Fateful Transitions: How Democracies Manage Rising Powers, from the Eve of World War I to China's Ascendance

246 Pages·2014·3.417 MB·English

by  Daniel M. Kliman

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Fateful Transitions
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FateFul transitions
How Democracies Manage Rising Powers,
from the Eve of World War I to China’s Ascendance
Daniel M. Kliman
University of Pennsylvania Press
PhilaDelPhia
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A volume in the Haney Foundation Series, established in 1961 with the
generous support of Dr. John Louis Haney
Copyright © 2015 University of Pennsylvania Press
All rights reserved. Except for brief quotations used
for purposes of review or scholarly citation, none of this
book may be reproduced in any form by any means without
written permission from the publisher.
Published by
University of Pennsylvania Press
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104-4112
Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Kliman, Daniel M.
Fateful transitions : how democracies manage rising powers, from the eve
of World War I to China’s ascendance / Daniel M. Kliman. — 1st ed.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index
ISBN 978-0-8122-4653-7 (hardcover : alk. paper)
1. International relations. 2. International relations—Case studies. 3. Security,
International. 4. Security, International—Case studies. 5. Great Powers. 6. Great
Powers—Case studies.
JZ1242 .K59 2014
327.09'04 2014012349
Contents
List of Abbreviations vii
Chapter 1: Fateful Transitions 1
Chapter 2: Power Shifts and Strategy 17
Chapter 3: Pax Britannica Eclipsed 32
Chapter 4: Germany Resurgent 59
Chapter 5: Red Star Rising 80
Chapter 6: Emerging Superpower 99
Chapter 7: Neighboring Titan 119
Chapter 8: Implications for the Twenty-First Century 139
Appendix 1: Omitted Cases 151
Appendix 2: Coding Checks and Balances 154
Appendix 3: Measuring Freedom of the Press 155
Notes 165
Bibliography 205
Index 227
Acknowledgments 235
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Abbreviations
ASAT Anti-Satellite
ASEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations
DPJ Democratic Party of Japan
EEZ Exclusive Economic Zone
G-20 Group of 20
GDP Gross Domestic Product
IMF International Monetary Fund
JMSDF Japan Maritime Self-Defense Forces
JSDF Japan Self-Defense Forces
LDP Liberal Democratic Party
MFA Ministry of Foreign Affairs (China)
MMCA Military Maritime Consultative Agreement
MTCR Missile Technology Control Regime
NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization
NIC National Intelligence Council
PLA People’s Liberation Army
QDR Quadrennial Defense Review
R&D Research and Development
RAF Royal Air Force
SED Strategic Economic Dialogue
S&ED Strategic and Economic Dialogue
S&T Science and Technology
UN United Nations
USSR Union of Soviet Socialist Republics
WTO World Trade Organization
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