Financial Econometrics: Models and Methods

557 Pages·2019·23.812 MB·English

by  Oliver Linton

Financial Econometrics
Models and Methods
This is a thorough exploration of the models and methods of financial econometrics by one
of the world’s leading financial econometricians and is for students in economics, finance,
statistics,mathematics,andengineeringwhoareinterestedinfinancialapplications.
Basedoncoursestaughtaroundtheworld,theup-to-datecontentcoversdevelopmentsin
econometricsandfinanceoverthepasttwentyyearswhileensuringasolidgroundinginthe
fundamentalprinciplesofthefield.
Care has been taken to link theory and application to provide real-world context for
students, worked exercises and empirical examples have also been included to make sure
complicatedconceptsaresolidlyexplainedandunderstood.
OLIVERLINTONisafellowofTrinityCollegeandisProfessorofPoliticalEconomyatCam-
bridgeUniversity.Formerly,ProfessorofEconometricsattheLondonSchoolofEconomics
andProfessorofEconomicsatYaleUniversity.HeobtainedhisPhDinEconomicsfromthe
UniversityofCaliforniaatBerkeleyin1991.Hehaswrittenmorethanahundredarticleson
econometrics, statistics, and empirical finance. In 2015 he was a recipient of the Humboldt
ResearchAwardoftheAlexandervonHumboldtFoundation.HehasbeenaCo-editoratthe
JournalofEconometricssince2014.HeisaFellowof:theEconometricSociety,theInstitute
ofMathematicalStatistics,theSocietyforFinancialEconometrics,theBritishAcademy,and
theInternationalFoundationofAppliedEconometrics.HewasaleadexpertintheU.K.Gov-
ernmentOfficeforScienceForesightproject:“ThefutureofComputerTradinginFinancial
Markets”,whichpublishedin2012.HehasappearedasanexpertwitnessfortheFSAandthe
FCAinseveralcasesinvolvingmarketmanipulation.

Financial Econometrics
Models and Methods
OLIVER LINTON
University of Cambridge
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www.cambridge.org
Informationonthistitle:www.cambridge.org/9781107177154
DOI:10.1017/9781316819302
©OliverLinton2019
Thispublicationisincopyright.Subjecttostatutoryexception
andtotheprovisionsofrelevantcollectivelicensingagreements,
noreproductionofanypartmaytakeplacewithoutthewritten
permissionofCambridgeUniversityPress.
Firstpublished2019
PrintedintheUnitedKingdombyTJInternationalLtd,PadstowCornwall
AcataloguerecordforthispublicationisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary.
ISBN978-1-107-17715-4Hardback
ISBN978-1-316-63033-4Paperback
Additionalresourcesforthispublicationatwww.cambridge.org/linton
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accurateorappropriate.
To my wife, Jianghong Song.

Short Contents
ListofFigures page xv
ListofTables xix
Preface xxi
Acknowledgments xxv
NotationandConventions xxvii
1 Introduction and Background 1
2 Econometric Background 55
3 Return Predictability and the Efficient Markets Hypothesis 75
4 Robust Tests and Tests of Nonlinear Predictability of Returns 134
5 Empirical Market Microstructure 152
6 Event Study Analysis 201
7 Portfolio Choice and Testing the Capital Asset Pricing Model 238
8 Multifactor Pricing Models 279
9 Present Value Relations 314
10 Intertemporal Equilibrium Pricing 337
11 Volatility 358
12 Continuous Time Processes 422
13 Yield Curve 463
14 Risk Management and Tail Estimation 476
15 Exercises and Complements 497
16 Appendix 524
Bibliography 533
Index 553
vii