaaallll ddddüüüüzzzzeeeennnnlllleeeemmmmeeeelllleeeerrrr,,,, rrrreeeeggggüüüüllllaaaassssyyyyoooonnnnllllaaaarrrr)))) •••• AAAAmmmmbbbbaaaarrrrggggoooollllaaaarrrr,,,, ssssiiiiyyyyaaaassssiiii rrrriiiisssskkkklllleeeerrrr,,,, iiiişşşşggggaaaallll vvvveeee ççççaaaattttıııışşşşmmmmaaaallllaaaarrrr •••• KKKKaaaarrrrtttteeeelllllllleeeerrrriiiinnnn ppppoooolllliiiittttiiiikkkkaaaallllaaaarrrrıııı ((((OOOOPPPPEEEECCCC,,,, ŞŞŞŞiiiirrrrkkkkeeeettttlllleeeerrrr,,,, vvvvbbbb........)))) •••• VVVVeeeerrrrggggiiiilllleeeerrrr ((((YYYYaaaattttıııırrrrıııımmmm mmmmaaaalllliiiiyyyyeeeettttlllleeeerrrriiiinnnniiii eeeettttkkkkiiiilllleeeeyyyyeeeennnn)))) •••• ÇÇÇÇeeeevvvvrrrreeee kkkkiiiirrrrlllliiiilllliiiiğğğğiiii ddddüüüüzzzzeeeennnnlllleeeemmmmeeeelllleeeerrrriiii •••• YYYYaaaattttıııırrrrıııımmmm yyyyaaaappppııııllllaaaannnn üüüüllllkkkkeeeelllleeeerrrrddddeeeekkkkiiii yyyyaaaattttıııırrrrıııımmmm oooorrrrttttaaaammmmıııı,,,, kkkkooooşşşşuuuullllllllaaaarrrr HHaamm PPeettrrooll FFiiyyaattllaarrıı:: BBaaşşllııccaa EEttkkeennlleerr CCCCooooğğğğrrrraaaaffffiiii eeeettttkkkkeeeennnnlllleeeerrrr •••• •••• RRRReeeezzzzeeeerrrrvvvvlllleeeerrrriiiinnnn hhhhoooommmmoooojjjjeeeennnn oooollllmmmmaaaayyyyaaaannnn ddddaaaağğğğııııllllıııımmmmıııı •••• TTTTaaaannnnkkkkeeeerrrr ((((yyyyaaaa ddddaaaa iiiihhhhrrrraaaaçççç yyyyoooolllluuuu)))) ssssaaaağğğğllllaaaayyyyaaaabbbbiiiillllmmmmeeee oooollllaaaannnnaaaağğğğıııı •••• HHHHaaaavvvvaaaa dddduuuurrrruuuummmmuuuu,,,, mmmmeeeevvvvssssiiiimmmmsssseeeellll eeeettttkkkkeeeennnnlllleeeerrrr,,,, kkkkaaaassssıııırrrrggggaaaallllaaaarrrr •••• DDDDiiiiğğğğeeeerrrr DDDDiiiiğğğğeeeerrrr EEEEttttkkkkeeeennnnlllleeeerrrr •••• •••• ÜÜÜÜrrrrüüüünnnnlllleeeerrrriiiinnnn kkkkaaaalllliiiitttteeeessssiiii,,,, PPPPiiiiyyyyaaaassssaaaannnnıııınnnn tttteeeerrrrcccciiiihhhhlllleeeerrrriiii •••• AAAAlllltttteeeerrrrnnnnaaaattttiiiiffff üüüürrrrüüüünnnnlllleeeerrrriiiinnnn vvvvaaaarrrrllllıııığğğğıııı////yyyyooookkkklllluuuuğğğğuuuu •••• RRRRaaaaffffiiiinnnnaaaajjjj kkkkııııssssııııttttllllaaaammmmaaaallllaaaarrrrıııı;;;; ttttaaaaşşşşıııımmmmaaaa kkkkııııssssııııttttllllaaaammmmaaaallllaaaarrrrıııı////rrrriiiisssskkkklllleeeerrrriiii////aaaarrrrttttaaaannnn mmmmaaaalllliiiiyyyyeeeettttlllleeeerrrriiii •••• PPPPoooolllliiiittttiiiikkkk,,,, jjjjeeeeooooppppoooolllliiiittttiiiikkkk eeeettttkkkkeeeennnnlllleeeerrrr ((((iiiişşşşggggaaaallll,,,, ggggrrrreeeevvvv,,,, llllooookkkkaaaavvvvtttt,,,, vvvvbbbb…………)))) •••• BBBBoooorrrrssssaaaa ssssppppeeeekkkküüüüllllaaaassssyyyyoooonnnnllllaaaarrrrıııı ((((ŞŞŞŞiiiirrrrkkkkeeeettttlllleeeerrrr,,,, aaaallllıııımmmm----ssssaaaattttıııımmmm kkkkuuuurrrruuuulllluuuuşşşşllllaaaarrrrıııı,,,, vvvvbbbb........)))) •••• DDDDiiiiğğğğeeeerrrr PPeettrrooll PPiiyyaassaassıınnıınn BBaaşşllııccaa OOyyuunnccuullaarrıı OOOOPPPPEEEECCCC •••• OOOOPPPPEEEECCCC DDDDıııışşşşıııı ÜÜÜÜrrrreeeettttiiiicccciiiilllleeeerrrr ((((RRRRuuuussssyyyyaaaa FFFF....,,,, MMMMeeeekkkkssssiiiikkkkaaaa,,,, NNNNoooorrrrvvvveeeeçççç,,,, vvvvbbbb........)))) •••• UUUUlllluuuussssllllaaaarrrraaaarrrraaaassssıııı EEEEnnnneeeerrrrjjjjiiii AAAAjjjjaaaannnnssssıııı ((((IIIIEEEEAAAA////OOOOEEEECCCCDDDD)))) •••• SSSSuuuuuuuuddddiiii AAAArrrraaaabbbbiiiissssttttaaaannnn •••• AAAABBBBDDDD •••• RRRRuuuussssyyyyaaaa FFFFeeeeddddeeeerrrraaaassssyyyyoooonnnnuuuu •••• BBBBüüüüyyyyüüüükkkk PPPPeeeettttrrrroooollll ŞŞŞŞiiiirrrrkkkkeeeettttlllleeeerrrriiii •••• UUUUlllluuuussssllllaaaarrrraaaarrrraaaassssıııı BBBBoooorrrrssssaaaallllaaaarrrr ((((NNNNYYYYMMMMEEEEXXXX,,,, IIIIPPPPEEEE,,,, ........)))) •••• FFFFiiiinnnnaaaannnnssss PPPPiiiiyyyyaaaassssaaaallllaaaarrrrıııı//// ““““SSSSaaaavvvvuuuunnnnmmmmaaaa”””” SSSSaaaannnnaaaayyyyiiii •••• UUUUlllluuuussssllllaaaarrrraaaarrrraaaassssıııı yyyyaaaayyyyıııınnnnllllaaaarrrr ((((PPPPllllaaaattttttttssss,,,, BBBBlllloooooooommmmbbbbeeeerrrrgggg,,,, WWWWTTTTRRRRGGGG,,,, ........)))) •••• PPPPeeeettttrrrroooollll AAAAllllıııımmmm SSSSaaaattttıııımmmm ŞŞŞŞiiiirrrrkkkkeeeettttlllleeeerrrriiii •••• DDDDiiiiğğğğeeeerrrr •••• PPeettrrooll ffiiyyaattllaarrıınnıı eettkkiilleeyyeenn jjeeooppoolliittiikk vvee eekkoonnoommiikk oollaayyllaarr 12: OPEC üretim Fiyat ($/varil), 2010$ hedefini 4.2 mmv/g azalttı 1: ABD ek üretim kapasitesi devre dışı 11: Küresel finansal çöküş 2: Arap* Petrol Ambargosu 10: Düşük ek üretim kapasitesi 4: İran-Irak Savaşı 6: Irak Kuveyt’i işgal 55:: SSaauuddiiss aabbaannddoonn sswwiinngg pprroodduucceerr rroollee 9: 11 Eylül saldırıları 8: OPEC üretim hedefini 3: İran Devrimi 7: Asya finansal krizi 1.7 mmv/g azalttı BBaaşşllııccaa PPeettrrooll AArrzzıı KKeessiinnttiilleerrii Süre Olay Milyon varil/gün arz kaybı İİrraann PPeettrrooll ÜÜrreettiimmii ((BBiinn vvaarriill//ggüünn)) 1000 varil/gün İran Devrimi Irak – İran Savaşı

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Enerji fiyatları. • OPEC arz (üretim) kapasitesi. • Yedek üretim ( Rafinaj kısıtlamaları; taşıma 1: ABD ek üretim kapasitesi devre dışı. 2: Arap* Petrol

Petrol Fiyatları – Necdet Pamir PDF

93 Pages·2015·2.76 MB·Turkish

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Enerji fiyatları. • OPEC arz (üretim) kapasitesi. • Yedek üretim ( Rafinaj kısıtlamaları; taşıma 1: ABD ek üretim kapasitesi devre dışı. 2: Arap* Petrol

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Author:	Unknown
Publication Year:	2015
Pages:	93
Language:	Turkish
File Size:	2.76
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