Table Of Contentskranrnat kitsitatS O2 rabotko B9i
ledoM neppuro hm/A.L
nDittnemukQD F-a nIiF- KNILMADA
L retnemelE nios laks sednevna dev ne nnin/\irksmerf lit .KNIL
taD tsdis etdnevna tnemele lit qninvi-r:lsnrerF- Fa enegoake
elbairav rennad aldnurg ro+ ned eyn irksmer gninv roF
tekkiibejq rs tad tsdis etdnevna tnsmslasniretadpo
(U\JIL*MADA 68703:E/ENEGOSKE
retfE on.irstadpo fa ed eneqoske elbairav sarevkeske
le tetnems
.:::INJLMADA FOTS/MIS
rtN nslsrE::dnurq re àp sdalp i ned elleicif-fo MADA noisrev
laks ned sessaplit nenoisrev-KNIL f-a MADA neslennaD +s -KNIL
isrev neno dam it ednsrhl knabatad-PST re teverkseb i FLN±AL
.S1E92 neQninsapliT f-a ed eneoske elbairav ses dev ta
engilnemnra snrstnemele
.KNILMADA bS7:e:)l/EE6oSKE
QQ
MAEA IL .KIN L/ENEGOSKE i :'
rN tetnemele KNIL/ENEGOSKÆKNIL i ,nedro serevkeske
le tnama ta
DA MA IL :::\I S I M
neD erediv nart noitanrr fa atad ràmerf F-a- PLN+_[ iø92 68,
neD etsene leksrof- i iohro+ d .it 1 etted ipe r re ta iv un rednes
atad it i KNIL aiv temetsys-TENTIB/NRE nednI 4atad i nel
sednesF-e .laks atad sesserp nemmas .ed TENT:]B/NRE
lk era la el ed io:i renno mos ne iamron f-H-iNUF ± i sennad dem ràN
etted re trodc sednes reliF- dem f - ednegle odnancmok
nr.eerwbibukr li+ .ie0 SLRDNNE:]KNÏL,
lelif re'\ina tenvan àp ted tnemele rovh etad re )tme' eD
temetsys-TENT1B/NRÂE undne ekki re leh t ird F -trekkiet reb nam
edeb mo ne gnirettivk roF- neslenatdom f-a neii+ resleleddeM lit
so arf- TENTIB/NRE iiv eooil i neii
KUD
tedlohdnI i enned ii-f- nek sesel dem nerdro
lnreedrbib::tLr li+ ie
deM enned erdro liv ilohdn ted i :kuosNR leic s lb evi teverks
du p nemræks sled evilb tmeg i tetneme1e ,ielif -TENr-ID/NRcE
temetsys re eremrn teverkseb i tyn-UKCUR rn 34i go 54i
tE etsdis tnemele iv liv elatmo reh re
etteD marQorp rennad elle ed qelb.eirav mos sednevna i serov
tuo-dnah lit evles ,tedem-KNIL
2 inraG a irksnrar+KNIL in'\ reon
moS te i da i serov iv+a len esylanases semmen ella elman -KNIL
-ninvirksm:f. roF ta eroq nenirgai as cillib mos ti.ium
semnrac nuk enretnemele lit niretaIco fa ed eneoske elbeirav
ireD etnaveler knabatoddnurc laks sedalas seseldni ar{ dnab
rofnedeN f l req ne atsil revo ratnemelestqniratadpo tmas ed
lit ednerh reknabatad
i_ I invirksmerFkn on raunaj 589i
IL .:' 2/ENEGOSKE 58101 KBMDr rp J na 5991
icninvirksmerf-kniL inuj 589L:
ss0si/Ei\iEsos:kÆKNIL ::*tMD .rp jam 5891
QninvirksmerfkniL raunaj B91:
IL ,KN /ENEGDSKE 681001 ::;IBND .- 6891
ninvirksmarf:IniL inuj 6891
KNIL cB7030/ENEBOS:::FE :FBIND rp jam 6891
ardn le retname fa esseretni
revodU enretnenre.]e lit ragninvirksnrerf-kniL redlohedni
KNIL*MÅD ne ek::er retnemele lit ningereh ILD noitatneserp fc
lpitlum-DGEO rerotaki es( tve Å_I±HKM ,81 )58.30 essiD retnemele
,
rah enanvsn
,KI\IIL 'iDCEO te rella tedna isrev nvansno
L KNI /8ÎTDCED te' lle re tedna israv "nvansno
skramnaD kitsitatS 9 rebotko B9l
ledoM neppur hm/ÅL
reli-ebaT lit ,NADÅ li-rpa .6891
I etted ripap sevig ne trok noitatnemukod f-a temetsyslabat
lit lirpa 89i temetcysiebaT -rekked undne ekki ned f - miam
is lia e led a nelledom tmas ed ceps IdI s irevegnagrevo iba a lem
mel dekramerav go + i dnan le el redekram enneD legnam lyks ced
tsref go ,tsemmerf- ta ted ekki re tiah taraikf-a tdivrovh NÂDNIF
laks gdni mos iadoms.]atravk relle mo ned laks ssyjrksnro lit
ne ledomsrà
deV negnagrevo iiL McDÅ lirpa 89i ra anrellebat tevelb -mo
teresinagro ne lah .lad roF tad etsrøf re negie+e:I:Ierlabat -dne
ster go rof- ted tedna ra negningybpoiudom teffaksfa lit ledroF-
rof ne .gnirgal rovh revh lebat røgdu te tnemele i nelif-nrargorp
reS iv tsre ap neglef-ak::.!erlebat rãgmerF- ned elmag os eyn
lebat ira-remmun gn f-a edneàtenaden isrevo tg
RELLEBAT
.lg .rnlebat tyn .rnlebat
4-1 lebaistgisrevO rel 4-1
71-21 tavirP gurbrof 01-5
52-91 03-92. tsevnI regni 02-11
13 giltneffO gurbrof 12
25,94,93-23 tropskE go tropmi 13-22
11-9 ,04, 69 recnalaB go rebergebtsmokdni 83-23
65-35 feokseB t legi es 24-93
36-75 noitkudorP go tetivitkudorp 94-34
76-46 rprotkeS ires 35-05
turB rotkafot ,tsmokdni nu1
,67-86 031 go ditsdjebra 36-45
041-131,601-79 rettakS go regnire-fsnart 58-46
211,81 relugeR irpsgn ilats 78-68
59-77 lehatsvrevhrE re1 601-88
82-62 etledrofsvrevhrE regniretsevni -701 901
84-14 ke-CTIS trops rellebat 711-011
delsgniretsuJ go rerotkafsnoitkerrok
.811-311,111-901 .rdev -.ffO go tavirp ,gurbrof
15-05 ,regniretsevni tropske tmas tropmi 821-811
egirvØ delsgniretsuj go -snoitkerrok
141,921-911 rerotkaf 141-921
561-241 tuptuo-tupnI retneiciffeok 561-241
371-661 delsgniretsuJ ,rdev o-i retneiciffeok 371-661
2
dU revo ireremmunmo gn Fe .]ebat ienro ro red temmok te rap eyn
relie::ezi ...]it teD rejerd qis mo ne iebetsicniretsevnin.ilob tmas
ne lebatsmørtsetner sedeleiL re tedlohdni i + erol +e lebat enol
Ler]cne tegon mos olof fc negnagrevo .].it MDA lirpa OéB9.i
I ted eyn metsysiebat re red .sgo tedelg elgon rellebat ..du
teD rejerd gis mo enrellobet dem tvitanretla 0rsisabsirp -gaB
nednurg rof- ta ottorks med re ta ed ek::li rah tekriv nedis iv
:lig revo lit ta erolumis nelledom i ..SSAN
I ted elmag meLsyslebet rav od ..cc )&1 rellebat tledpo i 9
..reludom etteD metsysludom re tleh .tevigpo I tedets reggil rovh
lebat i te tnemele i .nei+margorp ..BATMADA
leber ..rn i reggil sedels rednu tenvan ..i/BRFA..BAT*MADA
ledroF ne dev enned gnirerutkurtsmo -re ta ted re eremmen
ekkulp lekne et rellebat du i ted inrag e metsys rav nam tegnuvt
lit ta etnìrp tsdnim 51 rellebat ..du sedelegiL nak ned eLlkne
regurb tel .iccd org no lebat rutkurts mos poten ressap lit
sedneh/snah .,voheb
I eslednibrof dem ned eyn edmsqnirgal re red tereurtsnok no
eniturbus--STC mos nak elmas egiirkliv rellebat relie/go -lebat
.reg neniturbuS keoke serov dev :nerdro
LLAC ..BAT*MADA LMAS/DUB
,i:F edneg i e11 lepmeske rerertsulli nadrovh nenitur :rekriv
.
gatnA iv reksnø ta elmas enrellebet 4-1 go S-ø5 i te --lebat
tnemele edef( repyt revigna snoregurb )ravs
LLAC ..{EATMÂ)IA LMAS/SUS
*K GNILMAS FA RELLEBAT-MADA *
VÏGI\lA ETSRF :REMMUNLEBAT ) i
VIGNA ETSDIS :REMMUNLEBAT .::: 4
BE:::ISNS ERELF RELLEBAT I TETNEMELE RAVS J RELLE :N > J
VIGNA ETSRGF :REMMJU.'ILEBÅT > )E5
VIGNA ETSDIS :REMMUNLEBAT >: 35
SEKSNG ERELF RELLEBAT I TETNEMELE RAVS J RELLE :N N
I TEKLIVH TNEMELE LAKS ENRELLEBAT :SEMMEG ER..FPT
TGIDR-F EDJEBRA ENRELLEBAT RE TMEG :Ï ER..$FPT :*
skramnaD kitsitatS ,.B reboto B9.J
ladoM neppurg
1artneC -retneme1 i n1j+ ..TBETNAD
lE nvantnema
nrarrF lit eslennad f-a atad rof- elbairavlabat lit
1MDç lirpa 89i: i ,,BSN temmarorF re te vitanretla
.I:it nesÏennad fa knablehat i ,.RST neledroF dev
temmarporp ,re ta tad re 1 tna llib i areQ itruh erap
po eremmen iU napme ra ta tencmarporp nuk nak ennad
eibeiravlebat apablit lit 779i
ER repateroF leer laud kcehc p neknab--SBN NKB8RFMÅD
tenrmarporF laks serøk retf-e ed alla
lebat nav iha e lle sra liv esivdu eksimonortsa f -je I
TSIHNIS reaateroF ::isirotsih noitalumis àp ne<inab-SSN
.NKB68R'FÂK1NÅD I nenoitalum±s re nennøl -oska
,teresinap mosepil enre-ER:<1 re tes lit
ERK 2O
=
EF::: L: B--3,. =
enres1egivF- sevirksdu i S"NÅDI lebatstQisrevo
DNURG marporF mos rennad lesrakdnurq rof- nedoirep 4S-GB91
nalsrø::ldnurG sevir:sdu i neknabatadesaN
i nelsrdnLrp re nennøl -oske
taresine inoseiL: enreAER< re tas lit ed emmas
reidrav mos i tetnemele TSIHMIS rof-nevo nednI
nelsrøk sevi:rks du I KBG8R'FMÅD settas ---epnapdu
enennøks rof- enresirptropske iL: lesrakdnur --s
id'Ie/\ anre qo red i idn sauqa leatnadrednats res
ednerørdev reteticitsalesirptropska o rutkurtsGal
es( ,.tve tetonsdjebr rn ,81 edis )33 eredivdnE
incok .res tEd 1antnrm:: E id esrev
nkSSPadU rof eiiEisnnif reqnindioheb setts 'i1
.I:e-r:dnÅ.ri.c idrEvE enre
LUM mricorF iiL 3çnirerenelc F- ed 8RF rerotkiipiL1unr
re teretnesrp .i PL Y3 C temnrirorF ri]
KBG6BFFA*iN4D mos i btupn kna
ekremnaD kitsitatS 6 rebotko i.B9i
neppurcledoM hb/JL
kcD llUL l ft it n f-a n1if- ..48RPTIDE*MADA
lE tneme nvan
eniutrhusSTC mos relmas ned elartnec ,INDÇ lkni
L\rÅDNIF tetnemelE reviq ciditmas ne -netroFsdlohdni
.]en es revo sMD .]udom re
BTMÂDÅ ,eniturbus-STD mos .]mas re sMÂDr lebat il inc reicn
YL(I\IÅ ES marqor'F .it 1 lsnrmstseh e f-a --eyn qo du ede nav ibs e
roF- 2 la tanret evi ledom noisrev re tsmmaror'F -:ert'
1'rek stetnemetrapedteodub lana metsysesy
DI3}DB ,ESYLÅ1i launaM lit etted msrorp sedniF- soh
.c
inkedU nev .]udom enre .]it ,]artnec ledom lebat .]edom o
retnemele lit inereb n F-a ih eksirots deltser
1Dhedn[: red no+ j Ihc te:fki nuk ledsdekrsmerav ne f-a
MADA
BUS/TRNE6 jti.inbus-STC en mos rennad ed idnevdn eic rerdro-rneq
j1 i .inereb gn F-a inavlebat ibs e
rennaD lebat knab nak +vles( l leic i f- serk
+e ret bus/trneic re 0terevkeske
msntcorP mos renereb eksirotsih itser dc .]ohednI red
roF- ,]he .tekki nuk ne.]ædsdekremersv F-s ,MID
tsmmsnorF ns::.I ser::.F .i 2 revaicdu I i evsqdu :I
dem :4eludom
TSER/TROPMI
ttteD ludom rr1cercb iLeer dc ednereve it .J ed itse -em
eder ,renoitaiert-vopmi
i .2 evdu ser::J dem Ïudom enre
j jrlfe/fen
irncç/tro'::cm[:
nroc rcnqcreh itser dc i dr it enreno roF- ed eneqcrdne
o--1 retneici++eok oo litred ednerevs deltser rof
.renoitclertropnr.i: eD edcnQereb deltser rof- -tropmi
en-renoiteler re od ne:irevh ipuf relle ksif rofrovh
q
nvaodu re dradnets i .tenrmarorp
T/VEL--O-I reoninjciL lit ninqereb fa o-i recnarevel i rk
deV renirdne i quacvinsgnireerqa re ted Qod
ledyteb i t erettel ta elfurb enremmarcorp
NoIssÅFsTeLBKo:I: TSILNOISSFBIDOI
relpmeskE o neslednevna fa essid remmarQorp if- edn
i enretnemele
:JMD( ,o : NcD/L1LN INÅDIf .O IRM-NiD/LUNO
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Description:ker'1 budoetdepartementets anal ysesystem. BD}3ID. i1ÅLYSE,. Manual til .. vmou]. d not be determi, ned by ci 'nul at. i on. ,. Hors have chosen tot ce]. stochastic forecasts, where the residuals ara drawn from a multivariata.
