Missile Defences and Asian-Pacific Security

234 Pages·1989·22.724 MB·English

by  Michael J. Mazarr (auth.)

MISSILE DEFENCES AND ASIAN-PACIFIC
SECURITY
Also by Michael J. Mazarr
SEMPER FIDEL: American Diplomacy and Cuba,
1776-1988
Missile Defences and
Asian-Pacific Security
Michael J. Mazarr
Research Analyst in International Security Studies, Center for Strategic
and International Studies, Washington, DC
Palgrave Macmillan UK
ISBN 978-1-349-10578-6 ISBN 978-1-349-10576-2 (eBook)
DOI 10.1007/978-1-349-10576-2
© Michael J. Mazarr 1989
Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 1989 978-0-333-48228-5
All rights reserved. For information, write:
Scholarly and Reference Division,
St. Martin's Press, Inc., 175 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10010
First published in the United States of America in 1989
ISBN 978-0-312-02775-9
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Mazarr, Michael J., 1965-
Missile defences and Asian-Pacific security I Michael J. Mazarr.
p. em.
Bibliography: p.
Includes index.
ISBN 978-0-312-02775-9
I. East Asia-National security. 2. Pacific Area-National
security. 3. Strategic Defense Initiative. 4. Ballistic missile
defenses-Soviet Union. 5. Anti-tactical ballistic missiles.
I. Title.
UA830.M378 1989
358' .1754-dcl9
88-7805
CIP
To Pamela
Contents
List of Tables viii
Acknowledgements
IX
List of Abbreviations
X
Map: The Asian-Pacific Region xii
PART I AN INTRODUCTION TO THE MISSILE
DEFENCE DEBATE
1 Missile Defences: The Issues 3
2 Far Eastern Regional Survey 17
3 Soviet Presence in the Far East 33
4 The European Dimension: Comparisons and Contrasts
with Asia 46
5 Soviet Military Doctrine: Strategic and Tactical
Implications for Missile Defence 63
PART II MISSILE DEFENCES AND ASIA - SPECIFIC
COUNTRY ANALYSES
6 Missile Defences and Japanese Security 83
7 The Dragon and the Shield: Missile Defences and the
People's Republic of China 106
8 Regional Superpower Equations 138
9 The Troubled Alliance: The SDI and ANZUS 154
10 Other Regional Actors 167
PART III CONCLUSIONS
11 Conclusions 185
Notes 193
Select Bibliography 212
Index 223
Vll
List of Tables
3.1 US and Soviet Naval Forces in the Pacific 40
3.2 Naval and air forces of other regional actors 40
3.3 Regional nuclear forces 41
3.4 Nuclear weapons at sea 42
7.1 Chinese strategic forces 111
viii
Acknowledgements
The author is greatly indebted to a number of individuals and
institutions who gave professional and personal support while this
project was under way. Several friends at the Center for Strategic and
International Studies, in particular Ms Kerry Dumbaugh and Dr
William Taylor, were enormously helpful and supportive. The entire
staff at the Ethics and Public Policy Center has also provided me with
invaluable research and editorial guidance, and I am especially
indebted to Robert Royal and Carol Griffith.
I would also like to thank Dr Stephen Gibert of Georgetown
University, Mr Greg Mastel and especially Dr Gerald Segal for their
kind comments and suggestions on the first drafts of this volume.
Whatever omissions and errors remain, of course, are entirely the
responsibility of the author.
IX
List of Abbreviations
ABM Anti-Ballistic Missile (system)
ALCM Air-Launched Cruise Missile
ANZUS Australia-New Zealand-US alliance
ASAT Anti-Satellite weapon
A SEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations
ASW Anti-Submarine Warfare
ATBM Anti-Tactical Ballistic Missile (system); also referred
to as ATM
ATM See ATBM
ATU Atlantic to the Urals (conventional arms control talks)
BMD Ballistic Missile Defence (system)
C3I Command, Control, Communications, and Intelligence
DARPA Defence Advanced Research Projects Agency
EMP Electromagnetic Pulse
FABMDS Field Army Ballistic Missile Defence System
HOE Homing Overlay Experiment
ICBM Intercontinental Ballistic Missile
INF Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces
LOW Launch On Warning
LUA Launch Under Attack
MBFR Mutual and Balanced Force Reductions (conventional
arms control talks)
MIRV Multiple, Independently Targeted Re-entry Vehicle
NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization
NDPO National Defence Programme Outline (of Japan)
OTH Over the Horizon Targeting
PLA People's Liberation Army (PRC)
PRC People's Republic of China
ROC Republic of China on Taiwan
ROK Republic of Korea (South Korea)
RV Re-entry Vehicle
SAM Surface-to-Air Missile
SDI Strategic Defence Initiative
SDF Self Defence Forces (of Japan)
SEATO Southeast Asian Treaty Organization
SLBM Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missile
SLCM Sea-Launched Cruise Missile
X