Legacy Communities Scheme Transport Assessment Addendum

889 Pages·2014·44.63 MB·English

Legacy Communities Scheme

Regulation 22 and additional information submission

Transport Assessment Addendum

February 2012

LCS-GLB-ACC-TA-001A | ISSUE | February 2012
J:\218000\218730 OLY LEGACY DETERMINATION\4 INTERNAL PROJECT DATA\4-05 ARUP REPORTS\4-05-02 R22 COMMENTS LOG\DRAFT R22 RESPONSES - STRATEGIC MODEL\LCS-GLB-ACC-TA-001A_V10-ISSUE.DOCX

Olympic Park Legacy Company Legacy Communities Scheme
Transport Assessment

Table of Contents

Page
4.5 Walking Network 105
1 Introduction 1
4.6 Cycling Network 106
1.1 Legacy Communities Scheme Background 1
4.7 Rail Network 108
1.2 District Heat Network Extension Planning Application 2
4.8 Bus and Coach Network 116
1.3 Regulation 22 Response and Additional Information Submission
4.9 Summary 122
(February 2012) 3
1.4 Amendments to the Legacy Communities Scheme 3 5 Scheme Assessment for 2021 123
1.5 Regulation 22 and Additional Information Submission (February 2012)
5.1 Introduction 123
(the "February 2012 Submission") 3
5.2 LCS Expected Development in 2021 123
1.6 Development Phasing 4
5.3 Construction Effects 123
1.7 Revised Description of Development 4
5.4 Venues and Event Spaces 124
1.8 Transport Assessment Addendum 5
5.5 Trip Generation 124
1.9 Additional Information 5
5.6 Freight and Servicing Strategy 126
2 Strategic Overview 24 5.7 Highway Network Effects 127
2.1 Wider Connectivity 24 5.8 Highway Measures Envisaged 133
2.5 Parking Strategy 24 5.9 Walking Network Effects 133
5.10 Walking Measures Envisaged 133
3 Assessment Methodology and Assumption 32
5.11 Cycling Network Effects 134
3.2 Modelling Framework 32 5.12 Cycling Measures Envisaged 134
3.3 Committed Baseline Schemes 50 5.13 Rail Network Effects 135
3.4 Planning Data 52 5.14 Rail Measures Envisaged 140
3.5 Venues and Event Spaces 53 5.15 Bus Network Effects 140
3.6 Trip Generation 56 5.16 Bus Measures Envisaged 141
3.7 Modal Split 58 5.17 Summary of Effects and Measures Envisaged for 2021 145
3.8 Trip Distribution 62
6 Scheme Assessment for 2031 147
3.9 Highway Network Assessment 66
3.10 Walking Network Assessment 69 6.1 Introduction 147
3.11 Cycling Network Assessment 69 6.2 Construction Effects 147
3.12 Rail Network Assessment 70 6.3 Venues and Event Spaces 147
3.13 Bus Network Assessment 70 6.4 Trip Generation 147
3.14 Public Transport Accessibility Levels 70 6.5 Freight and Servicing Strategy 150
3.15 Significance Criteria of Assessment 72 6.6 Highway Network Effects 150
3.16 Summary 73 6.7 Highway Measures Envisaged 165
6.8 Walking Network Effects 166
4 Baseline Conditions 74
6.9 Walking Measures Envisaged 170
4.1 Introduction 74 6.10 Cycling Network Effects 170
4.2 Venues and Event Spaces 74 6.11 Cycling Measures Envisaged 174
4.3 Waterways Network 83 6.12 Rail Network Effects 175
4.4 Highway Network 84 6.13 Rail Measures Envisaged 181
LCS-GLB-ACC-TA-001
Olympic Park Legacy Company Legacy Communities Scheme
Transport Assessment

6.14 Bus Network Effects 182 Table 4.2: Highway Link Flows - Change from Base Year (2008) to 2014 – East West
6.15 Bus Measures Envisaged 182 Screenline
6.16 Summary of Effects and Measures Envisaged for 2031 183 Table 4.3: Highway Link Flows - Change from Base Year (2008) to 2014 – North South
Screenline
7 Travel Plan Framework 186 Table 4.4: Highway Link Flows - Change from 2014 to 2021 – East West Screenline
7.1 Introduction 186 Table 4.5: Highway Link Flows - Change from 2014 to 2021 – North South Screenline
7.2 Sustainable Transport Vision 186 Table 4.6: Highway Link Flows - Change from 2021 to 2031– East West Screenline
7.3 Summary of Approach 186 Table 4.7: Highway Link Flows - Change from 2021 to 2031 – North South Screenline
7.4 Guidance 187 Table 4.8: Network Wide Summary Statistics AM Peak
Table 4.9: Network Wide Summary Statistics PM Peak
8 Sensitivity Tests 188
Table 4.10 RevA: Borough Average Speed Statistics for the AM and PM Peaks
8.1 Introduction 188 Table 4.11 RevA: Change in Saturday flow for 2014, 2021 and 2031 – East West
8.2 Crossrail 188 Screenline
8.3 60,000 Stadium 194 Table 4.12 Rev A: Change in Saturday flow for 2014, 2021 and 2031 – North South
Screenline
8.4 Interim Uses 209
Table 4.13: Network Wide Summary Statistics Saturday
8.5 Olympic Legacy Supplementary Planning Guidance 213
Table 4.14 RevA: Borough Average Speed Statistics for Saturday

Table 4.15: Baseline 2014 Internal Junction Operation
Table 4.16: Baseline 2014 Perimeter Junction Operation
TABLES Table 4.17: Casualty Statistics for four Adjacent Boroughs (1 Jan 2007 -31 Dec 2010)

Table 4.18: Accident Statistics for Perimeter Roads
Table 1.1: Maximum Floorspace for each Use Class within the respective Planning
Table 4.19 RevA: LCS Consented Public Transport Schemes (Assignment model only)
Delivery Zones
Table 4.20 RevA: Baseline Two-Way frequencies at Stratford Regional and International
Table 1.2: Comments and Reference Table
Stations
Table 2.2 RevA: Summary of Borough and London Plan Parking Standards
Table 4.21: Baseline Forecast Growth, 2014, 2021 and 2031
Table 2.3 RevA: Employment car parking requirements
Table 4.22: Baseline Percentage Growth – 2008 to 2014, 2021 and 2031
Table 2.4 RevA: Indicative Residential unit type
Table 4.23.1: Baseline Forecasts, Stratford Cordon Inbound
Table 2.5 RevA: Indicative Overall LCS Residential Car Parking Ratios
Table 4.24 RevA: Changes in Station Flows from 2007 to 2014
Table 2.6 RevA: A1/A2 Maximum Car parking requirements
Table 4.25: Baseline Bus Service Assumptions
Table 2.7 RevA: Leisure car parking requirements
Table 4.26: Bus Services by Corridor 2014 Baseline
Table 2.8 RevA: Culture car parking requirements
Table 4.27: Baseline Scheduled Coach Services
Table 2.9 RevA: Social Infrastructure car parking requirements
Table 4.28: Coach Parking Demand for Events
Table 2.10 RevA: School car parking requirements
Table 5.1 RevA: 2021 Development Schedule – Occupied Land uses (maximum floor
Table 2.11 RevA: Summary of total car parking requirements
space/units)
Table 2.12RevA: Cycle Parking Ratios
Table 5.2: Summary of Total Construction Vehicles for 2021 (all values in PCUs)
Table 2.13 RevA: Estimated office cycle parking requirement
Table 5.3 RevA: 2021 Total Trip Generation by Land use
Table 2.14 RevA: Estimated residential cycle parking requirement
Table 5.4 :2021 Total Person Trip Generation (persons)
Table 2.15 RevA: Estimated A1/A2 retail cycle parking requirement
Table 5.5: 2021 External Public Transport Trip Generation (persons)
Table 2.16 RevA: Estimated education cycle parking requirement
Table 5.6: 2021 External Vehicular Trip Generation (vehicles)
Table 2.17 RevA: Estimated total cycle parking requirement
Table 5.7: 2021 Cycle Trip Generation (persons)
Table 2.18 London Plan Blue Badge Car Parking Standards
Table 5.8: 2021 Walk Trip Generation (persons)
Table 4.1: Pedestrian Route Dimensions for Post Games Transformation Venues and
Table 5.9: 2021 Light Goods Vehicle Trip Generation
Capacities
Table 5.10: 2021 Heavy Goods Vehicle Trip Generation
Table 4.1.1: Highway Assessment Journey Time Routes
Table 5.11 RevA: Comparison of Baseline and With Scheme flows – East west screenline
LCS-GLB-ACC-TA-001A
Olympic Park Legacy Company Legacy Communities Scheme
Transport Assessment

Table 5.12 RevA: Comparison of Baseline and With Scheme flows – North south Table 8.1 RevA: LTS Highway Host Borough Trip End Totals
screenline Table 8.2: LTS Public Transport Host Borough Trip End Totals
Table 5.13 RevA: Comparison of Baseline and With Scheme flows Saturday – East west
Table 8.3 RevA: Public Transport Effects – 2021, Baseline Crossrail Effects
screenline
Table 8.4: Public Transport Effects – 2021 LCS with no Crossrail
Table 5.14 RevA: Comparison of Baseline and With Scheme flows Saturday – North south
Table 8.5 RevA: Change in flow on East West Screenline from 2031 With Scheme to 2031
screenline
With 60k Concert
Table 5.15RevA: Borough Average Speed Statistics Saturday – Baseline and With
Table 8.6 RevA: Change in flow on North South Screenline from 2031 With Scheme to
Scheme 2021
2031 With 60k Concert
Table 5.16 RevA: Comparison of Baseline and With Scheme Summary Statistics Saturday
Table 8.7: Comparison of With Scheme and 60k Concert Venue Summary Statistics
Table 5.17: Public Transport Demand across Stratford Cordon, 2021
Table 8.8 RevA: Comparison of With Scheme and 60k Concert Venue Average Borough
Table 5.18: Comparison of Station Entry/Exit/Interchange Flows for 2021 Speeds
Table 5.19 RevA: Bus Services by Corridor 2021 Table 8.9 RevA: East West Screenline from 2031 With Scheme to 2031 With 60k Stadium
Table 5.20: Summary of Effects at 2021 Football
Table 6.1 RevA: 2031 Revised Scheme Development Schedule - Maximum Floorspace Table 8.10: North South Screenline from 2031 With Scheme to 2031 With 60k Stadium
Table 6.2 RevA: 2031 Total Trip Generation by Land Use (persons) Football
Table 6.3 RevA: 2031 Total Trip Generation by Delivery Zone (persons) Table 8.11 RevA: Comparison of With Scheme and 60k Stadium Test Summary Statistics
for Saturday Football
Table 6.4 RevA: 2031 External Public Transport Trip Generation (persons)
Table 8.12 RevA: Comparison of With Scheme and 60k Stadium Test Average Borough
Table 6.5 RevA: 2031 External Vehicular Trip Generation (vehicles)
Speeds for Saturday Football
Table 6.6 RevA: 2031 Cycling Trip Generation by Delivery Zone (persons)
Table 8.13: Stratford Cordon Flows with 60k Stadium Weekday PM Peak
Table 6.7 RevA: 2031 Walking Trip Generation by Delivery Zone (persons)
Table 8.14: Venue Coach Parking Comparison
Table 6.8 RevA: Comparison of Baseline and With Scheme flows – East west screenline
Table 8.15: 2021 Interim GFA Assumptions
Table 6.9 RevA: Comparison of Baseline and With Scheme flows – North south screenline
Table 8.16: 2021 Interim non event based trip generation
Table 6.10 Rev A: Borough Average Speed Statistics AM & PM – Baseline and With
Table 8.17 RevA: Assessment of Interim Use Effects
Scheme 2031
Table 8.18 RevA: Comparison of With Scheme and OLSPG flows – East west screenline
Table 6.11: Comparison of Baseline and With Scheme Summary Statistics
Table 8.19 RevA: Comparison of With Scheme flows and OLSPG flows – North south
Table 6.12 RevA: Comparison of Baseline and With Scheme flows Saturday – East West
screenline
screenline

Table 6.13: Comparison of Baseline and With Scheme flows Saturday – North South

screenline
FIGURES
Table 6.14: Borough Average Speed Statistics Saturday – Baseline and With Scheme

2031
Figure 1.1: LCS Planning Application Boundary
Table 6.15: Comparison of Baseline and With Scheme Summary Statistics Saturday
Figure 1.2: District Heat Network Extension Planning Application Boundary
Table 6.16 RevA: With Scheme 2031 Internal Junction Operation Compared to 2014
Figure 3.3: ELHAM P1 Screenlines
Baseline Operation
Figure 3.4: ELHAM AM Count Validation
Table 6.17 RevA: With Scheme 2031 Perimeter Junction Operation Compared to 2014
Figure 3.5: ELHAM PM Count Validation
Table 6.18: With Scheme 2031 Internal Junction Operation Compared to 2031 Without
Scheme Operation Figure 3.6: Journey Time Validation Routes (TGX LMVR)
Table 6.19 RevA: With Scheme 2031 Perimeter Junction Operation Compared to 2031 Figure 3.7 RevA: ELHAM P2 Screenline Locations
Without Scheme Operation Figure 3.8: Regional Railplan Public Transport Model & Zoning
Table 6.20.1: Stratford Cordon Inbound, 2031 Figure 3.9: Regional Railplan – Stratford Cordon
Table 6.21.2: Stratford Cordon Outbound, 2031 Figure 3.10: Rev A: Base Year AM Crowding – London Underground
Table 6.22 RevA: Comparison of Station Entry/Exit/Interchange Flows for 2031 (3 Hour Figure 3.11: Rev A: Base Year AM Crowding – National Rail
Flows) Figure 3.12: Rev A: Base Year PM Crowding – London Underground
Table 6.23 RevA: Gateline Operation at Stratford Regional Station Figure 3.13: Rev A: Base Year PM Crowding – National Rail
Table 6.24: Summary of Effects at 2031 Figure 3.14: Committed Highway Schemes
LCS-GLB-ACC-TA-001A
Olympic Park Legacy Company Legacy Communities Scheme
Transport Assessment

Figure 3.15: SHLAA & DADs Site Locations Figure 4.35 RevA: Crowding Plots National Rail - 2031 Baseline - PM
Figure 3.16: Retained Venue Locations & Programmable Space Figure 4.36: Transformation Bus Routes and Stop Locations
Figure 3.17: Internal Junctions Figure 4.37: Transformation Bus Route Spider Diagram
Figure 3.18: Perimeter Junctions Figure 4.38: 2014 Transformation PTAL
Figure 3.19: Links identified for Assessment Figure 5.1: Highway Model Baseline 2021 and With Scheme 2021 Difference Plot - AM
Figure 4.1: Venues and Event Spaces Peak
Figure 5.2: Highway Model Baseline 2021 and With Scheme 2021 Difference Plot - PM
Figure 4.2: Venues - Main Stadium Access Routes
Peak
Figure 4.3: Venues - Aquatics Access Routes
Figure 5.3: Highway Model Baseline 2021 and With Scheme 2021 Difference Plot -
Figure 4.4: Venues – Multi-Use Arena Access Routes
Saturday Peak
Figure 4.5: Venues - VeloPark Access Routes
Figure 5.4 RevA: Off Site Junction Identification 2021
Figure 4.6: Venues – Eton Manor Access Routes
Figure 5.5 Rev A: Public Transport Baseline 2021 and With Scheme 2021 Difference Plot -
Figure 4.6.1: Baseline Weekday Peak 5 minute pedestrian flows
AM
Figure 4.6.2: Baseline Weekend Peak 5 minute pedestrian flows
Figure 5.6 Rev A: Public Transport Baseline 2021 and With Scheme 2021 Difference Plot -
Figure 4.6.3: Baseline Summary Peak 5 minute pedestrian flows PM
Figure 4.7: Baseline Waterways Network Figure 5.7 RevA: AM Crowding Plots LUL - 2021 With Scheme
Figure 4.8: PGT Highway Network indicating road hierarchy Figure 5.8 RevA: AM Crowding Plots NR - 2021 With Scheme
Figure 4.9 RevA: Highway Model Screenlines Figure 5.9 RevA: PM Crowding Plots LUL - 2021 With Scheme
Figure 4.9.1: Highway Assessment Journey Time Routes Figure 5.10 RevA: PM Crowding Plots NR - 2021 With Scheme
Figure 4.10: Flow Difference Plot - 2008 to 2014 – AM Peak Figure 5.11: Phase 2 Bus Routes and Stop Locations
Figure 4.11: Flow Difference Plot - 2008 to 2014 – PM Peak Figure 5.12: Phase 2 Bus Route Spider Diagram
Figure 4.12: Flow Difference Plot - 2014 to 2021 – AM Peak Figure 5.13: Public Transport Accessibility Levels in 2021
Figure 4.13: Flow Difference Plot - 2014 to 2021 – PM Peak Figure 6.1: AM Flow Difference 2031 BL to 2031 WS
Figure 4.14: Flow Difference Plot - 2021 to 2031 – AM Peak Figure 6.2: PM Flow Difference 2031 BL to 2031 WS
Figure 4.15: Flow Difference Plot – 2021 to 2031 – PM Peak Figure 6.3: Saturday Flow Difference 2031 BL to 2031 WS
Figure 4.16: Flow Difference Plot - 2008 to 2014 – Saturday Peak Figure 6.7 RevA: Off Site Junction Identification 2031
Figure 4.17: Flow Difference Plot – 2014 to 2021 – Saturday Peak Figure 6.8: Proposed LCS Walking Routes 2031
Figure 4.18: Flow Difference Plot – 2021 to 2031 – Saturday Peak Figure 6.8.1 Walk Isochrones with Temple Mills Link
Figure 4.19: Personal Injury Accidents (1st January 2007 and 31 December 2010) Figure 6.9: Proposed LCS Cycling Routes 2031
Figure 4.20: Baseline Walking Network Figure 6.10 Rev A: AM Flow Difference 2031 BL to 2031 WS
Figure 4.21: Baseline Permissive Paths Figure 6.11 Rev A: PM Flow Difference 2031 BL to 2031 WS
Figure 4.22: Baseline Cycle Network Design Figure 6.12 RevA: Morning Peak Period Crowding Plots LUL - 2031 With Scheme
Figure 4.23: Baseline Cycle Network Hierarchy and Phase 2 Cycle Hire Figure 6.13 RevA: Morning Peak Period Crowding Plots NR - 2031 With Scheme
Figure 4.24 RevA: Base Morning Peak Period Flows Figure 6.14 RevA: Evening Peak Period Crowding Plots LUL - 2031 With Scheme
Figure 4.25 RevA: Base Evening Peak Period Flows Figure 6.15 RevA: Evening Peak Period Crowding Plots NR - 2031 With Scheme
Figure 4.26 RevA: AM-difference plot - Base to 2014 Baseline Figure 8. 1 RevA: LUL - Morning Peak Period Crowding Plots - 2021 Baseline - No
Figure 4.27 RevA: PM-difference plot - Base to 2014 Baseline Crossrail
Figure 4.28 RevA: AM-difference plot - 2014 to 2021 Baseline Figure 8. 2 RevA: LUL - Evening Peak Period Crowding Plots - 2021 Baseline - No
Crossrail
Figure 4.29 RevA: PM-difference plot - 2014 to 2021 Baseline
Figure 8. 3 RevA: LUL - Morning Peak Period Crowding Plots - 2021 With Scheme - No
Figure 4.30 RevA: AM-difference plot - 2021 to 2031 Baseline
Crossrail
Figure 4.31 RevA: PM-difference plot - 2021 to 2031 Baseline
Figure 8. 4 RevA: LUL - Evening Peak Period Crowding Plots - 2021 With Scheme - No
Figure 4.32 RevA: Crowding Plots LUL - 2031 Baseline- AM
Crossrail
Figure 4.33 RevA: Crowding Plots LUL - 2031 Baseline - PM
Figure 4.34 RevA: Crowding Plots National Rail - 2031 Baseline- AM
LCS-GLB-ACC-TA-001A
Olympic Park Legacy Company Legacy Communities Scheme
Transport Assessment

Figure 8. 5 RevA: NR - Morning Peak Period Crowding Plots - 2021 Baseline - No
Crossrail
Figure 8. 6 RevA: NR - Evening Peak Period Crowding Plots - 2021 Baseline - No
Crossrail
Figure 8. 7 RevA: NR - Morning Peak Period Crowding Plots - 2021 With Scheme - No
Crossrail
Figure 8. 8 RevA: NR - Evening Peak Period Crowding Plots - 2021 With Scheme - No
Crossrail
Figure 8. 9 RevA: Highway With Scheme and 60k seat Concert 2031 Difference Plot -
Evening Peak Period
Figure 8. 10 RevA: Public Transport With Scheme and 60,000 seat Concert 2021
Difference Plot - Evening Peak Period
Figure 8. 11 Rev A: Public Transport With Scheme and 60,000 seat Concert 2031
Difference Plot - Evening Peak Period
Figure 8. 12 RevA: LUL - Evening Peak Period Crowding Plots – 2021 - 60,000 seat
Concert
Figure 8. 13 RevA: NR - Evening Peak Period Crowding Plots – 2021 - 60,000 seat
Concert
Figure 8. 14 RevA: LUL - Evening Peak Period Crowding Plots – 2031 - 60,000 seat
Concert
Figure 8. 15 RevA: NR - Evening Peak Period Crowding Plots – 2031 - 60,000 seat
Concert
Figure 8.16 RevA : Maximum peak 5 minute volumes: Saturday Football Match
Figure 8.17 Rev A: Maximum peak 5 minute volumes: Weekday Concert
Figure 8.18 RevA: OL SPG Development Sites
Figure 8.19 RevA: SPG Highway Difference Plot – 2031 AM Peak Hour
Figure 8.20 RevA: SPG Highway Difference Plot – 2031 PM Peak Hour
Figure 8.21 RevA: SPG Public Transport Difference Plot – 2031 AM Peak Period
Figure 8.22 RevA: SPG Public Transport Difference Plot – 2031 PM Peak Period
Figure 8.23 RevA: Morning Peak Period Crowding Plots LUL - 2031 With Scheme &
OLSPG
Figure 8.24 RevA: Evening Peak Period Crowding Plots LUL - 2031 With Scheme &
OLSPG
Figure 8.25 RevA: Morning Peak Period Crowding Plots NR - 2031 With Scheme &
OLSPG
Figure 8.26 RevA: Evening Peak Period Crowding Plots NR - 2031 With Scheme &
OLSPG

LCS-GLB-ACC-TA-001A